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UKTop Week 11 NFL Prop Bets (2025)
There are divisional matchups abound in our Week 11 NFL prop bets. It starts with an intriguing AFC East showdown on TNF and continues with over half a dozen divisional games on Sunday.
This guide breaks down my favorite NFL prop wagers for Week 11. I discuss my top prop bets of the week and give you tips for winning your wager this week.
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Best TNF Prop Bet: TreVeyon Henderson Anytime TD Scorer (-190)
The Patriots host the Jets on Thursday Night Football this week, and Lucky Rebel lists New England as a heavy favorite. New England has won seven straight games. New York also has a winning streak going, winning back-to-back games after starting 0-7.
It has not been all sunshine and rainbows for the Patriots this season. New England’s running back room is beat-up. Rhamondre Stevenson (toe), Terrell Jennings (knee), and TreVeyon Henderson (knee) all appeared on this week’s injury report.
Stevenson has been ruled out, and Jennings is questionable, but Henderson avoided an injury designation. Henderson also broke out last week, finding the endzone twice and racking up 150 scrimmage yards against the Buccaneers.
Henderson’s breakout should continue with extra playing time. With Stevenson out and Jennings likely limited, Henderson will get a bigger workload this week and increase his odds of finding the endzone against a Jets’ defense that allows the eighth-most rushing yards (138.2 YPG) in the league.
Top NFL Player Props for Week 11
Lucky Rebel sportsbook has plenty more NFL props for Week 11, too. Here are my top player props for Sunday’s games.
De’Von Achane Anytime TD Scorer (-190)
De’Von Achane’s 225 scrimmage yards last week helped Miami take down the Bills in a shocking upset. Achane and the Dolphins head to Madrid this week to face the Commanders.
Washington has lost four straight games by 21 or more points. Their run defense has been horrible, allowing 134.4 YPG this season, the 10th-most in the NFL. The Commanders have allowed 600 rushing yards combined in their last four games, including 226 on the ground last week to the Lions.
Achane should largely remain the focal point of a Dolphins’ offense that needs to limit the work on Tua Tagovailoa’s plate. He covered his Week 10 props, and is in line for a great game this week, too.
With that in mind, he is a good bet at -190 to score at least once this weekend in Madrid. Achane has scored in all but three games this season, and he will add to his TD total on Sunday against the Commanders.
Ja’Marr Chase 1st Drive Reception (-165)
Cincinnati entered its bye week on a sour note after losing back-to-back shootouts. On the bright side, the Bengals have the perfect opponent to help get them back in the win column this weekend.
The Bengals are 1-6 in their last seven games. Their one win came against Pittsburgh, which they face again on Sunday.
Ja’Marr Chase has been targeted 62 times in the last five games. Against Pittsburgh in Week 7, Chase had a season high 23 targets, reeling in 16 catches for 161 yards. He should see a similar workload this week against a Steelers defense that has done little to prove it can slow Chase down.
Chase is listed at -165 to have a reception on Cincy’s first drive. The Bengals have had two weeks to scheme up plays for Chase, and he will get at least one catch on Cincy’s opening drive this week.
Josh Allen Longest Rush Attempt Over 13.5 Yards (-110)
One way to help the offense get back on track is to have Josh Allen run the ball. Allen is one of the best running quarterbacks and has at least one carry of 15+ yards in six of the Bills’ nine games this season.
Allen is listed at over/under 13.5 yards for his longest rush attempt on Sunday.
Opponents have averaged over 100 rushing YPG against Tampa Bay this season. Given the Bills’ struggles passing the ball, expect a heavy dose of Allen and James Cook on the ground. An increased number of carries makes Allen more likely to break one for at least 14 yards on Sunday.
Best Week 11 NFL Game Prop Bets
The top NFL betting sites have plenty of game props for Week 11, too. Here are my top game props for this week’s action.
Chicago Bears Win Both Halves (+525)
Since then, the Bears have gone 6-2, scoring at least 24 points in all their wins. Minnesota, which has lost three of its last four games, needs a win to get back to .500 on the season.
The Bears are listed at +525 to win both halves against the Vikings this week. It took a historic collapse to prevent them from winning both halves in Week 1. Chicago will be out for revenge this time around, dominating the Vikings from start to finish.
New York Giants +3.5 (+140)
The Giants fired Brian Daboll and, with Jaxson Dart in concussion protocol, made a change at quarterback. Jameis Winston was promoted ahead of Russell Wilson, and the former Heisman winner will start this week against the Packers.
Green Bay has lost back-to-back games, and the Packers’ offense has held the team back. The defense allowed 16 points or fewer in all three of the team’s losses this season. Despite their issues, the Packers are laying 7.0 points as road favorites this week in MetLife.
The Giants will not win, but a new coach and a QB change can be the spark New York needs to keep the game close. Green Bay’s offensive struggles also make me believe that the Giants can cover this alternate spread of +3.5 (+140)
Los Angeles Chargers are 1st Team to Score (-132)
Los Angeles heads to Jacksonville to take on the Jaguars in a game that has major implications for the AFC playoff picture. The Chargers are 3.0-point favorites on the road.
Jacksonville started strong last week, taking a 29-10 lead into the fourth quarter. Unfortunately, the team collapsed, allowing 26 points in the final frame and losing to the Davis Mills-led Texans.
LA had a different script last week, starting slowly before putting up 25 unanswered points against Pittsburgh. The Chargers have the momentum following their major prime-time win, while the Jags will still be reeling from their loss. LA is the best bet to score first against a Jaguars team that is likely to start flat-footed.
Detroit Lions are 1st Team to 10+ Points (+100)
The Lions and Eagles square off in one of the marquee matchups of the season. Detroit is a 3.0-point road underdog, but Philadelphia’s offense managed just 10 points last week.
Last week against Washington, the Lions put up 44 points in a blowout win. They scored 14 in the first quarter, finding the endzone on their first two drives of the game. They are listed at even money to be the first team to score 10+ points in this game.
The Lions’ explosive offense has misfired at times this season, and stopping the Eagles’ pass rush is easier said than done. However, I think Detroit will have a plan for beating the rush, and they will score double digits before the Eagles do on Sunday.
Week 11 NFL Prop Betting Trends and Tips
Here are two tips and trends to consider when making your Week 11 NFL prop bets.
Divisional Games are Usually Close
More than half of this week’s games feature divisional matchups. These games are typically close, and upsets are common. In some cases, it is also the second time teams are playing each other this season, so expect adjustments from their previous matchups.
Account for the Cold Weather
The first snow game of the 2025 season occurred last week in Chicago. A weekend of wintry weather on the East Coast promises more snow games this weekend. Cold weather can be a significant hindrance to offense, especially for warm-weather teams.
Where to Bet on NFL Week 11 Props
The best place to wager on your NFL Week 11 prop bets is Lucky Rebel. It provides hundreds of props for each game, including international and prime-time games. My top bet at Lucky Rebel this week is for Ja’Marr Chase to have a first-drive reception (-165).
Create a new Lucky Rebel account today to bet on your NFL Week 11 props. As a new member, you can claim a 125% welcome bonus worth up to $1,250 in extra funds.
