Sleeper Picks for the 2021 Valero Texas Open

| March 30, 2021 2:44 am PDT

From the Monday qualifier to emerging with the trophy in hand on Sunday, Corey Conners proved anything can happen at TPC San Antonio. Conners was ranked well outside of the top 100 in the world when he won here in 2019, as was Andrew Landry when he emerged in 2018.

It’s the week before the Masters, and there’s a noticeable trend of unheralded names getting the job done at the Oaks Course. With that in mind, it makes sense to take a look at some Valero Texas Open sleepers.

Keegan Bradley +5500

Bradley’s inconsistencies on the putting surfaces typically steer me away, but a windy week at TPC San Antonio should be right up Keegan’s alley. Bradley clocks in 3rd in Total Driving and 6th in SG: Approach and the Valero Texas Open rarely turns into a shootout. The key to prevailing at this layout is to strike your ball without fail. That’s what Keegan does.

The 4x PGA Tour winner has played the weekend in five straight events (30th or better in four of them) and recently switched to an Odyssey putter head that looks almost identical to the Sabertooth model he was using when he was playing the best golf of his career.

Branden Grace +7500

Branden Grace is one of the Valero Texas Open sleeper picks that I’m keen on targeting. Viewed more or less as a boom or bust play, one thing that’s certain about Grace is that he’s got what it takes to close out a golf tournament. This gritty South African has won 14 times as a professional, including a victory last month at Puerto Rico Open.

Needing to do something special over his final two holes, Branden delivered an eagle-birdie finish to hold off Jhonattan Vegas by one.

There’s no reason the good vibes shouldn’t carry into this week. Branden didn’t travel to San Antonio in 2018 or 2019, but he tallied back-to-back top-10s at this layout in 2016 and 2017.

Sam Ryder +9000

Say hello to Sam Ryder – the lone player in the field who can say that he finished inside the top-10 in each of the last two weeks on the PGA Tour. And he just so happens to be lurking at +9000 to win at the top golf betting sites.

Terrific ball-striking has carried Ryder to this point in his career, but a recent uptick in putting has allowed him to breathe contention over the weekend. As far as his ability to remain calm under pressure, here’s a tidbit that should erase any doubt.

Of the 68 players who made the cut at the 2021 Honda Classic, Ryder’s score at the Bear Trap (-3) was the best of the bunch.

Chase Seiffert +12500

Chase Seiffert isn’t just a former teammate of Daniel Berger and Brooks Koepka in Tallahassee. He’s a 6’3” uber-talented ball-striker who ranks in the top-5 on the PGA Tour in SG: Approach since February 1st.

The FSU product missed the cut at Pebble Beach in mid-February, but check out what he’s done since.

Chase Seiffert’s Last Three Starts on the PGA Tour
Date Tournament Finish
2/28/21 Puerto Rico Open T15
3/21/21 The Honda Classic T3
3/28/21 Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship T18

Talk about finishing out tournaments in style and vaulting up the leaderboard; Seiffert’s last three Sunday rounds are 67, 64, and 68. He’ll stroll into TPC San Antonio with all sorts of positive vibes.

More Valero Texas Open Betting Picks in 2021

Having trouble getting on board these Valero Texas Open sleeper picks? Just remember that it’s not uncommon for a dark horse to come out of nowhere and win this event.

Corey Conners and Andrew Landry won the last two iterations and go back a few years before that. From 2012-2014, Ben Curtis, Martin Laird, and Steven Bowditch were the Valero Texas Open winners.

Not exactly household names.

When you’re ready to shift gears and attack some of the other betting markets, my best bets for the Valero Texas Open are linked below.  

Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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