Sweden vs. Poland – European Championship, June 23, 2021

| June 23, 2021 7:32 am PDT

Group E has turned out to be one of the closest in the opening stage of Euro 2020. With just the final games to go, all four nations can qualify for the round of 16, and only Sweden is assured of finishing in the top three. Even that might not be good enough depending on results elsewhere, though.

I’m going to take a look at Wednesday’s game between Sweden and Poland. So, read on to find out the latest odds, how I think the game will go – plus my betting pick.

Euro 2020 Results So Far

With Spain failing to set this group alight as most had predicted, there is a real battle for the top two places (and a possible best third-place berth). The games in Group E have been largely disappointing and dominated with defensive strength rather than attacking flair.

  • Poland 1, Slovakia 2
  • Spain 0, Sweden 0
  • Spain 1, Poland 1
  • Sweden 1, Slovakia 0

How Sweden Can Win Group E

When Zlatan Ibrahimovic announced that he was coming out of international retirement earlier in the season, there was an exciting sense of anticipation surrounding Sweden at Euro 2020. But when he subsequently withdrew from the squad through injury, Janne Andersson’s side was back where it started – and that has turned out to be no bad thing.

A real collective identity has been forged in this squad, and that is how Sweden now tops the group with just one game to go.

Admittedly, the performances have not been overly pretty, but it now just needs a point to guarantee progress to the next round.

It is a little unfair to say that Sweden’s defense has been the only reason for its success. Even with just 15% of the ball in the first game against Spain, Alexander Isak showed why he is highly regarded as a striker for La Liga club Real Sociedad. He will be the main threat once again here, but it will be the defense that earns the point (at least) that it needs.

How Poland Can Qualify for the Round of 16

Poland sits bottom of Group E after two games, with just one point to its name. But the way that the players celebrated at the end of the draw against Spain on Saturday, you would have thought they had already qualified for the round of 16.

That’s because they had just earned an invaluable point against the group favorite – in front of its own fans – and kept Poland’s hopes alive for at least another game. After being kept very quiet in the defeat to Slovakia, Robert Lewandowski used all his skill and guile to score the equalizer against Spain and will now fancy a go at a stubborn Sweden defense.

Poland may be bottom of the group, but it has scored just as many, if not more, goals than anyone else.

It also has Grzegorz Krychowiak back after he missed the Spain game because of suspension. As a result, a more attacking but patient style of play could see Poland prevail – and even finish top of the group.

Sweden vs. Poland Latest Odds and Betting Pick

Sweden to Win+175
The Draw+220
Poland to Win+154

Poland has been made the slight favorite to win this one by MyBookie – and that is probably because it needs to take all three points to progress. But even with the power and talent of Lewandowski up front, I’m not sure it will be able to break down the Swedish defense without allowing its opponent a few chances of its own.

Alexander Isak has shown that he only needs the slightest chance to cause problems – and I feel as though he could open his Euro 2020 goal account on Wednesday. A draw would be enough for Sweden to qualify for the round of 16, and this is one side that you can believe will be able to do just that.

Pick
  • The Draw
    +220
Dan Roberts
Dan Roberts

Dan Roberts is an experienced freelance writer specialising in sports and sports betting. He is particularly knowledgeable about world soccer, but also writes about football, basketball and cricket.

As a fan of Nottingham Forest, New York Knicks, Minnesota Vikings and New York Mets, Dan has not had much to celebrate recently.

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