Tampa Bay Downs Picks for Friday, February 5, 2021

| February 4, 2021 3:43 pm PDT

Tampa Bay Downs schedules nine maiden and claiming races for Friday, and while I find myself agreeing with the morning line more often than not, I still manage to find a sleeper and a solid long-odds show bet to keep our bankrolls fat and sassy.

Read on for my Tampa Bay Downs picks and betting tips for Friday, February 5, 2021.

Picks for Race 1 at Tampa Bay Downs

This is a claiming race for three-year-old fillies running a distance of six furlongs for a purse of $21,200.

This race could be a real nail-biter, but I’m going to stick with the 2/1 morning line favorite — Hightime Valentine, with Samy Camacho in the irons. This filly moneyed both of her career starts, breaking her maiden in December, then nailing a second-place in a claiming race in early January — both at Tampa Bay.

The longest odds in this match are 8/1 — too short for a value show bet, in other words. But upon closer inspection, I believe we have a sleeper to consider: Peaceful Way, ridden in this race by Ademar Santos. Like the favorite, this filly moneyed both of her career starts with a second-place finish followed by a win — both of which were just last month.

  •  Win: Hightime Valentine 2/1
  •  Sleeper: Peaceful Way 8/1 

Pick for Race 2 at Tampa Bay Downs

This is a claiming race for three-year-olds running a distance of one mile on turf for a purse of $20,950.

I’m going with the third-favored (4/1) entry here — Highly Noted, with Daniel Centeno aboard. This gelding moneyed four of his nine career starts, winning one — which gives him a statistical advantage in this field.

Neither of the longer-odds entries in this run give any indication they will do anything beyond chasing the other horses across the finish line.

  •  Win: Highly Noted 4/1

Picks for Race 9 at Tampa Bay Downs

This is a maiden special weight race for fillies and mares four years old and upward running a distance of one mile on turf for a purse of $23,500.

The morning line has the also-eligible/MTO entry Dovima, ridden by Antonio Gallardo at 3/1. This four-year-old filly moneyed four of her five career starts. If scratches or a switch to the main track brings Dovima to the starting gate, bet her to win.

Otherwise, your win ticket should be on the morning line’s 5/2 turf favorite, Dinn Righ, with Daniel Centeno aboard. This four-year-old filly finished in the money three of her four career starts.

There are plenty of long-odds entries in this race, but I don’t think any of them are likely to see a happy ending at the finish line.

  •  Win: Dovima 3/1 (if starts)
  •  Win: Dinn Righ 5/2 (otherwise)

More Racing Picks for Friday

Tampa Bay Downs had some potentially profitable wagers for us, but be sure to check out the other two tracks I reviewed for Friday:

J.W. Paine
J.W. Paine

J.W. Paine is one of the most experienced writers at GamblingSites.com. He's written for television and the printed media, and is a published novelist (as Tom Elliott).

Paine loves writing about Las Vegas nearly as much he loves living here. An experienced gambler, he's especially familiar with thoroughbred horseracing, poker, blackjack, and slots.

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