Thistledown Racino Picks – Tuesday, September 29, 2020
Thistledown continues to be a source of underdog heroes today. I found a couple of underdogs in races 5 and 7, and a slightly risky across-the-board prospect in race 2.
Even though the smoke has yet to clear from the wildfires, the weather in Berkeley, California should be sunny and warm, with highs in the low 80s, and winds around 11 mph.
Read on for my predictions and tips for Thistledown Racino today.
Picks for Thistledown Racino Race 2
This is a starter optional claiming race for fillies and mares three years old and upward running a distance of one mile and 40 yards for a purse of $16,400.
The fourth-favored (9/2) entry is the better horse in this race, but I fear the relative inexperience of her jockey will hamper her efforts to win. That’s why I’m backing the 5/2 morning line favorite here—Three Illusions, with veteran jockey Jose A. Bracho in the irons. This six-year-old mare moneyed 23 of her 43 career starts, winning nine of them.
You still might want to try an across-the-board wager on the 9/2 Paint Dakota, ridden by Omar Hernandez. This five-year-old mare finished in the money 21 of her 33 career starts, winning 12. Won’t win much, of course, but winning is winning.
- Win: Three Illusions 5/2
- Across the Board: Paint Dakota 9/2
Pick for Thistledown Racino Race 5
This is an allowance race for three-year-olds and upward running a distance of six furlongs for a purse of $21,500.
I’m backing the fourth-favored (6/1) entry here—Double Deep, ridden by Ricardo Feliciano. This five-year-old gelding has the best stats in this race, with 22 money finishes in 36 career starts, eight of them wins, plus he has a veteran jockey aboard.
The longest odds in this race are 10/1, and in this seven-horse field, I just don’t see a money finish there.
- Win: Double Deep 6/1
Pick for Thistledown Racino Race 7
This is an allowance race for Ohio foals three years old and upward running a distance of 5-1/2 furlongs for a purse of $29,300.
I like the fourth-favored (6/1) entry in this race, as well—Cat Heat, ridden by top jockey Hector Berrios. This three-year-old broke his maiden in his single career start just two weeks ago—and Berrios was aboard for that run, too.
For those looking for a value show bet, neither of the two long-odds entries here are going to finish in the money, so save your long money.
- Win: Cat Heat 6/1
More Horse Racing Betting Tips for Today
Short on value show bets but long on underdogs, Thistledown delivers today. And you can find more underdogs and hidden moneymakers at the other two tracks I covered for Tuesday: