UFC 326 Odds and Betting Predictions

Max Holloway is a betting favorite to retain his BMF belt against Charles Oliveira in the latest UFC 326 odds. Holloway won the symbolic title at UFC 300 and last defended it at UFC 318. This fight is a rematch more than a decade in the making for Holloway and Oliveira. 

UFC 326 takes place on Saturday, March 7th, live at the T-Mobile Arena in Nevada. This weekend’s PPV includes 12 action-packed fights in the lead-up to Holloway and Oliveira’s showdown. Continue reading to see the latest odds for UFC 326 and my updated predictions for this PPV card. 

Latest UFC 326 Betting Odds

Lucky Rebel provided the following odds for UFC 326. 

Top UFC betting sites have Holloway as the -230 favorite in his rematch with Oliveira. It has been more than a decade since Holloway earned a TKO victory over Oliveira at UFC Fight Night 74 in August 2015. 

In the co-main event, Caio Borralho (17-2) is a -280 favorite over Reinier de Ridder (21-3) in their Middleweight clash. de Ridder is listed as a +225 underdog, giving him an implied win probability of 30.77%. 

The heaviest favorite on this Saturday’s card is Donte Johnson, who is listed at -625 to beat Cody Brundage (+460) in their Middleweight prelims fight. 

Lucky Rebel has updated UFC betting odds for every fight on this weekend’s card. Check out our Lucky Rebel review to learn more about this MMA sportsbook.

80%

Expert Score

80%

Player Score

Featured Offer

Welcome Bonus

200% up to $2,500 + 50FS

Claim Bonus

UFC 326 Main and Co-Main Event Preview

• Caio Borralho (-280) vs. Reinier de Ridder (+225)
• Max Holloway (c) (-230) vs. Charles Oliveira (+188)

Two title hopefuls in the Middleweight division square off this weekend in the co-main event. Caio Borralho and Reinier de Ridder are the eighth and ninth-ranked fighters at 185 pounds, respectively. 

Borralho is the -280 favorite over de Ridder (+225) on Saturday. 

In September, Borralho suffered the first loss of his UFC career, falling by decision to Nassourdine Imavov. The loss also snapped his 16-fight winning streak. de Ridder is also coming off his first UFC loss after coming up short against Brendan Allen last October. 

Despite the odds, de Ridder is far from out of this fight. At 6’4 with a 78-inch reach, he has a significant size advantage over the 6’1 Borralho. de Ridder is also the better grappler, with 14 of his 21 career wins coming by submission. 

The ceremonial BMF belt is on the line in the main event. Max Holloway (27-8) is the -230 favorite over Charles Oliveira (36-11). Oliveira is a +188 underdog in the latest odds. 

Oliveira beat Mateusz Gamrot by submission in his last appearance in the Octagon, but he is just 3-3 in his last six fights. Holloway has been slightly better, going 4-2 in his last six appearances. 

Neither fighter could be Ilia Topuria in their respective matchups against El Matador. However, Holloway held his own against Dustin Poirier and Justin Gaethje in his recent BMF title bouts, giving him a more impressive recent resume than Oliveira. 

Best Bets for UFC 326

• Raúl Rosas Jr. (-218)
• Max Holloway (c) (-230)

Raúl Rosas Jr. is a -218 favorite this weekend against Rob Font. Rosas Jr. is 11-1 in his professional career and has racked up four consecutive wins. Three of his five wins in the Octagon have been finishes. 

Font, on the other hand, is 3-5 in his last eight fights. He is coming off a loss to David Martinez in September. 

Rosas Jr. is taller but will be at a significant reach disadvantage. Also, despite his lack of success lately, Font is the 13th-ranked Bantamweight in the UFC. It will not be easy. But I expect Rosas Jr. to pick up the win this weekend. 

Max Holloway is my pick for the main event of UFC 326. He has been more successful lately than Oliveira in the Octagon. 

More importantly, Holloway has a better track record in title fights. The BMF belt may not be a real title, but Holloway is well-versed in five-round wars. Oliveira, conversely, has only gone a full five rounds once in his UFC career.  

Top UFC 326 Upset Picks

• Gaston Bolanos (+220)
• Reinier de Ridder (+225)

Gaston Bolanos, a +220 underdog, headlines my upset picks for UFC 326. Bolanos is scheduled to take on JeongYeong Lee (-275) on the prelim card. Lee was a late substitute, replacing Yoo Joo-sang. 

Bolanos is only 8-5 in his career, including a 2-2 record in the UFC. However, Lee (11-3) has been sliding as of late, losing back-to-back fights. If Bolanos can keep the fight standing, he has a great chance to hand Lee his second KO loss of his UFC tenure. 

I also think Reinier de Ridder (+225) can secure the upset in his co-main event matchup against Caio Borralho (-280). Both fighters are coming off a loss, but RDR’s grappling skills should give him the edge on Saturday. 

RDR has 21 wins in his career, and 14 of those came via submission. He also has four KO victories on his resume. 

All three of RDR’s losses came via KO. So, even though he has had success on the feet before, he should avoid striking with Borralho, who is 5-0 in fights decided by KO, this weekend. Taking the fight to the ground is RDR’s best chance to pull off the upset.   

Full UFC 326 Fight Card Predictions

Luke Fernandez (6-0) opens Saturday’s prelim card as a -230 favorite over Rodolfo Bellato (12-3-1). This is Fernandez’s UFC debut after earning a contract on Dana White’s Contender Series. He will pick up his first win in the promotion by beating the struggling Bellato. 

Longtime UFC veteran Cody Garbrandt (+124) has lost three of his last five fights. He takes on Long Xiao, who is 3-2 in his last five appearances. Garbrandt’s prime is far behind him, but his power makes No Love a great underdog bet on Saturday. 

Donte Johnson (-625) is the biggest favorite on this weekend’s card. Johnson is 7-0 after winning his Octagon debut against Sedriques Dumas in November. He should beat Cody Brundage (11-8-1), who is 0-2-1 in his last three fights and is stepping in on short notice for this weekend’s PPV card. 

UFC 326 Betting Tips & Strategy

Here are some tips and strategies to help you make the right bets on UFC 326. 

Where to Bet on UFC 326

Lucky Rebel is the best sportsbook for betting on UFC events, including UFC 326 this weekend. It provides exciting odds for every fight, and the lines for every matchup are updated regularly. 

Create a new Lucky Rebel account today and use the site’s 125% welcome bonus to add up to $1,250 in bonus funds for this weekend’s PPV card. The bonus also includes free spins in the site’s highly rated casino.