Top DFS Picks for the BMW Championship in 2021

| August 24, 2021 3:16 pm PDT

The setting this week is Caves Valley Golf Club in Owings Mills, MD. Resting just 15 or so miles northwest of downtown Baltimore, this private Tom Fazio design is highlighted by its lightning-quick greens and undulating fairways.

Likely to be a tough test; only 30 of the 69 who are here will pass this exam and advance to the TOUR Championship.

One way to get in on the action is to pencil in your top BMW Championship DFS picks and enter some of the GPPs on DraftKings. Those looking for some lineup advice, here are six names to target.

Justin Thomas – $10,600

It’s safe to say that going back to his old putter was the right decision for Justin Thomas. Thanks to some early-week advice at THE NORTHERN TRUST from a 15-year-old he had never met, JT benched his new wand and stuck old faithful back in the bag.

The decision paid dividends immediately; Thomas led the field in putting from inside 10’ (66-68) at Liberty National.

One of the best iron players on the planet has garnered some serious confidence with his flat stick. Look for big things from Justin this week.

Rory McIlroy – $9,400

Speaking of gaining some momentum on the greens, have some faith in Rory knowing he finished 18th in SG: Putting last week on his way to registering 20 birdies. Keep in mind, McIlroy strode into the playoffs on a T4-T12 burst that included him leading the field in SG: Off-the-Tee at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational.

Seeing that Caves Valley can stretch out to well over 7,500 yards, Rory’s advantages with a driver in his hands bodes well for his chances. Also working in his favor is the fact that he must play well to move on to Atlanta. Rory enters the week 28th in the standings.

Sam Burns – $8,300

A pair of back-nine double bogeys on Monday cost Burns a top-10 finish at TNT, but that’s neither here nor there. The key is the 25-year-old winner of the Valspar Championship is in full control of his game.

Since winning in Tampa, Sam has tacked on two more runner-up finishes, including earlier this month in Memphis. For crying out loud, the dude is rocking a thick mustache. That tells you all you need to know regarding his self-belief.

Those still not convinced that Burns is among the best DFS picks for the BMW Championship, perhaps these tidbits push you over the edge.

  • 4th in Par-Breakers
  • 1st in Par-4 Birdie or Better Leaders
  • 8th in Putting Average

Having already clinched his berth to East Lake, Sam’s playing with house money. $8,300 is too cheap for his services.

Paul Casey – $8,200

A sluggish showing in Jersey City (T64) has caused Paul Casey’s price to dip in DFS golf. Those who got burned will be wary of pulling the trigger on the Englishman again. As a result, Paul’s a fine play in GPPs this week.

Set to make his fourth start in August, Casey’s already had quite a productive month. 4th at the Tokyo Olympics and 5th at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, and don’t forget he kicked the summer off by finishing 4th at the PGA Championship and 7th at the US Open. The guy simply knows how to show up in the game’s biggest events.

Needing to make something to move onto the TOUR Championship, I anticipate Casey putting four good rounds together.

Brian Harman – $7,300

Looking to link past performances at this golf course into my recommended BMW Championship DFS picks, here’s the perfect opportunity.

While Brian wasn’t on the Georgia golf team that won the 2005 NCAA Championship at Caves Valley (Harman joined the team the following season), he was a member of the 2007 Palmer Cup that was also held at this venue.

Brian Harman went 4-0 at the ’07 Palmer Cup held at Caves Valley GC. Only one of his matches reached the 18th hole.

Fast forward 14 years, and the 34-year-old lefty is playing the best golf of his career. Should he notch his 12th top-20 of the season this week, his $7,300 price tag is bound to pay off.

Harry Higgs – $6,200

Dubbed “Big Beautiful” by the boys at Subpar, Harry Higgs’ short game display was gorgeous at Liberty National. That’s actually an understatement. He ended the week 2nd in SG: ATG (+6.133), but it was his performance in round one that piqued the interest of many.

Needing to make something happen down the stretch to squeak into the top 70, Higgs played his final 31 holes -9 (10 birdies and 1 bogey) to earn the 69th spot. It’s all gravy from here, although there’s reason to believe that Harry’s not done yet.

Harry Higgs’ Last Two Starts
Date Tournament Scores (To Par) Finish
8/15/21 Wyndham Championship 70-67-65-66 (-12) T15
8/23/21 THE NORTHERN TRUST 69-70-66-68 (-11) T16

Clicking on Higgs at $6,200 opens the door for all sorts of maneuverability within the rest of your BMW Championship DFS lineup.

BMW Championship DFS Lineup for GPPs

  • Justin Thomas $10,600
  • Rory McIlroy $9,400
  • Sam Burns $8,300
  • Paul Casey $8,200
  • Brian Harman $7,300
  • Harry Higgs $6,200

After touting Tony Finau in my DFS column last week, pay close attention to these DFS picks for the BMW Championship. JT’s starting to sizzle, while McIlroy, Burns, and Casey all seem grossly underpriced.

Brian Harman has lit this place up before. Harry Higgs can freewheel all week long (no cut in this event) thanks to his positioning and upstart short game.

If all goes according to plan, you’ll be counting your winnings on Sunday night. For more BMW Championship picks and predictions, take a quick peek at the short post below.

Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for GamblingSites.com on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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