Updated 2026 WNBA Odds: Can A’ja Wilson Repeat?

A’ja Wilson is the betting favorite in the opening 2026 WNBA MVP odds. Wilson won the award last year and is seeking her fifth MVP since joining the league in 2018. 

Caitlin Clark, Napheesa Collier, and other top WNBA stars are all looking to dethrone Wilson as MVP. Continue reading to see the latest odds to win WNBA MVP in 2026. I break down the top contenders and give my prediction for this season’s most valuable player. 

Odds to Win the 2026 WNBA MVP

Lucky Rebel provided the following WNBA MVP odds for the 2026 season. 

A’ja Wilson is the +270 betting favorite at top basketball betting sites to win WNBA MVP this season. Wilson has won the award in back-to-back years and is seeking her fifth career MVP award. 

At her current odds, Wilson has an implied win probability of 27.03%. 

Caitlin Clark is a close second at +290 odds to win WNBA MVP. Clark opened as the favorite last year but missed most of the season with injuries. Napheesa Collier and Breanna Stewart are tied for the next-best odds at +850 each. 

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Why A’ja Wilson is the WNBA MVP Favorite

Wilson won Rookie of the Year in 2018 and claimed her first MVP in 2020. She added another MVP in 2022 and won her first WNBA championship. Wilson and the Aces won the title again in 2023, but she finished third in MVP voting. 

The Las Vegas star righted that wrong in 2024, winning her third MVP. Wilson won it again last year, making her the first back-to-back MVP since Cynthia Cooper (1997, 1998). 

Wilson made history last year by tying Cooper as the only back-to-back winners in history. She also became the first player to win four MVPs, breaking a tie with Sheryl Swoopes, Lisa Leslie, and Lauren Jackson for the most. 

Last season, Wilson led the league in points (23.4 PPG) and blocks per game (2.3 BPG). She was also second in rebounds (10.2), behind only Angel Reese (12.6). 

In addition to winning MVP, Wilson also won her third Defensive Player of the Year award. If she is the best player on both sides of the court again this year, it will be impossible to deny Wilson another MVP trophy. 

Other Top WNBA MVP Contenders in 2026

Wilson is a proven MVP candidate, but she is not the only one in the running for the award. Other top candidates include Indiana’s Caitlin Clark, Minnesota’s Napheesa Collier, and New York’s Breanna Stewart. 

Caitlin Clark (+290)

Clark won ROTY in 2024 after averaging 19.2 PPG, 8.4 APG, and 5.7 RPG in her debut season. Despite her impressive first season, Clark only finished fourth in MVP voting. 

Going into the 2025 season, Clark was the betting favorite to win WNBA MVP. Unfortunately, a series of lower-body injuries limited Clark to just 13 games last year. 

Assuming she is healthy, Clark will push for the MVP, and her +290 preseason odds could provide value. However, her soft-tissue injuries from last season remain a concern. As talented as she is, Clark cannot win MVP if she is on the bench. 

Napheesa Collier (+850)

Lynx star Napheesa Collier is tied for the third-best odds to win WNBA MVP at +850. She has finished in the top four in MVP each of the last three seasons, including back-to-back runner-up finishes. 

Collier was a force on both ends of the court last season, including finishing:

• 2nd in points (22.9 PPG)
• T-4th in blocks (1.5 BPG)
• T-3rd in steals (1.6 SPG)

She also helped guide the Lynx to a league-best 34-10 record. If she can add a scoring title to her resume and lead Minnesota to the top seed again, Collier could finally beat Wilson for MVP honors. Of course, her offseason ankle surgeries are a concern going forward. 

Breanna Stewart (+850)

The other star listed at +850 odds to win MVP is New York’s Breanna Stewart. A 6’4 Forward, Stewie has finished top 10 in MVP voting year of her career, except 2019, when she missed the entire season with an Achilles injury. 

Stewart won the MVP in 2018 and 2023. She helped the Liberty win the title in 2024, and also won two championships (2018, 2020) while in Seattle. 

There is no denying that Stewart is one of the best in the game today. However, her scoring has decreased in back-to-back years. Stewie’s rebounds have also dropped each of the last two years, and her assists and blocks are both down from her 2023 MVP season. 

Is Paige Bueckers the Best WNBA MVP Sleeper?

Paige Bueckers lived up to the billing of being the first overall pick in 2025, winning Rookie of the Year and finishing fifth in scoring (19.2 PPG) last year. Entering year two, Bueckers is a long shot to win MVP at +2000 odds. 

Bueckers was one of the best offensive players in the league last year, but Dallas only won 10 games, tied for the fewest in the league. She should have more help this year after the Wings used the first overall pick to draft her former UConn teammate, Azzi Fudd. 

Even with Fudd, though, it is hard to imagine Dallas making the jump to a WNBA title contender this season. Typically, the MVP is from one of the top two seeds in the WNBA playoffs. So, until Dallas can reach 30+ win territory, Bueckers is likely out of true MVP contention. 

Other WNBA MVP Sleepers to Watch

Bueckers is not the only WNBA MVP sleeper to consider this season. Angel Reese and Satou Sabally, for instance, are in great positions to make MVP runs. 

Angel Reese (+5000)

Atlanta finished 30-14 last season, tied for the second-best record in the WNBA. The Dream went all in on their title window this offseason, trading for Angel Reese. 

Reese cannot shoot, but she is a defensive force. She has led the WNBA in rebounds in each of her first two seasons and finished second in ROTY voting in 2024. Now that she is on a contending team, Reese is an intriguing longshot to win MVP at 50-1 odds. 

Satou Sabally (+7500)

Satou Sabally is also on a new team, joining the Liberty after a one-year stint in Phoenix. New York struggled to defend its title last season, finishing 27-17 and losing to the Sun in the first round. 

Adding Sabally could help the Liberty return to true title contention. It will be hard to stand out as the MVP on a team with Stewie and Sabrina Ionescu. However, if Sabally can be the driving force behind New York returning to title contention, she should receive some MVP consideration. 

Previous WNBA MVP Winners

Tips for Betting on the WNBA MVP Winner

Here are three tips to help you predict who will win the WNBA MVP award.

Focus on Championship Contenders

The MVP is awarded to the player who provides the most “value” to their team. The definition of value is up for debate, but there is one thing any player can do to help them stand out in the MVP race: win games.

Eight of 15 teams in the league will make the playoffs, so making the postseason is not enough to turn a player into an MVP contender. The MVP typically earns their team a top spot in the postseason. Every MVP since 2015 earned a top two seed in their conference for the playoffs.

Know What the Voters Value the Most

Another key to predicting the winner of the WNBA MVP is to understand what the voters are looking for. This can be challenging as there are no clearly defined requirements, and the voting pool changes from year to year. For instance, there were 67 voters last year, but only 39 voters in 2018.

Knowing the number of voters is just one part of the equation. You also must account for the stats that the voters value the most. For instance, there were 72 voters last year, but only 39 voters in 2018.

Understand the Unwritten WNBA MVP Requirements

There are no official requirements that a player must meet to win WNBA MVP. However, unwritten rules have developed in the 25+ years of the league.

For instance, the award is almost never given to a rookie. Only one player, Candace Parker (2008), won the award in her first season. So, even break out rookies like Caitlin Clark in 2024, are at a disadvantage in MVP voting.

Also, the MVP must play on both sides of the court. Wilson won her third and fourth MVPs after leading the league in scoring and being second in rebounding.

2026 WNBA MVP Winner Prediction

A’ja Wilson is the easy pick to win the 2026 WNBA MVP. She has dominated the league since her rookie season and has won the award four times since 2020. Wilson is a worthy favorite at +270 odds, but voter fatigue could prevent Wilson from winning her fifth MVP in the last seven seasons. 

Napheesa Collier offers better value at +850 odds. She has finished second in back-to-back years and received 18 first-place votes last year. 

Collier and the Lynx were the best team in the regular season last year. If they finish atop the WNBA standings again and Collier can beat Wilson for the scoring title, she should win her first MVP award. 

Where to Bet on the Latest 2026 WNBA MVP Odds

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