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UK2025 Noche UFC 3 Odds & Picks
In 2025, Noche UFC — an event celebrating the Mexican Day of Independence — is coming to San Antonio, TX. A total of 14 fights are scheduled for the September 13 event, featuring seven Mexico-based fighters.
This includes the Brazilian-born Diego Lopes who’s fighting the last remaining undefeated member of the Fighting Nerds, Jean Silva. The Noche UFC 3 main event is arguably the biggest fight of the evening as it could decide the next title challenger in the featherweight division.
Lopes vs. Silva is the big one, but there are plenty of other exciting fights on the card, especially among the prelims. So, keep on reading to see my top bets.
Latest Odds for UFC Noche 2025
Noche UFC 3 odds are great wherever you look for them, but if I had to pick one site, I’d go with Lucky Rebel. It’s that the odds for the biggest favorites come with better value than what other sportsbooks are giving.
For example, Alessandro Costa, who’s the biggest favorite on the card, is priced at -480 at Lucky Rebel. Its competitors (e.g., BetOnline, SportsBetting.ag, etc.) are giving -500. You may think it’s not much, but for parlays, it can mean a big profit boost.
| Fighter A | Odds | Fighter B | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Lopes | +212 | Jean Silva | -260 |
| Rob Font | -141 | David Martinez | +120 |
| Rafa Garcia | +190 | Jared Gordon | -235 |
| Kelvin Gastelum | -260 | Dustin Stoltzfus | +205 |
| Santiago Luna | -124 | Quang Le | +105 |
| Alexander Hernandez | -130 | Carlos Diego Ferreira | +111 |
| Jose Daniel Medina | +270 | Duško Todorović | -335 |
| Claudio Puelles | -117 | Joaquim Silva | -102 |
| Tatiana Suarez | -435 | Amanda Lemos | +345 |
| Jesus Santos Aguilar | +180 | Luis Gurule | -218 |
| Zachary Reese | -245 | Sedriques Dumas | +200 |
| Alessandro Costa | -480 | Alden Coria | +365 |
| Montserrat Rendon | +133 | Alice Pereira | -157 |
| Rodrigo Sezinando | +193 | Daniil Donchenko | -235 |
This is a fantastic event from a bettor’s perspective, as the odds are great for practically all fights. Alessandro Costa is the biggest favorite with UFC Noche 3 odds of -480, while his opponent, Alden Coria, is priced at +365.
Fans of longshots will be pleased to learn that this guy has already shocked the oddsmakers before, knocking out a guy in a fight where he was a +600 underdog.
That said, Noche UFC 3 is great if you’re into chasing upsets — I predict several surprises will happen — as underdogs come at much longer odds than expected. Monserrat Rendon, whom I expected to be the favorite, is priced at +133 against a girl with a somewhat suspicious record (more on that later!).
In all the other fights, the favorites come with reasonable odds. This includes the UFC Noche 2025 main event, in which the favorite (Jean Silva) is priced at -260.
Noche UFC Main Event Preview: Diego Lopes vs. Jean Silva
The big question is whether Jean Silva will redeem the Fighting Nerds’ honor on September 13. Once hyped as the most exciting team in the UFC, the Brazil-based group of fighters suffered some big losses over the last couple of weeks: Caio Borralho lost to Nassourdine Imavov, Mauricio Ruffy lost to BSD, etc.
But Jean Silva is still undefeated in the UFC! He’s 16-2 overall, with both of his losses happening last decade. In Dana White’s promotion, he’s 5-0, with his best performance happening against wrestling maestro Bryce Mitchell last April — he beat him with a ninja choke in R2.
That win earned him a spot in the UFC Noche 3 headliner, in which he’s fighting against Diego Lopes. Even though Silva’s born in Brazil, he lives in Mexico, so you can be sure that the crowd in San Antonio will be on his side.
The guy’s expected to lose, but I wouldn’t underestimate him. He’s a hell of a fighter with incredible stamina and a chin made of concrete. In his last fight, he survived a 5-round war with Alex Volkanovski, who beat the hell out of him but failed to get a finish.
My prediction is that Silva, too, will fail to get a finish. But unlike Volk, I don’t think he can grind out a victory. I think Lopes has a better gas tank, which could prove crucial in the UFC Noche 3 headliner.
So, if you like backing underdogs, Lopes is your man — back him at +212 at Lucky Rebel!
Best Bets for UFC Noche 2025
My Noche UFC 3 main event prediction is that Lopes will win either by a late finish or by decision. Still, I wouldn’t bet my house on it. The good news is that there are several much safer options on the table, starting with Tatiana Suarez.
In February, she suffered her first career loss (to Zhang Weili in the fight for the title), but I’m 100% certain she’ll bounce back. This girl beat cancer and then became a pro MMA fighter who went 10-0 before losing by decision to the defending champ.
Another real warrior I’m backing is Kelvin Gastelum. This is a guy who can take a lot of beating and stay on his feet. He’s fought such powerful strikers as Izzy Adesanya, Bobby Whittaker, and Jared Cannonier, but no one managed to knock him out.
Most recently, he went the distance with Joe Pyfer, the man who reportedly broke Francis Ngannou’s record for the most powerful punch. Now, he’s taking on another prolific kickboxer, Dustin Stoltzfus, but I think he can outsmart him.
Top Upset Picks for UFC Noche
Alice Pereira is just 19 years old, but already has a 6-0 record with five finishes, including an 11-second KO. On paper, she looks like a prodigy, but the résumé has red flags.
Two of her wins are flagged on Tapology, and her “signature” victory came over Samarra Santos, a “can” who had lost 7 of her previous 10 fights. In my eyes, that’s enough to back her opponent.
Sedriques Dumas is even more controversial, but unlike Pereira, I think he’s gonna win at UFC Noche 3. The reason is that this guy’s literally fighting for survival.
$13.96 — that’s how much is left in his account as per his own admission. But that’s what happens if you have more felonies than UFC fights.
Then, there’s Alden Coria, another controversial fighter, whose controversy comes from the fact that his biggest win — a KO win when he was a +600 underdog — was annulled. It’s now a no-contest, the reason being that he tested positive for marijuana after the fight.
Full UFC Noche Predictions
The action on September 13 starts with TUF 33 Welterweight Final — Rodrigo Sezinando vs. Daniil Donchenko — which I think will go the distance. This will probably be a striking battle, which I think the Ukrainian fighter (Donchenko) will win.
From there, I expect to see plenty of excitement in the prelims, with a couple of major surprises: Montserrat Rendon, Alden Coria, and Sedriques Dumas.
On the main card, my top UFC Noche 3 pick is Kelvin Gastelum. When it comes to the main event, I’m backing Diego Lopes, although I’m not planning to wager too much cash on this guy.
Betting on UFC Noche in 2025
- Kelvin Gastelum to Beat Dustin Stoltzfus at -260 — Bet Now!
My prediction for Noche UFC 3 is that we’ll see plenty of betting upsets. I think Monserrat Rendon will fraud-check Alice Pereira. I also predict Sedriques Dumas will get a win over Zachary Reese and possibly even get a Performance of the Night Bonus — so that he can finally pay off his debt.
I will go as far as to say there’s a good chance the biggest Noche UFC favorite will lose: I’m backing underdog Alden Coria to beat Alessandro Costa.
Diego Lopes could also pull off an upset, and his odds of +210 make him a very good bet in my eyes. Still, my best bet for UFC Noche is Kelvin Gastelum. Most UFC betting sites are giving -260 for this guy, which I think is very reasonable.
And if you want to play it real safe, go with Tatiana Suarez. Her Noche UFC 3 odds are -435, but that’s because she’s almost 100% certain to win.
