Prediction for Warriors vs. Celtics Game 4 – 2022 NBA Finals

| June 9, 2022 10:06 am PDT

It looked like we’d see another big third quarter propel the Golden State Warriors to a victory in Game 3. However, the Boston Celtics weathered the storm to score a 116-100 victory.

Boston has a golden opportunity to take a commanding 3-1 series lead with a victory in Game 4. Golden State will have a tough time on the road, but some may consider Game 4 a must-win. If not, they’ll face a 3-1 series deficit.

Who has the upper hand in my Warriors vs. Celtics pick? Let’s start with the odds.

Warriors vs. Celtics Odds for Game 4

Sportsbook Golden State Warriors Boston Celtics Bonus Offered
Bovada (+145) (-170) 50% up to $250
BetOnline (+148) (-168) 60% up to $1,000
BetUS (+145) (-165) 125% up to $2,500
MyBookie (+140) (-170) 100% up to $1,000

The Boston Celtics open as a four-point favorite to win Game 4. This is the first time in the postseason the Golden State Warriors are larger than a (+3.5) point underdog. The Warriors vs. Celtics odds favor a 3-1 series lead for Boston.

We haven’t seen a close final score in the 2022 NBA Finals. Boston has covered two of their three games thanks to a 12+ point victory. Golden State easily covered after winning Game 2 by 19 points.

The point total for Game 4 opens at 214.5 points. BetOnline is slightly favoring the under.

Game 3 was the first time we saw the actual score come close to the point total. It went over by two points after Games 1 and 2 weren’t within 13 points.

Everyone is following the news of Stephen Curry’s foot injury. He suffered the injury late in Game 3, but he should be good for Game 4. His status will be a significant factor in my Warriors vs. Celtics expert pick.

Warriors vs. Celtics Breakdown

The Golden State Warriors looked like the better team in Games 1 and 2, but the Boston Celtics flipped the script in Game 3. They had a rough third quarter, but Boston essentially controlled the game from start to finish.

Jayson Tatum has done a great job bouncing back from a rough Game 1, but Jaylen Brown was the driving force behind Boston’s Game 3 victory.

Check out his numbers.

  • 27 points
  • 9 rebounds
  • 5 assists
  • 9-16 field goal shooting
  • 4-8 three-point shooting

My Warriors vs. Celtics pick will value the impact of Brown in Game 4. If he and Tatum have 25+ points, it’ll be tough to pick against the Celtics.

Stephen Curry continues to play at an elite level. Curry scored 31 points in Game 3, bringing his average to 31.3 in the NBA Finals. My 2022 NBA Finals prop bets are looking strong as Curry easily leads the series in points per game.

Ultimately, my Warriors vs. Celtics prediction will need to see more from Golden State’s supporting cast. Klay Thompson had 25 points, but he shot under 45 percent for the third straight game.

We didn’t see Draymond Green have a significant contribution to Game 3.

  • 2 points
  • 4 rebounds
  • 3 assists
  • 1-4 field goal shooting

We’re not expecting Green to have 20+ points, but he averaged 7/7/7 in the regular season. His Game 3 performance wasn’t close to those numbers. The free Warriors vs. Celtics pick will be easy if Green doesn’t show up.

At this point, we’ve seen the Celtics supporting cast help their stars. When will Green, Jordan Poole, and Andrew Wiggins help Curry? Boston will have the upper hand if Marcus Smart and Al Horford continue to play at an elite level.

Warriors vs. Celtics Same Game Parlay

  • Klay Thompson Under 3.5 Rebounds (+102)
  • Al Horford Under 8.5 Rebounds (-110)
  • Marcus Smart Under 5.5 Assists (-127)

We’re taking a trio of unders for my Golden State Warriors vs. Boston Celtics same game parlay. How will these props affect the Warriors vs. Celtics expert pick?

Klay Thompson had his best scoring game of the 2022 NBA Finals, but we haven’t seen his rebounding numbers match his regular-season average. He had a career-high 3.9 per game in the regular season.

He had great rebounding numbers early in the playoffs, but we haven’t seen the same against the Celtics. Thompson has back-to-back three rebound games, but none over 3.5. He hasn’t hit this mark since Game 3 of the WCF. That makes it easy to take the value.

Boston has the size advantage in this series, but Al Horford hasn’t replicated his rebounding numbers from earlier in the playoffs.

  • Game 1: 6 rebounds
  • Game 2: 8 rebounds
  • Game 3: 8 rebounds

Robert Williams’ return hurts his rebounding numbers, but we’ve also seen Jaylen Brown average over seven rebounds. Kevon Looney leads the series with 7.7 rebounds per game.

Horford’s rebounding total likely won’t affect the Warriors vs. Celtics odds. Still, it’s great for my same game parlay.

Marcus Smart was my pick to lead the NBA Finals in assists per game. Jayson Tatum has run away with that honor while Smart averages 4.7. He averaged 6.2 in the ECF, but that’s down in the NBA Finals.

We’ve seen Smart on this number, recording five assists in Games 2 and 3. However, my Warriors vs. Celtics prediction has him going under for the fourth straight game.

Warriors vs. Celtics Pick

My Pick: Warriors (-4.0) (-110)Bet on the Warriors at Bovada

The Boston Celtics have the momentum after a big Game 3 victory, but does anyone think the Golden State Warriors will go down quietly? My Warriors vs. Celtics pick doesn’t think so.

Golden State was within striking distance after a big third quarter. They accomplished that with a down game from Draymond Green and Jordan Poole. One of those players will step up in Game 4. Stephen Curry should continue to do his thing.

My free Warriors vs. Celtics pick has this series at 2-2. Feel free to visit the best NBA betting sites to make your pick.

Nicholas Sterling
Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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