Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Preview – MLB, August 29, 2020

By Admir Aljic in MLB
| August 29, 2020 1:36 am PDT

The Washington Nationals take on the Boston Red Sox in the middle contest of a three-game series at Fenway Park in Boston this Saturday night. This would be the first and last series of the season between the two interleague foes, and the Red Sox have won five of their previous six encounters with the Nats.

Both teams entered this series as dead last in their divisions. While the reigning champs were just four games behind the wild-card spot, the Red Sox were nine games behind the bottom wild-card team in the American League.

The stake is huge this weekend for both Washington and Boston, so here are my best Nationals vs. Red Sox betting pick for Saturday night along with the most important betting tips and trends. Feel free to get all our MLB picks and analysis by checking our daily sports predictions.

Nationals vs. Red Sox Odds

Nationals -1.5+135
Red Sox +1.5-155
Nationals to Win-105
Red Sox to Win-105
Over 11.5-105
Under 11.5-115

We rarely see -105 moneyline odds on each team, but the bookies cannot separate the Nats and Sawx in this one. At least, the sky-high line on the totals shows us what they expect when it comes to scoring runs on both sides.

If you’re frightened with this chalk, make sure to check out some of the most popular MLB betting sites and find out the odds on the alternative lines.

Nationals vs. Red Sox Betting Preview

The Red Sox might have already given up on the playoffs. They surrender the most runs per game in the majors (6.16), while the Red Sox’s bullpen owns the fourth-worst ERA of 5.73. Boston scores 4.61 runs per game (18th in the MLB) on .251 batting average (12th) and .422 slugging percentage (14th).

On the other side, the reigning champs score 4.68 runs per game (16th), and are fifth in batting average (.261) and 11th in slugging percentage (.433). They allow 4.93 runs in a return (19th), and the Nationals’ pitching staff is certainly one of the unpleasant surprises in 2020.

Anibal Sanchez will toe the slab for the Nats, and the 36-year-old righty is 1-3 with an ugly 6.48 ERA in five starts this season. However, Sanchez stepped up and earned a win this past Sunday, pitching seven innings in a one-run ball against the Miami Marlins.

Martin Perez will get the ball for the hosts, and the 29-year-old lefty is 2-3 in six starts this season. He owns a solid 3.45 ERA and a 1.81 WHIP, but Perez fanned 23 while walking 15 in 31.1 innings of work.

As well as Sanchez, Perez tossed seven innings last weekend but had to settle for a no-decision in a one-run ball against the Baltimore Orioles.

Nationals vs. Red Sox Pick

Both Sanchez and Perez have been excellent last time out, but I don’t trust their consistency at all. Furthermore, both bullpens struggle and should have a tough time in this one, so I favor the bats over the pitching staff.

The over has hit in 13 of the last 18 encounters between Washington and Boston excluding Friday’s opener, while four of the Red Sox’s previous six home games went in the over along with a push. Therefore, give me the over on the totals.

Pick
  • Over 11.5 runs
    -105

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