The WM Phoenix Open Picks in 2022 – PGA Tour Betting Predictions

| February 7, 2022 2:29 pm PDT

The WM Phoenix Open is one of the most popular events on the PGA Tour. TPC Scottsdale has been the site of the tournament since 1987, but the tournament itself spans back to the 1930s.

Most people know TPC Scottsdale for the 16th hole at the Stadium Course. The grandstands surround the green at the par 3, giving it a stadium-like atmosphere. A hole-in-one would send the crowd into a frenzy.

Predicting a hole-in-one is nearly impossible, but we can take a shot at the 2022 WM Phoenix Open winner. Here are my favorite picks.

Value Picks for The WM Phoenix Open 

We didn’t have much luck with last week’s value selections. This week, I think we’ll see a different result.

Brooks Koepka (+3000)

I feel like I’m stealing taking a four-time major champion with (+3000) odds. There’s no way I can pass up Brooks Koepka at that price. Truthfully, it’s been a tough start to the 2021-22 season for Koepka.

He has one top 25 finish in seven starts. We typically see him compete in the top 10, and I expect that this week in the WM Phoenix Open.

Koepka has four starts in the tournament. He finished outside the top 40 in 2016 and 2017. However, I want you to see his other two results.

  • 2015: -15 (1st)
  • 2021: -19 (1st)

In 2015, Koepka didn’t look like a contender after shooting three-under in the first two rounds. Then, he went 12-under on the weekend to score a one-shot victory. This marked the first victory of his PGA Tour career.

After not playing in the WM Phoenix Open for a few years, Koepka returned in 2021. He played four rounds of great golf, shooting 68 or lower. He shot five-under in the last six holes to win the 2021 WM Phoenix Open.

Would it surprise anyone if he went back-to-back?

Matt Kuchar (+10000)

I had my eye on a few deep sleepers, but Matt Kuchar was my favorite pick. Kuchar hasn’t done much this season, but he finished seventh in last month’s Sony Open in Hawaii. Will we see him compete for another victory?

Kuchar’s career in the WM Phoenix Open spans back to the early 2000s. His first strong finish came in 2009, finishing sixth in the then-FBR Open. We didn’t see him in contention for a few years, but Kuchar came on strong in the late 2010s.

  • 2017: -12 (9th)
  • 2018: -14 (5th)
  • 2019: -12 (4th)

The 2019 WM Phoenix Open had to sting because Kuchar was four shots back going into the final round. That might seem like a lot, but leader Rickie Fowler shot a three-over 74. The only problem was Kuchar shot four-over.

Before that round, Kuchar had three rounds of 67 or better. A 69 would’ve won him the tournament, with a 70 sending him to a playoff.

The last two years haven’t been kind to Kuchar. Hopefully, he’ll turn things with a big performance in the 2022 WM Phoenix Open.

Best WM Phoenix Open Betting Picks 

Last week, Patrick Cantlay came up four shots short but posted a top-five as my top pick. Let’s see who I’m watching this week.

Justin Thomas (+1000)

Justin Thomas hasn’t played much this season, but he has been in contention in almost every tournament. The 2017 PGA Championship winner has three top-five finishes in five starts this season.

He didn’t play at Pebble Beach last week, so he should be ready to go for the WM Phoenix Open.

We could be looking at a big week for Thomas. His first four starts in this tournament featured a missed cut and 17th-place finish. It’s nothing to celebrate, but we’ve seen much better numbers in the last three years.

  • 2019: -14 (3rd)
  • 2020: -14 (3rd)
  • 2021: -13 (13th)

In 2019, Thomas opened with a seven-under 64. He played consistent golf in the second and third round, but Rickie Fowler was running away with the tournament. Fowler shot over par in the final round, but Thomas couldn’t mount a charge.

Interestingly enough, Thomas shot a six-under 65 in the final round of the 2020 WM Phoenix Open. He was too far behind, finishing three shots out of a playoff.

Thomas is playing so well that I’d take him on any course.

Hideki Matsuyama (+1400)

Speaking of players playing well, Hideki Matsuyama has been the best golfer in the 2021-22 season. Thanks to a pair of wins, Matsuyama leads the FedEx Cup and PGA Tour Money List. He also has a sixth-place finish in the Fortinet Championship.

It’s interesting to look back on his history at TPC Scottsdale because he was unstoppable in the mid-2010s.

  • 2014: -14 (4th)
  • 2015: -14 (2nd)
  • 2016: -14 (1st)
  • 2017: -17 (1st)

In 2016 and 2017, Matsuyama won in a four-hole playoff. It looked like no one could defeat him during that dominant stretch. Surprisingly, we’ve seen him go in a different direction.

Matsuyama hasn’t put up terrible numbers in the last four seasons, but he only has two top 20 finishes in the WM Phoenix Open. In his defense, that stretch included a withdraw in 2018. Who knows what could’ve happened.

We could see Matsuyama return to his mid-2010s form. He is playing so well right now, and I don’t expect him to slow down. There’s a reason he comes in as one of the favorites.

Predicting Who Wins the 2022 WM Phoenix Open

  • Justin Thomas

I know Hideki Matsuyama is No. 1 on the PGA Tour Money List, but I think Justin Thomas has been the best golfer this season. Three top-five finishes in five starts speak for itself. That makes him dangerous no matter where he plays.

Thomas playing at a course that has brought him much success gives me confidence in him. Fans and bettors can make their selections by checking out the top golf betting sites.

Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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