90%
75%
USA
Canada
Australia
UKFIFA World Cup Best Bets: Expert Picks for June 15
Belgium vs Egypt Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (-110)
Garcia has turned Belgium into one of the most fun teams to watch in Europe. They won UEFA Group J scoring 29 times and conceding just 7 across eight games — about 4.5 combined goals per match whenever they take the field. De Bruyne still pulls the strings, Lukaku brings the muscle up top, and Doku and Onana have added a new edge to the squad. They’re unbeaten in 13 straight and just put five past Tunisia, with five different players getting on the scoresheet.
Egypt isn’t likely to just sit back and absorb everything either. They cruised through qualifying unbeaten in 10 games and gave Brazil a real fight in a 2-1 warm-up loss, with Salah still dangerous enough to create something out of nothing.
Between Belgium’s firepower and Egypt’s ability to chip in, getting to three goals shouldn’t be much of a stretch here.
- Spread: EGY +1.0 (-122)
- Moneyline: BEL (-170)
- Total: 2.5
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Pick: Uruguay First Half -0.5 (-108)
Uruguay has quietly built an impressive run into the World Cup, unbeaten in eight of their last nine (4W, 4D) while looking organized defensively and generating chances early. The numbers back that up — Opta gives Uruguay a 63.2% win probability versus just 14.8% for Saudi Arabia, a gap that matters even more for the first-half market.
Saudi Arabia, meanwhile, brings real question marks. Georgios Donis only just took over after Herve Renard was sacked following four straight losses, and a late coaching change rarely settles a team quickly against disciplined opposition. The Saudis have won just one of their last six matches, and their final tune-up was a scoreless draw with Senegal that underscored their attacking struggles.
Four of Saudi Arabia’s last five games have gone for three-plus goals, hinting at defensive cracks. If Uruguay strikes early, this first-half handicap should cash before Saudi Arabia finds its footing.
- Spread: KSA +1.5 (-117)
- Moneyline: URU (-240)
- Total: 2.5
Iran vs New Zealand Pick: Iran Over 1.5 Team Goals (+122)
At plus money, Iran’s team total stands out as one of the more attractive bets on the World Cup slate. The attack continues to revolve around Mehdi Taremi, who enters the tournament with 60 international goals and backed that up with 10 goals and seven assists during qualification. The supporting cast contributes as well, with Mohammad Mohebi and Mehdi Ghayedi combining for 24 goals heading into the finals. Iran’s overall form has been solid, with just three losses in their last 12 matches. Against a struggling New Zealand side, that quality gap should become evident over 90 minutes.
New Zealand’s numbers are difficult to ignore. They enter with just one win in their last 11 matches and eight losses during that stretch. That kind of form points to defensive issues that a disciplined Iranian attack can exploit.
The biggest concern is Iran’s injury situation. Alireza Jahanbakhsh, Dennis Eckert, and Mehdi Torabi are all expected to miss out, while Roozbeh Cheshmi remains a fitness question mark. However, the market appears to have adjusted too heavily for those absences. Taremi remains available, Mohebi and Ghayedi provide secondary scoring options, and Iran should still create enough opportunities against a New Zealand defense that has struggled for consistency. Needing just two goals at +122 is an appealing proposition given the matchup.
