Week 7 NFL DFS Picks – Top Plays to Target
Week seven could be a bit troubling for anyone looking for some reliable NFL DFS picks. Some major names are absent from the main slate, as this is week two of byes, and the scheduling also switches things up.
Gone are studs like Josh Allen, CeeDee Lamb, and Austin Ekeler. You can’t use Dalvin Cook or Alvin Kamara in week seven, either.
Thankfully, this actually condenses the slate nicely, and I think it’s easier to pinpoint the best NFL DFS picks for week seven.
Last week’s batch was very strong, with Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, Jonathan Taylor, and the Colts defense all being solid-to-amazing. Terry McLaurin was my lone miss, but it was reported after I released my NFL DFS picks that he wasn’t 100%.
I also handed out secondary plays, with Matthew Stafford, Cooper Kupp, D’Andre Swift, and the Rams defense all being quite useful.
Let’s see who you may want to roster in my week seven NFL DFS picks.
Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers ($7.5k)
I don’t love the price, but I am in love with the matchup. To this point, that bad man has been flat out rock solid, topping 20+ fantasy points in four of his last five games.
His week one was regrettable, but A-Rod has thrived ever since. He hasn’t gone off beyond a four-score outing in week three, but he’s scored multiple times in each of his last five outings.
He also still owns the Chicago Bears, so there’s that.
Aaron Rodgers’ comments were picked up by game TV cameras after his 6-yard TD run in the 4th quarter of the 24-14 win. “All my f—ing life, I own you,” Rodgers shouted as he was congratulated by his teammates. “I still own you. I still own you.”https://t.co/16rLWAL7la
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) October 17, 2021
Week seven provides a smash spot, as Washington ranks dead last against fantasy passers.
Last week was a perfect example of how bad things have gotten. Patrick Mahomes literally gave the Football Team a free pick, and Tyreek Hill popped another interception in the air – both killing drives in Washington’s territory.
Take those bungles out of the game, and what ended up being a 27-point fantasy outing for Mahomes could have easily been closer to 40.
Rodgers is at home, where he’s putting up 25 fantasy points per game, and this is without a doubt the softest matchup he’s seen in 2021. Look for him to get the fork and knife out in this one.
Darrell Henderson, RB, Rams ($6.6k)
Much like last week, I don’t see the need to pay up at running back. Trust me, I am well aware that Derrick Henry is involved in a likely shootout.
There’s a reason why the Chiefs vs. Titans game makes my week seven NFL parlay picks.
Still, Henry is $9.2k, and I don’t think I can afford him and Davante Adams this week. That leads me to Henderson, who popped off for 24.7 fantasy points last week, and has safely topped 15+ fantasy points in every game he’s played this season.
Davante Adams, WR, Packers ($8.9k)
I am all aboard the Adams Train this week. I left him out of my daily fantasy picks post last week due to his price and a tough matchup, but this week he’s a full go.
Adams was pretty quiet last week, but in week seven he’s at home against a terrible Washington defense.
He really hasn’t dazzled at home this year (7 fewer fantasy points per game), but he should smash in this spot. Washington comes in with major struggles against fantasy receivers.
- Most yards allowed to WRs
- Most targets allowed to WRs
- Most receptions allowed to WRs
- 5th most receiving TDs allowed to WRs
It hasn’t been good.
Washington can’t stop the opposition through the air, setting up a field day for Green Bay’s passing attack. Since Adams is the team’s top target, he’ll likely feast in week seven.
Darren Waller, TE, Raiders ($6.7k)
Travis Kelce is also on the board here, and Kyle Pitts ($5.9k) is interesting if Calvin Ridley remains out for personal reasons.
But if Darren Waller is going to be even remotely contrarian, I don’t mind rolling him out.
Philly’s defense isn’t scary, and they head into week seven tied for the most touchdowns allowed to tight ends. They’ve also given up the third most targets and third most catches to the position.
New England Patriots Defense ($3.4k)
What exactly is going on here? The Rams are the top-priced defense at $5k, but a Patriots defense that completely rattled Zach Wilson a few weeks ago comes in at a severe discount.
I’m not sure what I’m missing, seeing as the Pats racked up 19 fantasy points in that contest, and Bill Belichick’s dominance over rookie passers is common knowledge.
Patriots vs rookie QBs
Zach Wilson today:
— 0 TD
— 4 INT
— Won 25-6
Justin Herbert in 2020:
— 0 TD
— 2 INT
— Won 45-0
Daniel Jones in 2019:
— 1 TD
— 3 INT
— Won 35-14
Josh Allen in 2018:
— 1 TD
— 2 INT
— Won 24-12 pic.twitter.com/BiSoMD5kpH
— StatMuse (@statmuse) September 19, 2021
Wilson’s sketchy decision-making hasn’t gone away, and New England has had to deal with much better teams in recent weeks. This feels like a smash spot for them, and they’re not exactly priced like that’s the case.
More NFL DFS Picks for Week 7
- Jalen Hurts, QB, Eagles ($6.9k)
- Derrick Henry, RB, Titans ($9.2k)
- Tyreek Hill, WR, Chiefs ($8.6k)
- Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs ($7.6k)
- Arizona Cardinals Defense ($3.1k)
Hurts is a cheat code. He isn’t actually good at football, it appears, but he’s a DFS god. He’s topped 21+ fantasy points in every game, regardless of matchup or game flow.
Henry, Hill, and Kelce need zero backing. They’re all studs, they all have awesome floors, and they’re in the top game of the week. I like them all, but when trying to piece together the top NFL DFS lineup, I’m not sure they’re totally necessary.
Arizona is a fine pivot away from the Pats. They’re discounted for a home date against the Texans, who they are massive 17-point favorites against, per the top NFL betting sites.
Whether you roll with my week seven NFL DFS picks or not, I wish you luck. For added help this week – whether for fantasy football or betting – get a head start with my early week seven NFL odds analysis.