The American Express Picks in 2022 – PGA Tour Betting Predictions

| January 17, 2022 2:43 pm PDT

The PGA Tour has wrapped up their Hawaii swing and will head to Southern California for The American Express. The event is unique from others for a few reasons.

For starters, it uses a 54-hole cut instead of the traditional 36-hole cut. That’s because they play the first three rounds on three different courses. We’ll see the final round at the Stadium Course at PGA West.

This dynamic should make things interesting this week. Let’s check out my top picks and sleepers for The American Express.

Value Picks for The American Express

Last week, I felt good about Patton Kizzire as a value pick, but he faded over the weekend. Let’s see who I’m picking this week.

Abraham Ancer (+2500)

It’s been a good, not great start to the season for Abraham Ancer. His best finish was a seventh in the World Wide Technology Championship. He also has a pair of 14th place finishes, but those are his only results inside the top 30 in six starts.

This week, Ancer should turn things around in The American Express.

Ancer was terrible in his first two years in the tournament. He finished a respectable 18th in 2019, but in the last two years, he has been one of the best players in the tournament.

  • 2020: -24 (2nd)
  • 2021: -15 (5th)

He was among the top contenders in 2020, but a one-over 73 in the third round doomed his chances. Last season, Ancer jumped into contention with a late rally. He shot a final-round 63 to move into second place. Ultimately, he came up two shots short of Andrew Landry.

Ancer could use some good fortune. The Hawaii swing wasn’t kind to him, but this is an opportunity to bounce back. He should be among the top contenders in The American Express.

Brian Harman (+9000)

Brian Harman is another player off to a rough start in 2022. In six events, Harman has yet to finish better than 45th. We know Harman is capable of having good finishes. Last season, he scored five top 10 finishes, including a third in THE PLAYERS Championship.

We should see Harman back in contention at the Stadium Course this week.

In his six starts in the tournament, Harman only has one finish worse than 25th. In 2017, he finished third thanks to this performance.

  • First Round: 67 (-5)
  • Second Round: 65 (-7)
  • Third Round: 69 (-3)
  • Fourth Round: 69 (-3)

That wasn’t his only strong performance in The American Express. Last season, he was in contention after three straight rounds of 68 or better. A final round 71 didn’t help his chances, but he still finished eighth.

It’ll be interesting to see if Harman can shake off his slow start. He only has two career wins, with his last coming in the Wells Fargo Championship in 2017. Could this be his week to capture his third career PGA Tour victory?

Best The American Express Betting Picks

Last week’s picks didn’t work out the way I hoped. Hopefully, we’ll have more success this week.

Jon Rahm (+500) 

There’s no messing around with this pick. Jon Rahm is the best golfer in the world. Despite only playing in two events, I have him among the favorites to win the PGA Tour money list.

Two weeks ago, he showed that time off didn’t negatively affect him. He finished runner-up at the Sentry Tournament of Champions. He’s ready to do one better at The American Express.

Rahm hasn’t played in the event in the last two years, but before that, he was the golfer to beat. In 2018, Rahm shot an opening-round 62. He battled Andrew Landry with each golfer going into a playoff.

A birdie on the fourth playoff hole gave Rahm the victory.

One year later, Rahm was among the top contenders. He shot between 66 and 68 in all four rounds, but he lacked one big round. His 21-under score was only one off his winning score from 2018, but this only gave him a sixth-place finish.

He rightfully enters this tournament as the favorite. He should use some of his 2018 and 2019 magic to contend for the win on Sunday.

Patrick Cantlay (+900)

We already talked about the tournament favorite. How about the golfer right behind him? Patrick Cantlay had a fantastic 2021 season, winning four times on his way to capturing the FedEx Cup.

Cantlay has only played once on the PGA Tour this season, but he made the most of it with a fourth-place finish in the Sentry Tournament of Champions. He should be among the top contenders again this week.

He didn’t play in The American Express in 2020, but he was in contention in his last two starts.

  • 2019: -18 (9th)
  • 2021: -22 (2th)

That’s what we’ve come to expect from Cantlay. In 2019, he failed to make a run in the final round, shooting a one-under 71. Cantlay had a much better chance in last year’s tournament.

Perhaps he learned something from his final round struggles because he fired an 11-under 61. Ultimately, a slow start doomed his chances as he fell short by one shot.

The biggest question is, can Cantlay put together a full four rounds? One down round kept him from winning in 2019 and 2021. Hopefully, he can put that behind him this week.

Predicting Who Wins the 2022 The American Express

  • Patrick Cantlay

I know Jon Rahm is No. 1 in the Official World Golf Rankings but is anyone playing better than Patrick Cantlay? He had a great close to the 2021 season and earned a strong finish in the Sentry Tournament of Champions.

Cantlay heads to a tournament that he has nearly won twice. That’s more than enough for me to back him this week.

The American Express will begin on Thursday. Make sure you check out the top golf betting sites to place your bets.

Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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