Tuesday’s MLB Predictions – Betting Tips for May 4, 2021
Following a day in which a third of the league was off, all 30 teams take the field in what will be an action-packed Tuesday. None of the games begin before 6:40 PM ET, and a number of aces are slated to take the mound.
What does this mean?
It means there are tons of baseball betting opportunities staring us in the face.
After running through my MLB predictions for May 4th, I’ll uncover my best bets of the day.
MLB Game Winner Predictions for May 4th
- Marlins to beat the Diamondbacks
- White Sox to beat the Reds
- Astros to beat the Yankees
- Nationals to beat the Braves
- Phillies to beat the Brewers
- Red Sox to beat the Tigers
- Cubs to beat the Dodgers
- Twins to beat the Rangers
- Mets to beat the Cardinals
- Indians to beat the Royals
- Rockies to beat the Giants
- Rays to beat the Angels
- Athletics to beat the Blue Jays
- Mariners to beat the Orioles
- Padres to beat the Pirates
Apparently, I’m not the only one trying to scoot in on the Cubbies. Vegas opened the Dodgers vs. Cubs game with LA -190 on the money line. By the time the best baseball betting sites released their MLB odds for Tuesday, the Dodgers were down to -172.
Picking the Mets to beat the Cardinals with Jacob deGrom on the bump seems like a no-brainer, but New York’s offensive struggles when deGrom is pitching are unfortunately alive and well.
The Mets have scored a total of 13 runs in Jacob’s five starts this season.
I’m not going to touch the games involving Kershaw or deGrom. I see enough elsewhere on the schedule to keep me intrigued.
Top MLB Upset Picks for May 4th
- Nationals +125 (over the Braves)
- Indians +127 (over the Royals)
Talk about two NL East teams headed in different directions; the Braves stumble into Tuesday’s tilt in D.C., losers of four straight. On the opposite end of the spectrum, the Nationals are seeking their fifth consecutive win.
Atlanta starter Huascar Ynoa was excellent against Washington back on April 7th, but that was the first time any of Dave Martinez’s batters had a look at the 22-year-old hurler. Getting a second crack at Ynoa should produce different results.
Nationals starter Joe Ross had one horrible outing back on April 19th, but he’s been tremendous in each of his other three starts.
Moving along to another one of my top MLB upset picks on Tuesday, I nabbed Cleveland at +127 on the road in Kansas City. The Royals are currently leading the AL Central Division, but there’s a lot of “smoke in mirrors” going on.
Mike Minor (Tuesday’s starter) was brought in during the offseason to shore up the Royals staff; instead, he’s surrendered at least four runs in three of his five starts. Kansas City can’t “fake it” week after week – this is a good spot to jump on the Tribe.
Best MLB Bets for Tuesday, May 4th
- White Sox over the Reds (-114)
- Mariners vs. Orioles Over 8.5 Runs (-120)
Start backing Dylan Cease before the rest of the world takes notice. Lucas Giolito raved about Cease throughout Spring Training; we’re beginning to see exactly why Giolito was so giddy about his teammate.
Cease was brilliant last time out (7 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 9K, 0 BB), and it was the way he commanded the game that has the South Siders so amped up. One second, Dylan was overpowering hitters with a 98-mph four-seamer; the next second, he made batters look silly with a 12-6 curve.
Dylan Cease, Beautiful 78mph Curveball. ? pic.twitter.com/hpih4vpOCn— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) April 30, 2021
It’s safe to say I like Chicago’s chances of taking care of business in Cincy.
During my search for the best MLB picks to suggest, I was surprised the total wasn’t 9 or 9.5 in Seattle. Heck, the only two games on Tuesday’s schedule with a lower total are ones featuring Jacob deGrom and Aaron Nola.
In this case, the M’s are turning to Justin Dunn – at least 10 runs have been scored in three of his four starts. Brandon Hyde is handing the ball to a guy who’s sporting a 7.48 ERA and has allowed more hits than innings pitched.
Don’t overthink this one. Just book it and root for a shootout in Seattle.