Latest UFC 315 Odds & Picks

UFC 315 odds suggest MMA fans are in for a real treat at Bell Centre in Montreal. Actually, it’s several treats as there are plenty of exciting matchups on the May 10 fight card, starting with the main event – Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena – which is the fight for the UFC Welterweight title.

In this UFC 315 preview, I’m going to analyze the main event, as well as the co-main (Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot) and featured fight (Jose Aldo vs. Aiemann Zahabi). I’ll also provide predictions for all remaining fights. Sounds good? Let’s start!

Odds for UFC 315

UFC 315 odds are available at practically all sports betting sites, but it’s BetOnline that offers the best value in my opinion. All the odds you see in the table below are from this sportsbook. 

Belal Muhammad is the betting favorite in the UFC 315 main event, but Jack Della Maddalena’s odds aren’t miles away. It’s a similar situation with pretty much all fights, with the only exception being Benoit Saint-Denis, who’s the biggest favorite on the card, priced at -1200. 

When it comes to the most balanced matchup – at least in the eyes of the bookies from top UFC betting sites – it’s Daniel Santos vs. Jeong Yeong Lee, where each fighter has -110 odds.

UFC 315 Main Event Preview

Belal Muhammad might not be a fan favorite – they think he’s boring to watch – but I think he’s a problem in the welterweight division. Just ask the six opponents he dominated before taking the belt from Leon Edwards. 

He dominated Edwards as well, landing a personal best nine takedowns in that fight. He also landed 21 significant strikes more than the Englishman. Can he out-strike Jack Della Maddalena as well? 

Well, that’s what he plans to do, but having a striking duel with this guy doesn’t seem like a wise idea. 

Della Maddalena (17-2) is an incredibly explosive fighter, the evidence being that 12 of his wins have come by KO/TKO, with four UFC finishes happening in Round 1. Plus, he averages nearly seven significant strikes per minute. 

But Belal Muhammad is famous for his concrete chin – he’s suffered just one KO loss in his career, which happened back in 2016. 

For all these reasons, I suspect the UFC 315 headliner might go the distance, after which we could see one of these guys win by a split decision. But who will it be? Even though the odds favor Muhammad, I think Della Maddalena can pull off an upset.

Best Bets for UFC 315

Valentina Shevchenko defends her title at UFC 315, but oddsmakers think we’ll get a new queen of the UFC Women’s Flyweight division. The girl in question is Manon Fiorot, who’s undefeated since her pro debut in 2018.

She’s a hell of a striker who landed a jaw-dropping 172 significant strikes in her last outing, which is something Valentina has never matched. 

Add her 93% takedown defense, and Shevchenko’s path to victory narrows. Valentina won the title last year after out-wrestling Alexa Grasso, but I think that won’t work at UFC 315.

The other UFC 315 bet I recommend is Jose Aldo to beat Aiemann Zahabi. Aldo needs to win this as he’s already 38 years old, or a few years older if you’re going to trust rumors. 

After briefly retiring, the former featherweight king looked sharp in a win over Jonathan Martinez but dropped a razor-close decision to Mario Bautista. Some saw that fight as a draw, if not a win. He mustn’t let anything similar happen on May 10. 

Top UFC 315 Upset Pick

The UFC 315 odds are such that there aren’t any major underdogs here. However, there is one plus-money bet I think is worth your attention. It’s Jessica Andrade, who’s a +225 underdog against Jasmine Jasudavicius.

I can see why bookmakers are favoring Jasudavicius – she’s fighting in her home country of Canada and she’s on a four-fight winning run. However, we mustn’t forget that Andrade is a former champ.

Sure, she held the UFC Strawweight title six years ago, but she’s actually still relatively young (33 years). Since last year, she’s been fighting in the Flyweight division, and her journey started with a loss to Natalia Silva. 

She got beaten up in that fight, but the fact that she didn’t get KO-ed is what’s giving me confidence she can do better this time around.     

UFC 315 Card Predictions

It’s been a while since UFC had a fight card with such unpredictable matchups. Anyone can beat anyone on May 10, but there are some fighters I trust more than others. Benoit Saint-Denis, for example, will steamroll Kyle Prepolec, who stepped in as a replacement for Joel Alvarez.

I also think Mike Malott will win his fight and so will his fellow Canadians Marc-Andre Barriault and Brad Katona. 

There are a couple of UFC 315 favorites I don’t trust too much, starting with Natalia Silva. She’s favored to beat Alexa Grasso, who’s a former champ and who gave real war to Valentina Shevchenko last September.

I wouldn’t bet much on Navajo Striling either. I understand why he’s favored to beat Ivan Erslan, but I don’t understand why he’s the fighter with the second-shortest UFC 315 odds. 

Betting On UFC 315

My No. 1 top bet for the May 10 event is Manon Fiorot to Beat Valentina Shevchenko. First of all, it’s because her UFC 315 odds are -147, which is a pretty decent value. 

Secondly, the way she dismantled her previous opponent (Erin Blanchfield) makes me think of her as the best female fighter in the world today. 

Sure, Valentina won’t give up her championship belt without a fight, so we might see this go to distance – and that’s why I recommend betting at BetOnline.

Being a championship fight, Shevchenko vs. Fiorot is eligible for UFC Split Decision Championship Refund. So, if you back the Frenchwoman and she loses by a split decision, you’ll get your stake back thanks to this sportsbook promo.