Valencia vs. Real Madrid – La Liga, November 8, 2020
Valencia’s La Liga struggles continue as they are now without a win in four games, but managed to avoid the fourth consecutive defeat with a 2-2 home draw with Getafe in the previous round. The team went through a lot of changes in the summer and that’s visible on the field, and it seems that the Bats will be fighting for the mid-table finish this season. Valencia is 13th at the moment with eight points from eight games.
The reigning champions Real Madrid bounced back from a shocking home defeat to Shakhtar Donetsk in the Champions League with three wins in the last four matches, including the one over Inter in the UCL. When it comes to La Liga, Los Galacticos won the previous two, and following a 4-1 home win over Huesca, they moved up to 2nd place with 16 points, one behind Real Sociedad but with a game in hand.
Check out my Valencia vs. Real Madrid betting pick and get the latest news, stats, and H2H record.
Valencia vs. Real Madrid Odds
Valencia Team News and Stats
Valencia dropped two points (and allowed twice) in the final five minutes of their previous league contest despite leading 1-0 by the 80th minute. This potential to collapse is further underlined by the fact that they have allowed a 1.0 on average goals beyond the hour mark in their last five home La Liga matches to be drawn/lost.
On a brighter note, Valencia lost only once in La Liga after leading at the break since the start of 2015/16 (W47, D12, L1). The Bats have also won five (55.56%) of their previous nine La Liga games at Mestalla played on a Sunday, and lost just one of their last six La Liga home H2H duels with Real Madrid (W3, D2, L1).
Javier Gracia will be without Thierry Correia (suspension), Mouctar Diakhaby (muscle), and Vicente Esquerdo (muscle).
Real Madrid Team News and Stats
Real Madrid is without a first-half goal in three La Liga H2H encounters. Yet, an easy 4-1 victory over Huesca (Oct 31) made it only one loss from 18 league matches (W15, D2, L1), with five (62.5%) of the previous eight victories therein seeing them open the scoring inside the first 20 minutes.
Victorious in 63.16% of their La Liga games on the road entered as favorites since the start of 2019/20, Real is yet to lose an away league match since the end of La Liga’s COVID-enforced hiatus (W7, D2), keeping a second-half net intact in five of the seven wins. Four of the victories also saw Real score a goal from the penalty spot.
Zinedine Zidane cannot count on Daniel Carvajal (knee), Eder Militao (illness), Nacho (thigh), and Alvaro Odriozola (calf), while Martin Odegaard is questionable with a muscle injury.
Valencia vs. Real Madrid Pick
Real Madrid to win & BTTS YES+187
Real Madrid won six of the previous ten H2H encounters (D2, L2), including the last two, while Los Galacticos were victorious in two of the past four meetings at Mestalla (D1, L1). Zidane’s side is actually playing better on the road than at home so far in the season, and considering Valencia’s poor form at the moment, I am going with the visitors to secure three points on Sunday.
If the relatively low odds don’t attract you, you can try with BTTS, as 14 of the last 16 H2H duels produced goals on both ends, including each of the previous nine at Mestalla. That being said, I am going with Real to win with BTTS.