Prediction for Warriors vs. Mavericks Game 4 – May 24th (2022)

| May 23, 2022 10:12 am PDT

The Dallas Mavericks are down to their final out after losing Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals. The Golden State Warriors continued their dominance, scoring a 109-100 victory. They’re now one victory from their sixth Finals appearance in the last eight years.

Dallas overcame a series deficit in the first two rounds, but it wasn’t a 3-0 hole. They’re attempting to be the first team in NBA history to overcome a 3-0 series deficit. It’d have to start with a Game 4 victory.

Here are the odds for Game 4 of the 2022 Western Conference Finals.

Warriors vs. Mavericks Odds for May 24th

Sportsbook Golden State Warriors Dallas Mavericks Bonus Offered Visit Site
Bovada (-105) (-115) 50% up to $250 Visit Bovada
BetOnline (-107) (-113) 60% up to $1,000 Visit BetOnline
BetUS (+1.0) (-110) (-1.0) (-110) 125% up to $2,500 Visit BetUS
MyBookie (+100) (-120) 100% up to $1,000 Visit MyBookie

The best NBA sportsbooks aren’t sure if the Golden State Warriors will close out the series or if the Dallas Mavericks will force a Game 5. BetUS doesn’t have odds for the moneyline, so you’ll have to wager on the spread on their site.

Golden State had a rough stretch against the spread in the playoffs, but they’ve bounced back to cover in four straight games. This will be the second straight game they open as the underdog.

The point total for this matchup is 215.5. Game 1 went well under that total, while Game 2 featured 243 points. Game 3 was tamer with 209 points.

The only new injury to report for either side is Warriors forward Otto Porter Jr. Porter suffered a foot injury in Game 3, and it sounds like he could miss time. That’d be a significant loss on the defensive end.

Warriors vs. Mavericks Breakdown

The Dallas Mavericks find themselves in a nearly impossible position in the Western Conference Finals. What’s unfortunate about their situation is they’ve had control of multiple games.

Dallas had a 19-point lead in Game 2 but suffered a nine-point loss. Game 3 was a tight battle in the first half, but the Golden State Warriors pulled away in the second half. We’ve seen the Warriors dominate the second half in this series.

  Golden State Warriors Dallas Mavericks
Points 187 140
Field Goal Percentage 56.5 42.5
Three-Point Percentage 46.0 29.8

Golden State’s three-point percentage is higher than Dallas’ field goal percentage. The Warriors’ dominance in the second half has them in position for another NBA Finals appearance.

What can the Mavericks do to climb back in this series? It’ll have to start on the defensive end. They allowed the fewest points per game in the regular season, but they’ve allowed 109+ points in all three games of the Western Conference Finals.

It’s not easy against a Warriors team with many weapons, but the Mavericks held them under 105 points twice in the regular season. Can they return to that level?

Stephen Curry entered this series as the favorite to win the 2022 NBA Finals MVP. The numbers suggest he’s on his way.

  • 28.0 points
  • 8.3 rebounds
  • 6.7 assists
  • 48.7 field goal percentage
  • 47.8 three-point percentage

Curry has been playing at an elite level during the Western Conference Finals. Because of that, Golden State shouldn’t have an issue winning one of the next four games.

Luka Doncic has back-to-back 40-point games, but it’s hard to celebrate his success because Dallas isn’t winning. They’ll need to find something quick if they want to do the impossible. They can start the comeback with a Game 4 victory.

Warriors vs. Mavericks Same Game Parlay

  • Draymond Green Under 5.5 Assists (+116)
  • Klay Thompson Under 19.5 Points (-116)
  • Dorian Finney-Smith Under 10.5 Points (-108)

We’re taking a trio of unders for my same game parlay for Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals. Are you willing to back the unders?

Draymond Green continues to act as the heart and soul of the Golden State Warriors. We know Green won’t produce significant numbers, but he plays a factor on both ends of the floor.

Green averaged 7.0 assists in the regular season, but that’s down in the postseason. Green has recorded less than 5.5 assists in six of his last nine games. He hasn’t hit this mark in four matchups against the Dallas Mavericks this season. We should see the same in Game 4.

We typically see a different player step up alongside Stephen Curry. Against the Mavericks, Klay Thompson hasn’t been that player.

  • January 25: 15 points
  • March 3: 16 points
  • Game 1: 15 points
  • Game 2: 15 points
  • Game 3: 19 points

Thompson nearly cleared 19.5 points in Game 3 but fell one point short. He went 6-18 in Game 3 and 3-10 from three-point range. The Mavericks should continue to hold Thompson under 19.5 points.

Dorian Finney-Smith had a great start to the postseason, scoring double-digits in eight of ten games. That included 24 points in Game 4 of the Conference Semifinals. Unfortunately, we haven’t seen the same level of play.

Finney-Smith has scored ten or fewer points in six straight games. He also hasn’t attempted more than seven shots in that stretch. Finney-Smith cleared that mark in nine of his first ten playoff games. We’ll likely see him under 10.5 points for the seventh straight game.

This same game parlay will give you (+621) odds.

Warriors vs. Mavericks Pick

My Pick: Golden State Warriors to Win (+100)Bet on the Warriors at MyBookie

There will be much hype surrounding the Dallas Mavericks and their comeback attempt. However, I believe it’ll be over before it starts.

The Golden State Warriors have been the better team in the Western Conference Finals. They’ve dominated the second half, while Dallas hasn’t had an answer. I have a hard time believing that will change in Game 4.

Feel free to tune into Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals on Tuesday at 9 p.m. ET on TNT. Please visit our NBA picks page for more predictions, parlays, and picks.

Nicholas Sterling
Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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