Washington vs. Falcons Player Prop Bets – NFL, Week 4

| October 1, 2021 7:30 am PDT

A couple of 1-2 NFC teams are set to clash Sunday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. As the spread hovers around WFT -1.5, a case can be made for either team winning. If you have little interest in betting on this game because you don’t see value on either side, I don’t blame you.

I had no interest in betting on the outcome of this game either. However, scanning the Washington vs. Falcons player props has me perked up.

I see value on guys on both teams, here’s what caught my eye.

Calvin Ridley Over 74.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

One of the early-season surprises is just how bad Washington’s pass defense has been. The Football Team was touted as having a sweet pass rush and a legit secondary – neither has come to fruition thus far.

Washington is one of four NFL teams surrendering more than 300 passing yards per game.

Ron Rivera doesn’t have a shutdown corner, nor does he have enough depth at the safety position. As for who’s going to step up and lock up Calvin Ridley, your guess is as good as mine.

Those pointing to the fact that the former Alabama wideout is yet to get going this season (58.3 receiving yards/game), I point to his 20 catches on 29 targets. That’s more than encouraging when trying to evaluate future production.

Keep in mind, Ridley averaged 91.6 receiving yards per game in 2020.

J.D. McKissic Over 19.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Despite Antonio Gibson’s abilities as a pass-catcher, Washington is strictly using J.D. McKissic on third downs and passing situations. It’s a role that McKissic carved out last year, and so far, The Football Team is sticking to it.

Given how leaky the Falcons are at defending the pass, Washington’s game plan on Sunday afternoon should feature a heavy dose of McKissic. Also boding well for the over in this prop, the 5th-year RB has seen an uptick in his snap % successively.

J.D. McKissic – Offensive Snaps in 2021
Week % of Offensive Snaps Played
1 36%
2 44%
3 46%

All it’ll take is one broken coverage on a screen to J.D. and the over’s going to hit. Chalk this up as one of the best Washington vs. Falcons player prop bets on the board.

Cordarrelle Patterson Over 57.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-120)

Whether it’s out of the backfield, sending him in motion, or lining him up outside, Arthur Smith is trying to find creative ways to force-feed Cordarrelle Patterson the football. Case in point – Patterson touched the ball 13 times in 26 snaps in week 3.

The hybrid RB/WR has seen seven targets in back-to-back games and has carried the rock at least seven times in all three contests. Here are his season totals for yards from scrimmage thus far:

  • 67 yards in week 1
  • 69 yards in week 2
  • 102 yards in week 3

That’s 79.3 yards per game; now Patterson faces a defense succumbing 440 yards and more than 30 points per game. I’ll take my chances that Cordarrelle stuffs the box score for more than 57 yards on Sunday.

Mike Davis Longest Rush Under 12.5 Rushing Attempts (-115)

I hopped on this exact same prop bet in week 3 (laid -125) and cashed in. I’m going right back to the well in week 4.

We’re now at 10 consecutive games in which Davis has not tallied a single run of more than 12 yards. He’s averaging just 3.8 yards per carry in 2021 and is losing work to Cordarrelle Patterson.

Whereas J.D. McKissic in Washington is seeing more playing time each week, Davis is headed in the opposite direction in Atlanta.

Mike Davis – Offensive Snaps in 2021
Week % of Offensive Snaps Played
1 75%
2 64%
3 60%

Bills RBs Zack Moss and Devin Singletary combined for 24 carries versus The Football Team last weekend; neither one recorded a run that was longer than nine yards.

There’s more than enough here for me to fade Davis (having a run of more than 12 yards) for a second straight week.

My Top Washington vs. Atlanta Player Prop Bet For Week 4

  • Matt Ryan Over 261.5 Passing Yards (-115)

I alluded to Washington’s struggles in the secondary in the Calvin Ridley prop bet. Allow me to expand.

Justin Herbert shredded WFT for 337 yards through the air. Josh Allen torched WFT for 358 passing yards. Even Daniel Jones, playing behind an abominable offensive line, was able to hang up 249 passing yards against The Football Team.

Here we have an invigorated Matt Ryan playing at home, I’ll say he exceeds 261 passing yards with plenty of room to spare.

While Ryan didn’t face Washington in 2020, he faced a Ron Rivera-coached defense twice in 2019. In those two games, Ryan threw for 311 yards and 313 yards, respectively.

Feel free to hammer all five of these Washington vs. Falcons props, although this is “the best” one I encountered. Those hungry for more options, start surfing the best mobile betting sites for the NFL and see what else is out there.

Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for GamblingSites.com on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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