Sleeper Picks for the 2021 Masters

| April 6, 2021 4:06 am PDT

When you’re rummaging through the odds looking for Masters sleepers, don’t spend too much time at the bottom of the betting sheet.

Going back to 2011 and assessing the last 10 Masters, only once was the eventual winner priced beyond +5000. And that was ten years ago.

Masters Winners Since 2011 – Pre-Tournament Odds
Year Masters Winner Pre-Tournament Masters Odds
2011 Charl Schwartzel +10000
2012 Bubba Watson +3000
2013 Adam Scott +2500
2014 Bubba Watson +2000
2015 Jordan Spieth +1000
2016 Danny Willett +5000
2017 Sergio Garcia +3000
2018 Patrick Reed +4000
2019 Tiger Woods +1200
2020 Dustin Johnson +800

It is also worth noting that each of the last 10 Masters winners arrived at Augusta ranked inside the top-30 in the Official World Golf Ranking. Only two were slotted outside of the top-20 (Charl Schwartzel – 29th in 2011, and Patrick Reed – 24th in 2018).

Now let’s dive into a few sleeper picks for the Masters in 2021.

Daniel Berger +4000

Making his first trip down Magnolia Lane since 2018, Daniel Berger is looking to make the most out of his opportunity in 2021. The winner at Pebble Beach in February top-10’d at THE PLAYERS and won two out of his three matches in Austin; his game is in terrific shape.

Allow me to expand.

Ranked 20th in GIR and 16th in SG: Putting the tour’s leader in back-nine scoring average has no weaknesses in his game.

  • 5th in Par-3 Scoring Average
  • 10th in Par-4 Scoring Average
  • 16th in Par-5 Scoring Average

Daniel celebrates his 28th birthday on Wednesday; perhaps there will be some more celebrating in store for the Floridian come Sunday evening.

Scottie Scheffler +5000

Two years ago, Scottie Scheffler was a rookie on the Korn Ferry Tour, hoping to elevate his status. Fast forward 24 months, and Scheffler is a top-25 player globally, making his second appearance at Augusta.

He’s a guy who’s been knocking at the door in the game’s most prestigious events.

First, it was a T4 at the PGA Championship at Harding Park. Then it was finishing solo-2nd (72 hole scores) at the TOUR Championship. Scottie’s foot was glued to the gas pedal at the two most recent WGC’s (5th at The Concession, runner-up at the Match Play) – it’s only a matter of time until he breaks through.

Sergio Garcia +5500

The 2017 Masters champ is hanging out at +4500 at BetUS and +5000 at MyBookie. Keep browsing the best Masters betting sites, and you’ll find Garcia at +5500 at BetOnline.

Sergio has quietly played some pretty good golf since triumphing at the Sanderson Farms Championship in the fall, most notably as of late. Garcia paced the field in SG: Approach last month at THE PLAYERS (T9) and ranks 2nd on the PGA Tour in SG: Off-the-Tee. He played beautifully last time out at the WGC Match Play (T5).

Many can recall Garcia’s walk-off ace against Lee Westwood in the playoff, but the biggest takeaway for me was the 10-footers he holed on the previous two holes, each to extend the match.

Tommy Fleetwood +5500

Here’s another European player priced at +5500 who’s been rounding into form over the last month. Ranked 24th in the OWGR, Fleetwood also fits the theme of Masters sleepers picks who “isn’t really a sleeper.” Tommy’s twice finished as the solo runner-up at a major championship and always seems to play well whenever he’s in the hunt.

Fleetwood flushes his irons and loves turning them over from right to left. Would anybody be surprised to see the Englishman surge into contention?

Considering he’s posted top-10s in two of his last three starts, the short answer is no.

A flier on Fleetwood at this price certainly has some merit.

More Masters Betting Picks in 2021

Backing a few Masters sleepers could turn into a nice payday. At the very least, it can lead to an exciting sweat – I had tickets on Cameron Smith and Abraham Ancer in November.

At the same time, don’t get your hopes up that one of the dark horses ends up donning the Green Jacket on Sunday. In all likelihood, it’ll be a top-20 player with fairly short odds joining Jim Nantz in Butler Cabin.

Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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