Picks for the SRS Distribution 250 – NASCAR Xfinity Series (2022)
The NASCAR Xfinity Series is back in action after an off-week. Justin Allgaier has been a popular selection among my betting picks this season, so of course he scores his first victory in 2022 when he wasn’t in my lineup.
Noah Gragson was my top pick, and he finished second. It wasn’t a completely lost weekend, but we’re looking ahead to this weekend’s race at Texas.
Last season, Kyle Busch and John Hunter Nemechek won the Xfinity Series races at Texas. They won’t be in the race this weekend, so we’ll see a new winner. Here are my top picks for Xfinity Series action at Texas.
William Byron (+350)
William Byron will make his first Xfinity Series start since winning the 2017 Xfinity Series Championship. Byron will be one of three Cup Series drivers to run in the No. 88 Chevrolet in 2022.
Byron competed in two Xfinity Series races at Texas during the 2017 season. Honestly, his numbers aren’t too impressive, as he scored a pair of ninth-place finishes. He did however lead 17 laps in each race.
It took him a while to have success at Texas in the Cup Series, but he had one of the best cars in last year’s playoff race.
- Starting Position: 12th
- Stage 1 Finish: 5th
- Stage 2 Finish: 2nd
- Race Finish: 2nd
- Laps Led: 55 of 334
Kyle Larson dominated the race, leading 256 laps en route to the victory. Without Larson, Byron would’ve been the car to beat. He ran second to Larson virtually the entire race.
Byron enters the SRS Distribution 250 as the favorite. That’s often the case when a Cup Series driver drives for a top team in the Xfinity Series. It’s no different with Byron driving for JR Motorsports.
He should be in contention for his fifth career Xfinity Series victory.
Noah Gragson (+450)
There has been an intense championship battle between Ty Gibbs and Noah Gragson. Gibbs hasn’t raced at Texas in the Xfinity Series, so Gragson gets the upper hand this week.
Gragson has been impressive in 2022. He has two wins and eight top-five finishes in 11 races. Honestly, he should have more than two wins as he has had the dominant car in multiple races. Could we see the same at Texas?
He struggled in his first three Texas races, scoring a pair of 30th-place finishes. However, he turned the corner in the 2020 playoff race.
- 2020: 2nd
- 2021: 7th
- 2021: 3rd
He should’ve won the 2020 playoff race. Gragson led 43 laps and was the leader on the final lap. Unfortunately, he slipped up the track in turn four, allowing Harrison Burton to steal the victory.
Gragson didn’t lead laps in last year’s races, but there’s nothing wrong with a pair of top 10 finishes. It’d be a big surprise if he didn’t improve upon that this season.
He has been the driver to beat in the Xfinity Series in 2022. We should see Gragson continue his dominance at Texas.
A.J. Allmendinger (+1100)
I know I talked about Noah Gragson and Ty Gibbs battling for the championship, but A.J. Allmendinger is the points leader. Allmendinger only has one win, but his consistency is on another level.
Allmendinger has finished ninth or better in all 11 races of the 2022 season. Five of his six top-five finishes are results better than third. The online NASCAR betting sites may be undervaluing him a bit.
He only has two starts in the Xfinity Series at Texas. Honestly, you might think it was the same race considering his numbers in each start.
Allmendinger started on the pole in each race but didn’t lead many laps. He remained in contention, scoring a pair of sixth-place finishes. Honestly, that’s in line with his 2022 numbers.
It wasn’t surprising to see him win on a road course this season, but we’re waiting for Allmendinger to have a dominant performance on an oval. He led 30+ laps at the 1.5-mile races in 2022. Texas will be the third 1.5-mile race of the season.
That should put him in a good spot for his second victory of the season.
Tyler Reddick (+1200)
Tyler Reddick will make his second Xfinity Series start of the season. Reddick was leading late at Darlington, but a flat tire led to a disappointing finish. There were doubts about the speed of Big Machine Racing, but Reddick showed they can compete.
Because of that, he’s an intriguing pick for the SRS Distribution 250 at Texas.
Reddick finished outside the top 20 in his first two starts at Texas in the Xfinity Series. However, he was one of the drivers to beat in his last three Texas starts.
|Starting Position||Finishing Position||Laps Led|
Reddick was the leader on the final lap of the 2018 playoff race at Texas. Unfortunately, Cole Custer passed him on the backstretch to steal the victory.
One year later, he crashed while running top-five. That’s the only reason Reddick doesn’t have three straight top-five finishes at Texas in the Xfinity Series.
He isn’t full-time in the Xfinity Series, but he should have the determination to win Saturday’s race. Reddick has the speed to give Big Machine Racing their first top-five finish. A win would be the icing on the cake.
Who Will Win the SRS Distribution 250?
Noah Gragson has been a popular selection among my top picks. It’s hard to pick against him when he competes for the win every week. I expect to see the same at Texas.
Gragson should have a victory at Texas, but three straight finishes of seventh or better give me confidence. Not to mention, he has five top-two finishes in 2022. He should keep it going at Texas.
Feel free to tune into Saturday’s Xfinity Series race at 1:30 p.m. ET on FS1. Please visit Bovada to wager on the SRS Distribution 250 at Texas.