TOUR Championship 2020 Betting Preview – Picking the Winner at East Lake

| August 31, 2020 12:26 pm PDT

Make sure you know what you’re getting yourself into before you start placing wagers.

This preview is geared toward betting on who wins the TOUR Championship in 2020. That means accounting for the preset leaderboard in place – the one that has some players spotting Dustin Johnson a 10-shot lead before they even peg it on Friday.

There are separate TOUR Championship odds if you simply want to bet on who shoots the lowest score over 72 holes, but what’s the fun in that?

I’m interested in who’s going to hoist the trophy and collect the staggering $15 million first-place prize.

With that in mind, let’s dive into a TOUR Championship prediction.

TOUR Championship Odds to Win

DJ and Rahm have separated themselves from the pack thanks to arriving at East Lake Golf Club sitting 1-2 in the FedEx Cup standings. Justin Thomas, Webb Simpson, and Collin Morikawa round out the top 5 and represent the players starting with the biggest leg up when the TOUR Championship gets underway.

Here’s a closer look at where things stand.

2020 TOUR Championship Starting Leaderboard

Position Player Score
1 Dustin Johnson -10
2 Jon Rahm -8
3 Justin Thomas -7
4 Webb Simpson -6
5 Collin Morikawa -5
6 Daniel Berger -4
6 Harris English -4
6 Bryson DeChambeau -4
6 Sungjae Im -4
6 Hideki Matsuyama -4
11 Brendon Todd -3
11 Rory McIlroy -3
11 Patrick Reed -3
11 Xander Schauffele -3
11 Sebastian Munoz -3
16 Lanto Griffin -2
16 Scottie Scheffler -2
16 Joaquin Niemann -2
16 Tyrrell Hatton -2
16 Tony Finau -2
21 Kevin Kisner -1
21 Abraham Ancer -1
21 Ryan Palmer -1
21 Kevin Na -1
21 Marc Leishman -1
26 Cameron Smith E
26 Viktor Hovland E
26 Mackenzie Hughes E
26 Cameron Champ E
26 Billy Horschel E


Can Rory Defend His Title?

Rory McIlroy overcame a five-shot deficit starting the week to claim the 2019 TOUR Championship. He’ll begin the 2020 edition trailing DJ and Rahm by seven and five strokes, respectively.

Keep in mind, “Rors’ is yet to produce a top-10 finish during the restart and there’s a genuine chance he may not even stick around Atlanta to see the TOUR Championship through. McIlroy’s wife is pregnant with the couple’s first child and is due “any day.” Rory was quick to confirm that he’d be “out of here” in the event she goes into labor.

McIlroy toyed around with a couple of putters during competition last week and has gone on record stating that he’s having a hard time finding energy on the golf course sans a gallery.

Rory’s clearly a bit disengaged, but perhaps having no expectations could be a blessing in disguise.

Don’t Sleep on Morikawa

Rory isn’t the only golfer lurking at +2000 who should be on your radar. 68-68 over the weekend at Olympia Fields has Collin Morikawa in a tremendous position to make a run at East Lake.

Remember, 5th place at five-under-par is exactly where Rory stood at the beginning of the 2019 TOUR Championship. McIlroy ended up winning by four shots.

Collin understandably regressed at the Northern Trust following his triumph at the PGA, but now he’s back in the swing of the things. On top of that, the layout this week demanding off the tee and into the greens.

Anytime a track places a premium on striking your golf ball, I want Morikawa in my corner.  

My TOUR Championship Pick

I love the upside attached to Morikawa at +2000. Of course, there’s a ton of merit in backing Dustin Johnson and/or Jon Rahm given their current form.

However, let’s not forget about the 2017 FedEx Cup champ who is quietly sitting at -7. As far as how Justin Thomas has fared at this venue before, try nothing worse than 7th-place in four career appearances (2016-2019).

Don’t get too caught up in JT’s pedestrian-like T-25 at the BMW either. Trust the visual evidence – this dude is showing up to East Lake dialed in and ready to attack.

  • Justin Thomas
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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