TNF Player Prop Bets – Colts vs. Titans (NFL Week 10, 2020)
NFL fans get a fun game on a short week, as the Indianapolis Colts take on the Tennessee Titans on Thursday Night Football. It’s a pretty big deal, seeing as the winner could take over first place in the division.
You can see our Colts vs. Titans week 10 betting pick to bet on the game, but there’s so much more fun to be had via TNF player props.
Last week’s Thursday Night Football player props were kind to us. Outside of Jamycal Hasty not being really involved in the offense, we scored some easy wins.
Aaron Rodgers shredded the 49ers and easily topped his 1.5 passing score total (-208), while Davante Adams got us a second win by clearing 7.5 catches (-110).
The value wasn’t insane, but we got two out of three bets to convert, and that’s all you can ask for with NFL prop betting.
I’m back for more on Thursday, when the Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans square off. Let’s see which player props for Thursday Night Football stand out in week 10.
Derrick Henry Over 20.5 Rushing Attempts (EVEN)
I liked this prop a lot last week in my regular NFL player props breakdown, and it converted. That’s because Henry is what makes the Titans’ offense go, and he’s topped this total five times on the year now.
In fact, Tennessee has handed Henry the ball at least 18 times in every single game in 2020. In a tough, slugfest affair with a rival with so much on the line, why would they suddenly limit his workload?
I don’t see it happening. Barring injury, Henry is looking at 21 or more carries once again in week 10.
Jonathan Taylor Under 41.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
You can bet on pretty much anyone in this game, but I like the idea of going to the other running game. That gets us looking at Taylor, who was supposed to be a phenom in his rookie season, but simply hasn’t delivered.
Taylor has the speed and explosiveness to crush the Over with one run, but I just don’t trust him right now. The talent and matchup are there, but for whatever reason, the coaching staff has held him back.
Last week, it was probably due to a lost fumble. After that play, Taylor ran the ball just once the rest of the way. Head coach Frank Reich downplayed it, but the reality is Taylor is not being used like a true feature back at the moment.
Throw in Nyheim Hines, and this is just a crowded backfield. Even in what figures to be an advantageous spot, I’ll bet against Taylor topping this rushing yardage total.
A.J. Brown Over 62.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
I think Derrick Henry runs quite a bit in such a big game, but I don’t know how successful he’ll be. Indy’s front seven is very strong, after all, and comes into week 10 ranking #2 against the run.
It’s just a nasty unit across the board, really.
Colts' defense at the season's midway point:— Zak Keefer (@zkeefer) November 9, 2020
— fewest yards allowed (290/gm)
— fewest first downs allowed
— tied for most INTs in the NFL (11)
— second-fewest rushing yards allowed
— allowing worst passer rating for opposing QBs (75)
— second-fewest big plays (20+) allowed
Maybe they don’t completely shut Henry down, but the best way to attack the Colts probably comes through the air. That favors Brown, who is so explosive that the volume coming his way and the matchup mean less than they would for other receivers.
You can also bet on Brown scoring for the sixth straight game (+120), but that streak will probably end sooner, rather than later. Instead, I think he gets 63+ yards in a tough game.
Philip Rivers Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+120)
I am a fan of the wryly old Rivers, but he hasn’t been a reliable source of production in his age-38 NFL season. He has two multi-score games on the year, but he got shut out last week, and the Colts have three running backs that can do damage at the goal-line.
That, and Rivers has posted one touchdown or fewer in six of eight contests on the year.
This week’s matchup with the Titans (5th most passing scores allowed) certainly looks good on paper, but the intense environment and a lack of reliable weapons make two scores a tough bet to get excited about.
I can see one, while Indy does damage in other avenues.
The name of the game is to come away with some winning bets. These four Thursday Night Football player props have a good chance at converting, and some even offer solid value.
Betting on NFL player props doesn’t tend to bring back major upside, but it is fun, it adds to the game itself, and you can still get back some cash if you make the right picks.
Hopefully this week’s TNF player props serve you well. For some extra week 10 NFL betting advice, hit the links below.