Picks for the Toyota 200 – NASCAR Truck Series (2022)

| June 1, 2022 8:29 am PDT

Kyle Busch was a non-factor as my top pick in last week’s Truck Series race. However, Carson Hocevar was two laps away from scoring the victory as a (+2500) long shot. Unfortunately, a late-race caution lost him the lead.

That was a tough blow, but we’ll shift our focus to Gateway. Gateway will host its first Cup Series race this weekend, but the Truck Series has been racing at the 1.25-mile oval since 1998, excluding 2011 to 2013.

Which drivers have the upper hand at World Wide Technology Raceway? Check out my top picks.

Zane Smith (+350)

Zane Smith has had a dream start to the 2022 season. Smith entered the season with three wins in 46 Truck Series starts. He accomplished that feat in only eight races, including winning the season opener at Daytona.

Smith led 52 laps en route to a fifth-place finish at Charlotte. That gave him his eighth top 10 finish in ten races. Smith shouldn’t have an issue continuing that streak, but he’ll have bigger aspirations at Gateway.

Check out his numbers in three starts at the track.

  Finishing Position Laps Led
2018 5th 0
2020 7th 45
2021 35th 19

It’s important to show the laps led because Smith hasn’t earned the finish he deserved.

Smith started on the pole in 2020, finishing top three in the first two stages. He wasn’t as strong last season, but his truck was good enough to compete for a top-five finish. Unfortunately, a gear issue ended his race.

Smith will drive the same truck that Todd Gilliland dominated in the 2020 race at Gateway. He led 75 laps but wound up with a disappointing finish.

That performance should give Smith more confidence for Gateway. He should be a top contender for Saturday’s race.

Ben Rhodes (+900)

Ben Rhodes’ 2022 season has been a tale of two stories. The 2021 Truck Series Champion had five top-five finishes in his first six races, including a victory in the Bristol Dirt race. Rhodes also led 150+ laps.

Unfortunately, we haven’t seen the same driver in the last four races. Rhodes has a pair of 10th place finishes and two finishes of 25th or worse. The only silver lining is he remains second in the standings.

It’s hard to trust Rhodes after his recent performance, but his Gateway numbers give me confidence in a bounce-back performance.

  • 6 starts
  • 2 top-five finishes
  • 4 top 10 finishes
  • 4 laps led
  • 8.5 average finish

The only issue for Rhodes is his lack of laps led at Gateway. Still, we’ve seen him exhibit consistency.

Sheldon Creed had the field covered in last year’s race, leading 142 of 163 laps. However, Rhodes ran top five all race. He finished top three in both stages, scoring a third-place finish.

The struggles will likely scare people off, but it’s only a matter of time before he has a great race. It wouldn’t surprise me if that happened at Gateway.

Stewart Friesen (+1100)

Stewart Friesen was a non-factor in the 2022 season, but that changed with his victory at Texas. Friesen failed to capitalize on that performance, finishing ninth at Charlotte.

It’ll be interesting to see which driver shows up at Gateway. He has never won at the track, but the numbers show he has been in contention for multiple wins. Friesen had a truck capable of winning in 2019 and 2021.

  2019 2021
Starting Position 4th 9th
Stage 1 Finish 2nd 2nd
Stage 2 Finish 8th 5th
Race Finish 3rd 4th
Laps Led 20 0

He led 20 laps in the 2019 race, but the driver rating gives a slight advantage to the 2021 race. Friesen ran top-five all race, finishing with an average running position of fourth. He’ll need slight improvement to score his first Gateway victory.

Honestly, Friesen likely wouldn’t make my top picks without his performance at Texas. That showed he’s still capable of competing for wins. It was especially impressive to see him make a last-lap pass for the win.

We’ve seen Friesen in contention to win at Gateway. There isn’t a clear favorite for Saturday’s race, so we could see him emerge from the pack.

Grant Enfinger (+1400)

The top NASCAR betting sites continue to undervalue Grant Enfinger. Enfinger didn’t have the best start to the 2022 season, finishing outside the top 20 in his first two races. He steadily improved over his next four races, finishing from eighth to 12th.

Lately, we’ve seen Enfinger in contention in nearly every race. Check out his finishes in the last four Truck Series races.

  • Darlington: 3rd
  • Kansas: 3rd
  • Texas: 11th
  • Charlotte: 2nd

Enfinger has three top-three finishes in his last four races. That can’t be the reason his odds are (+1400). Could it be because he has struggled at Gateway? The numbers tell a different story.

He has three top 10 finishes in five starts. Enfinger had the truck to beat in 2019, leading 52 laps and winning both stages. Unfortunately, a tire issue in the final stage ruined his great run. Enfinger recovered for a seventh-place finish.

Enfinger struggled in last year’s race, but that’s the only time we haven’t seen him run near the front at Gateway. There’s too much value not to consider wagering on him.

Can he end a 32-race winless streak with a breakout performance at Gateway?

Who Will Win the Toyota 200?

My Pick: Grant Enfinger (+1400)Bet on Truck Series Racing at Bovada

Initially, I was going to pick Zane Smith to win the Toyota 200. However, Grant Enfinger’s recent stretch gives me confidence for Gateway.

We talked about Enfinger’s three top-three finishes in four races. We’ve also seen him in contention to win at Gateway. It’s not often you have a driver with his numbers at (+1400) odds.

Truck Series fans can tune into the Toyota 200 on Saturday at 1:30 p.m. ET on FS1. Feel free to check out our NASCAR picks page for coverage on the Cup Series and Xfinity Series.

Nicholas Sterling
Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with GamblingSites.com since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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