UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis Predictions and Best Bets for All Fights

| February 15, 2021 11:11 am PDT

When I started to put my predictions for UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis together, I thought this card was so-so.

But as you’ll find out, there are some awesome matchups to look forward to this Saturday, February 20.

I’ll be making predictions and picks for all fights on the Blaydes vs. Lewis card. There is one fight, in particular, that could have a major effect on the heavyweight division. And I am not talking about the main event.

I’ll get to that a little later.

If you are gambling on the UFC this weekend, I have put together the best bets for Blaydes vs. Lewis and the rest of the bouts this weekend. I have also added some sleepers for the card that could make you money on the action.

We’ll get to that soon. First, let’s start off my predictions for all fights at UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis with the top bout on the bill.

Blaydes to Beat Lewis by KO/TKO

It’s been labeled as a potential classic. But I’m going to go against the grain and start my Blaydes vs. Lewis predictions by forecasting a very one-sided bout at the top of the pile.

I love Derrick Lewis. In fact, I think the guy is awesome to have on the UFC roster. But at the same time, he doesn’t have an x-factor or the refined and well-rounded skill set to beat the top fighters in the heavyweight division.

And while a win for Lewis would hardly rank among the biggest upsets in UFC history, it would be a big surprise.

Curtis Blaydes sits at #2 in the official UFC heavyweight rankings. He is an absolute savage, and I think he beats everyone in his weight class, not named Francis Ngannou.

I made my prediction for Blaydes vs. Lewis back in November, and it hasn’t changed since the fight was rearranged. Blaydes will have too much for The Black Beast to handle and will take him out with nasty ground and pound in round 2.

If you’re not convinced, my Blaydes vs. Lewis best bets, pick, and odds piece might change your mind.

Let’s move on with my UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis predictions to the co-main event.

Vieira to Beat Kunitskaya by KO/TKO

Last weekend’s UFC 258 co-main between Maycee Barber and Alexa Grasso was hard to justify.

This weekend’s Ketlen Vieira vs. Yana Kunitskaya bout might also raise a few eyebrows. But one of my predictions for UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis — one that you won’t be able to gamble on at any of the top MMA betting apps or sites is that the fight will be top-notch.

Amanda Nunes, the reigning UFC women’s bantamweight queen, isn’t exactly inundated with callouts from worthy challengers. So, it’s not hard to see the winner of this fight moving closer to a potential shot at the title.

Vieira The Tale of the Tape Kunitskaya
29 Age 31
5’7” Height 5’5”
135 lbs Weight 135 lbs
68 in Reach 68.5 in
11-1 Record 13-5-1 (NC)

I like Vieira more in this bout. Yes, she lost her first fight by getting absolutely smoked by Irene Aldana back at UFC 245 in December 2019, but these things happen.

Kunitskaya is no joke. But unless she can set the tempo in this fight and shut down Vieira’s attack, she will be overwhelmed and pushed back against the fence and beaten up.

My UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis co-main prediction for Vieira vs. Kunitskaya is a KO/TKO win for the Brazilian.

Rosa to Beat Minner by Submission

Continuing my predictions for all fights at UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis, this fight might be one of the quickest on the card.

Nebraskan featherweight Darrick Minner has an opportunity to make a name for himself if he can beat Charles Rosa on Saturday night.

It’s a big ask. I don’t believe that Minner is the type of guy that can get past Rosa, but I don’t doubt that he will give it his best shot.

Rosa has three losses in the UFC. Those losses came to Dennis Siver, Yair Rodríguez, Shane Burgos, and Bryce Mitchell. Burgos is the only one of that quartet that managed to stop him.

In terms of x-factors, Rosa’s is definitely his ground game. He has eight submission wins to his name, and conversely, has never been forced to tap.

Interestingly, the last six of Minner’s bouts have ended in submissions.

He lost to Herbert Burns by triangle choke on the Contender Series in 2019 and Grant Dawson by rear-naked choke in his UFC debut in February 2020. He bounced back from that loss by submitting T.J. Laramie by way of a first-round guillotine in September.

My pick is Rosa to win by submission in round one. It’s not the most controversial of my UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis predictions for the card, it has to be said.

Oleinik to Beat Daukaus by Submission

Speaking of submission specialists, you won’t find a UFC fighter with a crazier history of tapping his opponents out than this guy.

46 of Oleinik’s 59 wins have come by way of submission. That includes five from his last six victories inside the Octagon.

The only fighter he has failed to submit in a win is Fabricio Werdum, who is still a world-class BJJ player.

Daukaus is 9-3. He has won all of his fights by KO/TKO and has lost two by being knocked out. The remaining loss came by way of submission.

This is a tough one to call, as we know Oleinik’s chin isn’t exactly rock solid. But if Daukaus makes a mistake, he could find himself at the behest of the veteran. Given that Oleinik can strike and that he still looks pretty good, I’m going to give him the nod in this fight.

Looking for some inspiration? Check this video that features some of his best finishes in the UFC.

Sabatini to Beat Alves by Decision

A second-round submission on the Contender Series earned Rafael Alves his UFC contract.

The Brazilian goes toe-to-toe with fellow UFC debutant Pat Sabatini on the main card. It should be a good fight, but as far as UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis predictions goes, it’s probably the hardest bout to call from top to bottom.

Alves is a solid veteran that takes a winning run of five into the cage. Sabatini is 4-1 from his last five, with an arm injury responsible for his last defeat, which came back in February 2020. He didn’t tap, which culminated in a broken arm. Ouch.

From what I’ve seen of Sabitini, he’s a dynamic fighter that likes to mix things up. He is a little unconventional and has decent power and a strong submission game.

When I made my betting pick for Alves vs. Sabitini, I was conscious of the Brazilian moving down in weight to 145. I think this could be the thing that separates these two.

I’ll speak more about this fight later, as it is one of the best bets for UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis.

Aspinall to Beat Arlovski by KO/TKO

Now, this should be a fight!

What we have here is a former UFC heavyweight champion in Andrei Arlovski against an up-and-coming savage in Tom Aspinall. It’s Belarus vs. England and experience vs. youth.

You came here for a solid betting prediction for Blaydes vs. Lewis, which I gave you. But as for predictions for all fights at UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis, I can tell you that I feel as confident in betting on Aspinall to beat Arlovski as I do with gambling on the main event.

My pick for Arlovski vs. Aspinall is a TKO win for the Englishman.

If you are looking to make money with your bets on Blaydes vs. Lewis, I’d recommend looking at the odds for this one, too.

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis Prelims Predictions

The top fight on the prelims could be one of the fights of the year. I’m talking about Phil Hawes vs. Nassourdine Imavov, of course.

So, let’s start my predictions for the prelims of Blaydes vs. Lewis off with this one, which is a real pick ’em.

Hawes to Beat Imavov by KO/TKO

I wouldn’t say that Hawes to win by KO/TKO is among the crazy bets for UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis.

However, I can understand that it might be a little controversial. Mostly because Imavov is a 9-2 welterweight prospect on a five-fight streak. The Frenchman is an exciting talent and proficient with a wide array of weapons.

But Hawes has that great equalizer — his power.

This one could get messy.

Chavez to Beat Gordon by KO/TKO

Another fight you could class as a pick ’em, I wouldn’t blame you if your predictions for Danny Chavez vs. Jared Gordon come with a little toing and froing.

Chavez comes with a lot of power. Gordon is the more well-rounded of the pair and also has more experience under his belt.

But given all four of his losses have come by way of KO/TKO, and Chavez has that pop, it’s hard to bet on Fast Hands getting out there with the win.

Klose vs. Pena

Drakkar Klose takes on Pena in an interesting fight on the prelims.

Klose has the right style to beat Pena, who might find it difficult to break his opponent down.

Klose’s consistency, patience, and perseverance get him the win on the cards.

More Blaydes vs. Lewis Prelims Picks

  • Wineland to Beat Castaneda by DecisionLandwehr to Beat Erosa by Decision
  • O’Neill to Beat Dobson by Decision
  • Skelly to Beat Emmers by Submission
  • Rodriguez to Beat Zahabi by Decision
  • Spivak to Beat Vanderaa by Submission

If my predictions for UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis are correct, there will be four submissions on the night.

Two of them will come in the prelims.

Top Picks for UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis Picks

  • Blaydes to Beat Lewis (-400)
  • Aspinall to Beat Arlovski (-260)
  • Spivak to Beat Janderaa (-230)

Let’s get my best bets for UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis up and running with the main event.

The line for Blaydes vs. Lewis comes as no surprise to me. Blaydes is the better fighter and deserves to be among the best bets for the UFC this weekend.

Aspinall to beat Arlovski is -260. If you want better odds for this one, wait until the props for UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis come out and take him to win by KO/TKO.

The last of my best picks for the Blaydes vs. Lewis card is Spivak to win. Once again, you can wait until the props are released to back him to get the sub, but that’s entirely up to you.

Best Sleepers for UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis

  • Sabatini to Beat Alves (+160)
  • Oleinik to Beat Daukaus (+150)

I have just two UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis sleepers for you to look at.

There is a reason for that, of course. It’s simple — the props have yet to be released yet, and these are the two best value bets for Blaydes vs. Lewis.

First, my pick for Sabatini to beat Alves works well when the odds are +160 for the American to win. I think he gets it done by decision.

My final UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis sleeper is Oleinik to beat Daukaus.

Now, this is one that I actually recommend holding off on until the props for Blaydes vs. Lewis are available.

If the price is right, back him to win by submission. If the odds aren’t really much different, just back him at these odds. There’s value in this one.

Wrapping Up My Blaydes vs. Lewis Predictions and Best Bets

It’s always interesting to see other folks’ take on fights.

So, if you were comparing your predictions and picks for UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis, I hope I gave you some food for thought. There are some difficult ones to call on this card, no doubt.

As for the best Blaydes vs. Lewis bets, I’m sure there’s enough material up there for you to work with. There aren’t many fights I’d recommend avoiding, but the main event and Arlovski vs. Aspinall are the most straight forward to call.

Of all my Blaydes vs. Lewis predictions, I’m looking forward to seeing if Aspinall can stop the former champion.

Remember that you can find more UFC betting content and reading material by visiting the following sections of our site.

Bookmark ‘em both to find them easier next time!

Enjoy the fights this weekend!

Adam Haynes
Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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