St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres – MLB, October 1, 2020

By Admir Aljic in MLB
| October 1, 2020 12:25 am PDT

The 2020 MLB Playoff Wild Card Series continues Thursday, October 1, so I bring you the best St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres betting pick and tips for their second game of the best-of-three series.

The Cards pulled off an upset on Wednesday, outlasting the Padres 7-4 in the opener as +160 road underdogs. They need one more win at Petco Park in San Diego to reach the NLDS for the second straight year.  

The Padres, on the other side, haven’t won a playoff game since 2006 when they lost to the Cardinals in the divisional series, so the hosts will be keen to get revenge.

Cardinals vs. Padres Odds

BET ODDS
Cardinals +1.5 -145
Padres -1.5 +125
Cardinals to Win +140
Padres to Win -154
Over 8.5 -115
Under 8.5 +100

The Padres are listed as favorites once more. They went 37-23 in the regular season, looking like a much better team than the 30-28 Cardinals. San Diego won 14 of its previous 20 regular-season games at Petco Park and is 4-1 in the previous four regular-season encounters with St. Louis at home.

Cardinals vs. Padres Preview

The Padres have some serious injury troubles and cannot count on Dinelson Lamet and Mike Clevinger. Without a couple of aces, San Diego started Chris Paddack in Game 1, and the righty proved that his poor regular-season performance wasn’t accidental.

Paddack yielded four runs in the first inning including a two-run homer to Paul Goldschmidt. He tossed only 2.1 innings and surrendered six earned runs on eight hits while striking out only one.

On the other side, Kwang-Hyun Kim lasted 3.2 innings and gave up three runs on five hits and a couple of walks. The Cards used five relievers, while the Padres had to send seven guys from their bullpen to the mound.

Zach Davies will toe the slab for the Padres in Game 2, and the 27-year-old righty had an excellent regular season, going 7-4 with a 2.73 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 12 starts.

Unlike Paddack, Davies has been pitching at a high level all season. Over his last four starts and 21 innings of work, Zach has yielded nine earned runs on 23 hits and just six walks. He’s 2-3 with a 4.55 ERA in 10 career starts against St. Louis.

Adam Wainwright will take the hill for the Cardinals, and the 39-year-old right-hander was 5-3 with a 3.15 ERA in 10 starts this past regular season. Wainwright tossed two complete games, too, and played surprisingly well after some mediocre displays over the last few years.

Interestingly, Adam made his playoff debut at Petco Park in 2006 when the Cardinals beat the Padres in the National League Division Series and went on to win the World Series. The three-time All-Star is 7-4 with a 2.19 ERA in his 12 career starts and three relief appearances against San Diego.

Cardinals vs. Padres Betting Pick

If you like to follow the betting trends, you’ll go with the Cards. The Padres are 1-8 in their last nine playoff games, all nine against the Cardinals. They lost four straight home games in the postseason to the Birds.

However, I’m going with the Padres to win even though I got burned in the opener. Zach Davies should do a much better job than Chris Paddack did, and the Cardinals were batting only .234 in the regular season (22nd in the majors).

Also, the Padres have a huge motive to finally beat St. Louis in the playoffs. They finished the regular season as the third-highest scoring offense in the majors with 5.42 runs scored per game, so I think the Padres will find their mojo and hit well against Adam Wainwright.

Pick
  • Padres to Win
    -154

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