Predictions and Best Bets for UFC 260 – March 27, 2021

| March 24, 2021 10:14 am PDT

If you’re looking to bet on Stipe Micocic vs. Francis Ngannou 2 and the other fights at UFC 260 this weekend, grab yourself a drink and take a seat. 

We have some talking to do ahead of the biggest UFC heavyweight rematch of all time.

The action goes down at the APEX in Las Vegas this Saturday, March 27. I’m going to be making my prediction for Stipe vs. Ngannou 2, as well as the other fights on this card. Bouts such as Tyron Woodley vs. Vicente Luque and Sean O’Malley vs. Thomas Almeida serve to make this a card to remember.

Let’s start my UFC 260 predictions and betting picks for Stipe vs. Ngannou 2 and the rest of the card with the one everyone is talking about. 

Miocic to Beat Ngannou by Decision

If you’re here to find advice for betting on Stipe to beat Ngannou at UFC 260, you’ve come to the right place.

The evening’s main event is a rare heavyweight fight in the sense that it’s a championship encounter that is hard to call at first glance. But regardless of whether you’re here for a betting pick for Miocic vs. Ngannou 2 or a bit of inspiration before you bet on UFC 260 online, it pays to think.

As I touched upon in my full betting preview for Stipe vs. Ngannou, folks are betting real money on Ngannou to beat Stipe on the basis that he knocks him out. We all saw how the first bout between these two went, and it certainly wasn’t in favor of “The Predator.”

A great technician almost always beats a great power puncher. You can’t exactly say that’s something to bank on, but when two men of the same size go head-to-head, I’ll usually side with the better all-around fighter. In this case, it’s Stipe.

Will Stipe beat Ngannou in the rematch? That remains to be seen. He has clearer paths to victory than Ngannou, who will be relying on catching the lighter, more technical fighter with a knockout blow early in the fight.

Ngannou is a monster. Ngannou can beat Stipe. But I don’t think Ngannou will beat Stipe in the rematch.

Francis has looked ferocious in his last four fights, ending them all inside the first. But the fact of the matter is that we have seen little improvement in the grappling and technical areas since Miocic dominated him at UFC 220

Little has changed since their first fight. If anything, Stipe has improved while there remains a question mark over the challenger.

My betting pick for Stipe vs. Ngannou 2 is Stipe by decision.

Luque to Beat Woodley by Decision

Former welterweight champion Tyron Woodley takes on all-action Vicente Luque in the co-main of the evening. 

This could be a very interesting fight, given that a loss for “The Chosen One” could effectively end his UFC career. A win for Tyron, however, could see him on the path to one last title run. 

If you’re betting on Woodley vs. Luque, I’d recommend playing smart when choosing your best bets for UFC 260’s penultimate scrap. It’s a very tough one to call, given the stylistic matchup here. Therefore, there is a case for avoiding wagering on Woodley vs. Luque at all.

Still, if you have set your heart on finding the best bets for Woodley vs. Luque online, you’ll want something to look at. If that sounds like your predicament, I advise betting on Luque to beat Woodley by decision. 

First, Woodley has failed to win a single round since September 2018. He has been completely gun-shy and devoid of ideas since then. And while there is always a chance he can pull a spectacular KO out of the bag, the last time he knocked anyone out was Robbie Lawler in his title win back in July 2016. 

Luque has serious power, with 11 KO/TKOs from 19 wins. But given that only Nate Marquardt has “properly” knocked T-Wood out (back in 2012), I’m not set on predicting Luque to KO Woodley.

My betting pick for Woodley vs. Luque is a decision win for the Brazilian. Yes, he can finish fights, but the former champion still has a great chin.

Almeida to Beat O’Malley by KO/TKO

Thomas Almeida is another fighter that has seemingly lost his spark.

On a three-fight skid heading into his UFC 260 bout with the much-hyped Sean O’Malley, the 29-year-old needs something special to turn his ship around. Now, I’m not exactly adding a big betting upset to my UFC 260 predictions here, but I have a feeling Almeida could surprise us all on the night.

O’Malley returns to the cage as one of the top picks for UFC 260, with many pundits and observers backing O’Malley to starch Almeida. The top UFC betting sites make O’Malley a -350 favorite to win, despite coming off the first loss of his career against Marlon Vera last year. 

I like O’Malley, but a long layoff combined with a hungry opponent literally fighting for his UFC career should not sound attractive to anyone betting on UFC 260 online. The betting value is with Almeida, who was 21-0 before losing to former bantamweight king Cody Garbrandt and is coming off a loss at 145. 

Almeida to win by KO/TKO is up there with the best bets for UFC 260. I’ll explain why a little later. First, let’s move on to more UFC 260 predictions.

Worthy to Beat Mullarkey by Decision

One of the toughest UFC 260 picks to make is in the Khama Worthy vs. Jamie Mullarkey bout on the main card.

Things should really go the way of Worthy, but his suspect chin combined with Mullarkey’s power and awkward style means that there could be an upset in this one. 

Now, I’m going to take Worthy to navigate through the three rounds with his chin intact. But just the smallest error could see “The Deathstar” flat on his back. Again. After all, Worthy is 7-3 from his last ten, with all three losses ending by first-round KO/TKO. In total, he has lost seven fights as a pro, with six coming by way of fight-ending strikes. 

Here’s Worthy’s recent record.

Result Opponent Method of Victory Event
Loss Ottman Azaitar TKO (punches) UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill
Win Luis Peña Submission (guillotine choke) UFC on ESPN: Poirier vs. Hooker
Win Devonte Smith TKO (punches) UFC 241
Win Adam Ward KO (punches) 247 FC: Brawl In The Burgh
Win Joey Munoz Decision (unanimous) 247 FC: Steeltown Throwdown
Win Tim Cho Submission (rear-naked choke) Pinnacle FC: Pinnacle Fighting Championships
Win Brady Hovermale TKO (punches) Made Men Promotions: Rivers Rumble MMA
Win Michael Roberts Decision (unanimous) Pinnacle FC: Pinnacle Fighting Championships 16

Look, Worthy is the better fighter. But I simply can’t make him one of my top UFC 260 bets due to his shaky chin.

If you are looking to bet on UFC 260 with real money, I’d recommend avoiding this fight unless you’re looking for big odds. If that’s the case, my best sleeper picks for UFC 260 are worth a look. 

Before we get to those, here are my betting picks for the UFC 260 prelims. 

Prelims Predictions for UFC 260

  • Knight to Beat Menifield by KO/TKO
  • Goldy to Beat Penne by Decision
  • Nurmagomedov to Beat Gooden by Decision
  • Oleksiejczuk to Beat Bukauskas by KO/TKO
  • Maverick to Robertson by KO/TKO
  • Young to Beat Morales by Decision

There are some great fights to bet on at UFC 260.

The prelims are no different, with some exciting matchups to look forward to.

At the top of the pile is Alonzo Menifield vs. William Knight. This scrap has KO written all over it, and I’m backing Knight to come through with the win. That’s just one of the UFC 260 best bets to look at ahead of this weekend, but will it make the following list?

Keep reading, and I’ll explain.

Best Bets for UFC 260

Stipe to Beat Ngannou+105
Luque to Beat Woodley-275
Nurmagomedov to Beat Gooden-225

I have previously talked up Stipe Miocic’s chances ahead of this bout and think he is a great bet just above evens to win. 

Take Stipe to beat Ngannou by decision for even better odds. But in all fairness, his price right now is very good.

Vicente Luque to beat Tyron Woodley is another of my recommended bets for UFC 260, as is Abubakar Nurmagomedov to beat Jared Gooden.

Top Sleepers for UFC 260

Almeida to Beat O’Malley+240
Mullarkey to Beat Worthy by KO/TKO+280

The best UFC 260 sleepers are Thomas Almeida to beat Shane O’Malley and Jamie Mullarkey to beat Khama Worthy by KO/TKO.

Almeida is being slept on ahead of this bout. So, if you’re looking for solid odds for a fighter that can put a bad run behind him with one punch, take the Brazilian.

Worthy’s chin is always there for the taking. Australia’s Mullarkey knows this and will be looking to make his already impressive stoppages record even more attractive.

More UFC Predictions and Best Bets

If you’re betting on UFC 260 this Saturday, March 27, you’ll know that it’s the last opportunity to gamble on UFC fights in March 2021.

We have some more great fights coming up, however, so make sure to check out the following sections of our site for the top bets for UFC 261 as well as the upcoming UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Vettori and Whittaker vs. Gastelum events. 

Additionally, take a look at our UFC betting guide for more advice on betting on fights.

Until next time!

Adam Haynes
Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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