Best Upset Picks for Week 9 of the NFL Season
Last week had some insane upsets which could have made you a bunch of money. For example, the Jets were a heavy underdog at +400 and were able to win behind Mike White.
We had some other crazy upsets and hopefully we can pick the right ones this week.
Here are my favorite upset picks for Week 9 of the NFL season, featuring odds from BetOnline.
Cleveland Browns (+129)
The Bengals have solidified themselves into one of the most unpredictable teams of the year. Two weeks ago, they dominated the Ravens to the score of 41-17. Last week, they lost to the Jets 34-31 who were without Zach Wilson. They also lost to the Bears and Packers, while beating the Vikings, Steelers, Lions and Jaguars (by 3).
The Browns are built around the run, while the Bengals do have a highly graded run defense. More pressure will be applied to Baker Mayfield, which isn’t ideal. He should be looking to prove his doubters wrong this week after many have pointed out Odell Beckham’s lack of targets.
I am not huge on the Browns, but after the Bengals loss to the Jets, I have a hard time considering them a good favorite to bet on.
Atlanta Falcons (+230)
The Falcons are another inconsistent team, but when you are looking at underdogs you have to work with what you got. This week they face off with the Saints, who are coming off a huge win over the Buccaneers. We have a potential scenario where one team comes in too emotionally high and unprepared. While the Falcons will be coming off a tough loss and losing Calvin Ridley until further notice.
The Saints also lost quarterback Jameis Winston to a torn ACL, but that didn’t stop him from partying after their huge win.
Trevor Siemian filled in for Winston and played well enough to beat Tom Brady. He has been in the league a while and hasn’t panned out too well. That means he can struggle in this one even though the Falcons don’t have the greatest defense.
Nonetheless, the Saints have been pretty inconsistent despite their 5-2 record. They have beaten tough teams in the Packers, Bucs, and Patriots, but they have also lost to some lower end teams in the Panthers and Giants.
Divisional games are seemingly always closer than expected. The Saints were the team to upset the other favored divisional rival, but they can be the one upset this week. If they come in too unprepared and underestimating of the Falcons, they could find themselves being upset.
Philadelphia Eagles (+102)
You shouldn’t be too impressed by the Eagles from last week. Yes, they had a dominating victory, but it was against the Lions. They take on the Chargers this week at home, but I wouldn’t be too quick to pull the trigger on Los Angeles either.
The Chargers defense is terrible against the run (ranked 32nd) and that might be the only thing the Eagles can do consistently. The Eagles rank second in the league in expected points contributed by rushing offense (via Pro Football Reference), only trailing the Browns.
If the Eagles can hold the Chargers offense, they can control the clock with the running game. It is crucial for them to not turn the ball over, because they could sneak out a win here. The Eagles are not a fun team to bet on, but they just might be able to pull of the upset this week.
Minnesota Vikings (+210)
The Vikings couldn’t even beat the Cowboys, who had to start Cooper Rush instead of Dak Prescott. This week they drew a tough matchup with the Ravens on the road. The Ravens are also coming off a bye, so this could be a very risky bet here. The upside is the profitable odds offered on them.
The Vikings will have to overcome the loss of Danielle Hunter, who was one of their best players on their entire roster. With the Ravens heavy rushing attack, I would argue that Hunter probably wouldn’t have played a major role in this one. I would say Anthony Barr, Eric Kendricks, and Harrison Smith will be tasked with more run stuffing duties. They have a decent amount of personnel to match up with the Ravens rushing attack.
Look for the Vikings to take some pages out of the Bengals game plan from Week 7, in which they beat the Ravens 41-17. The Ravens are a very solid team especially at home, but they aren’t indestructible.
Betting on Upsets in Week 9 of the NFL Season
Upsets are very hard to predict for a reason. The whole reason why they are upsets is because they are risky options. This week is no different with my upset picks of the week. These four teams can very well all lose this week, being the unreliable teams that they are. They could also have a realistic chance of winning, as we have seen huge upsets just this past week.