Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. TCU Horned Frogs – College Football, November 7, 2020

| November 6, 2020 1:54 pm PDT

Texas Tech limps into Fort Worth after ceding 62 points to the Sooners. The Red Raiders are now 2-4 on the season and could desperately use a jump start.

The Horned Frogs were able to stop the bleeding from a two-game skid with a victory in Waco, and now they have all sorts of momentum heading into Saturday’s showdown.

Here’s a Texas Tech vs. TCU prediction to set the stage.

Texas Tech vs. TCU Odds

Texas Tech (+8.5)-110
TCU (-8.5)-110
Texas Tech to Win+260
TCU to Win-320
Over 61.5-110
Under 61.5-110

TCU is yet to win at Amon G. Carter Stadium (0-3). The Horned Frogs scored have accounted for just 14 points in each of their last two home outings. For the season, the only school in the Big 12 to average fewer points per game are the winless Jayhawks.

So why is Gary Patterson’s bunch laying 8.5 points?

Well, the Red Raiders got bludgeoned last Saturday on their own field in Lubbock. They’re 2-4 (1-4 conference) and have a really leaky defense.

Before we settle on a Texas Tech vs. TCU betting pick, let’s take a look where each of these teams excels.

What the Red Raiders Do Well

Spread the Ball Around. Eight different pass-catchers have hauled in double-digit passes – five of which have caught at least 14 balls. Sophomore Erik Ezukanma leads the way (32-430-3), and KeSean Carter is now back after missing a couple of games.

The switch from Alan Bowman to Henry Colombi paid dividends versus West Virginia, but a 53.6% completion rate and two interceptions against Oklahoma brought the junior QB back down to Earth.

Along with some help from SaRodorick Thompson out of the backfield, Colombi will need to continue utilizing all of his weapons in order to beat TCU on Saturday.

What the Horned Frogs Do Well

Take Care of the Football. Despite surrendering 16 sacks, TCU has done a tremendous job taking care of the football. Max Duggan’s only interception came in the opening game and he’s completing over 68% of his throws.

The running game has been efficient and Taye Barber is a reliable outlet, but I’d be lying if I told you this was an explosive offensive unit.

Case in point – Coach Patterson’s squad has mustered a total of six passing touchdowns through five games. Their meager 35.1% clip on third down confirms that they are susceptible to enduring scoring droughts.

Texas Tech vs. TCU Pick

Interestingly enough, the road team has won in each of the last five meetings between these two conference foes. However, my Texas Tech vs. TCU prediction doesn’t have anything to do with who wins or covers the spread.

I’m backing the under.

61.5 points may not seem like a lot given how bad Texas Tech has been on D, but let’s key in on each of the Red Raiders two away games.

  • Lost at Iowa State 31-15.
  • Lost at Kansas State 31-21.

Now let’s assess the Horned Frogs last couple of home games.

  • Lost vs. Oklahoma 33-14
  • Lost vs. Kansas State 21-14 

Notice a trend?

None of these games came anywhere close to breaching 61.5 points.

More Big 12 Picks For Saturday

Big 12 predictions are here. Whether you lock in a Texas Tech vs. TCU pick now or end up passing on the game, that’s up to you. Perhaps there are a couple of other conference games you’re more interested in betting.

Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for GamblingSites.com on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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