Turf Paradise Racing Picks – Tuesday, February 16, 2021
Turf Paradise brings us a variety-pack of nine claiming races — including maiden and allowance — for our Tuesday wagering and entertainment.
Remember that Turf Paradise is open to a limited number of spectators, and if you attend, expect the races to run under partly cloudy skies, with highs in the upper 60s and wins up around 16 mph.
And while I review the top three races here, you can find Turf Paradise’s full nine-race card for Tuesday — including entries, jockeys, morning line odds, and wagering options — at one of our top horse racing betting sites.
Whichever the case, let’s get on to my Turf Paradise picks and betting tips for Tuesday, February 16, 2021.
Pick for Race 1 at Turf Paradise
This is a maiden optional claiming race for three-year-old fillies running a distance of five furlongs for a purse of $16,300.
I like the second-favored (3/1) entry in this tightly-matched maiden race — Taylor Rain, with Enrique Portillo Gomez in the irons. This filly moneyed all three of her career starts.
The longest odds in this seven-horse field are 8/1, so no recommendation for a value show wager for this race.
- Win: Taylor Rain 3/1
Pick for Race 3 at Turf Paradise
This is an allowance optional claiming race for four-year-olds and upward running a distance of 7-1/2 furlongs on turf for a purse of $18,500.
I like one of the 5/1 underdogs (there are two in this race) for the win here — Buckley Bay, ridden by Alex M. Cruz. This seven-year-old gelding moneyed 14 of his 24 career starts, winning eight, which makes him the statistical leader in this seven-horse field.
There’s a 50/1 longshot in this race, but that is not going to happen, so let’s just forget I even mentioned it.
- Win: Buckley Bay 5/1
Pick for Race 6 at Turf Paradise
This is a maiden optional claiming race for three-year-olds running a distance of six furlongs for a purse of $16,300.
I’m going to go along with the morning line in this maiden race and buy a win ticket on the 5/2 favorite — Saturday Value with Heribert Martinez aboard. This gelding moneyed his single career start, finishing second at Turf Paradise last month.
There are two longer-odds entries — including a 20/1 longshot — in this race, but neither of them looks likely to finish anywhere near the money against this field, so save your long money.
- Win: Saturday Value 7/2
More Picks for Tuesday
Turf Paradise had some pleasant surprises for us, so let’s move on to the other two tracks I reviewed for Tuesday: