Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers Pick – Sunday Night Football, Week 17, 2021
This week’s edition of Sunday Night Football should be a great game. The Minnesota Vikings are heading to Green Bay to take on their division rival Packers. This will be their second matchup of the season and a very important one.
Both of these teams are fighting for either a playoff spot or the number one seed in the NFC. The Vikings are 7-8, but still have a chance to make the playoffs. The Packers have been impressive yet again this season and are 12-3 coming to this game.
Let’s get into why each team can win this game and my final prediction.
Odds for Vikings vs. Packers
The odds have shifted dramatically since a few days ago. The line started at 7 points in favor of the Packers, but shifted even more in their favor by 6 points. Kirk Cousins will miss this game due to testing positive for COVID, which has a major impact on this game.
The total has also decreased since the opening line, dropping from 48.5 to 42.5.
Hopefully you grabbed the Packers or the under when the odds were that good, because Kirk Cousins status had a major impact on this game.
The odds have been taken down on BetOnline due to the movement for now, but should be back up soon.
Why the Vikings Will Win
Being down your starting quarterback for any game will make it tough to win. Add in the fact that you are up against one of the very best NFL team’s, good luck.
Vikings’ QB Kirk Cousins tested positive for COVID, sources tell ESPN. As an unvaccinated player, he’s out Sunday night vs. Packers.— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) December 31, 2021
With that being said, it won’t be impossible for them to win. They will be severe underdogs with the recent Kirk Cousins news, but other players are capable of stepping it up.
Starting with the new quarterback, Sean Mannion. Mannion has been in the NFL since 2015, but has only made 2 starts. There was speculation that the Vikings would have to start their rookie Kellen Mond after Mannion was on the COVID list himself.
Mannion has not been impressive in his time in the NFL. He currently has 3 interceptions with zero touchdowns to his career stat line. The fact that he hasn’t played in a game in nearly 3 years means he has serious potential to struggle.
The Vikings will also be without Adam Thielen for this week again, which doesn’t help them either. Justin Jefferson will get tons of attention from the Packers’ defense, while Dalvin Cook and the rushing attack absolutely need to have a big game.
More pressure will be applied to the defense as well. They rank 23rd in points allowed per game (24.8) and they gave up 31 points to the Packers their last time out.
Their Vikings’ game plan needs to include an effective run game with a perfect defensive scheme. If Mannion can take care of the football, the Vikings just might have a chance to win this game, or cover their spread at least.
Why the Packers Will Win
There are tons of reasons why the Packers should win this game. They have a very high chance of winning the game straight out, but the moneyline is not profitable.
The Packers are so good on offense that it helps their defense out as well. Their defense has been great, but a ton of credit should be given to their highly successful offense. The Packers give up the 14th fewest points in the NFL per game with 21.6.
The defense also has the fewest number of drives across the entire league with 150 after 15 weeks. They also get a lot of the field to work with and get stops as well. They are 7th in the league in opponents’ average starting drive, which is the 27.3 yard line.
They will get even more help with the return of top end cornerback Jaire Alexander.
The Packers’ defense definitely have held their own this year, but the offense has been incredible yet again. Matt LeFleur and Aaron Rodgers are a Head Coach and QB match made in heaven. Their offense ranks 13th in points per game (25.5), but they average the most time per drive in the entire NFL (3:14 per drive).
They also score in 43% of their drives, while having the lowest turnover percentage in the league as well (5.3%). Rodgers, Davante Adams, and their star running backs are insanely tough to stop.
The Packers will not be taking it easy on the Vikings as they chase the number one seed in the NFC. They probably would like some revenge as well from their last game against the Vikings, losing 34-31.
My Pick for Vikings vs. Packers on SNF
I simply cannot rely on Sean Mannion to play well against this Packers team. This week’s edition of Sunday Night Football can be another boring blowout. The Packers should be able to win this one and further their chances at a first round bye come playoff time.
For the over/under total, the under is now looking like a great bet. It was previously set at 48.5, but has dropped to 42.5 since the Kirk Cousins news. The Vikings offense is likely to struggle mightily, while Packers’ games typically hit the under anyways.
Head over to the best NFL betting sites to place your bets for this week’s Sunday Night Football game.
You can also check out our NFL picks page for more recommended bets.
Green Bay Packers -13-110