Switzerland vs. Spain – Nations League, November 14, 2020

It is a long shot, but Switzerland can still top Group 4 and now has back-to-back home fixtures in Basel and Lucerne to achieve that goal.

Spain leads the way at the moment, but has only won two games in 2020 – and just one of its last four.

Let’s dig into how this one might go with my Switzerland vs. Spain betting preview.

Considering Spain’s recent results, these odds might have been closer. But Luis Enrique’s side should still be considered favorites to win in Basel on Saturday, as Switzerland has not enjoyed many positives recently – and has failed to win a single game in 2020.

The draw bet might be worth a go however.

Like many teams, Switzerland fielded a more unfamiliar eleven for its friendly with Belgium on Wednesday. But Vladimir Petkovic’s side took a surprise lead in Leuven and might have gone on to win if a second goal could have been found before the home side doubled its score with around 20 minutes left to play.

Results have not been very impressive this year for the Swiss and they only have two draws against an inconsistent Germany to show for their Nations League campaign so far. There is still a chance of redemption though, so Spain could be in for a harder game than many are predicting.

For its part, Spain drew 1-1 in Amsterdam against the Netherlands on Wednesday after surprisingly losing to Ukraine last month. That defeat was the first that Spain had suffered since the previous Nations League campaign at the end of 2018. A second string Spain dominated the first half against the Dutch but the draw was probably a fair result in the end.

This group is incredibly open, with Spain performing only slightly better than last time in this competition. It doesn’t seem to enjoy playing in the Nations League and has had some real problems scoring in recent times. There is a home game against Germany coming up after this one though, so a draw in Basel would probably be considered a good result.

There will be a lot of people backing Spain to come away with the three points here. But I think the lack of firepower in recent games – and a Switzerland side desperate to bring some celebration back to its campaign – might make for a close affair with little in the way of goal scoring opportunities.

Those factors make the draw bet a viable option for me.