Sleeper Bets for the NASCAR 2021 Verizon 200

| August 13, 2021 1:14 pm PDT

The bookies make Chase Elliott the man to beat at this Sunday’s Cup Series showdown at Indianapolis.

But today’s focus is on the top value bets and best sleepers for the 2021 Verizon 200 from the Brickyard. I have three that will certainly give you some food for thought if you are looking for viable candidates with big odds for this race.

With the bookies considering drivers such as Elliott, Kyle Larson, and Martin Truex Jr. as the top candidates, there is room to potentially make some money on generous pricing from some of the outsiders.

Strap in, and I’ll explain who the best NASCAR sleepers for this weekend are.

Kevin Harvick (+2800)

OK, let me get this straight. 

Harvick has two wins and three top-5s from his last three races at Indianapolis. He has an average finish of 2.0 since February 2018 and a career average finish here of 8.55? Hmm. Interesting.

In addition to all that data, odds of +2800 to win support Harvick as one of the best sleepers for the Verizon 200 at the Brickyard. I bet you’d agree, right?

Although it might seem Harvick is the top NASCAR value pick for the weekend, there are reasons why he is priced so generously.

Most notably, his form in 2021 has been majorly inconsistent. He has failed to pick up a win this season and sits at 9th in the official Cup Series leaderboard with six top-5s to his name. By this time last year, he had six wins.

Kevin Harvick is a driver that can pull it out of the bag and should not be written off. He is the leading active NASCAR driver at Indianapolis, and that makes him a top pick alone.

With the red-hot form of Kyle Larson and Chase Elliott’s dominance on road courses, sleeper picks for the Verizon 200 this Sunday should be chosen with caution. But Harvick’s price alone here is too good to pass up.

I’d recommend some loose change on Harvick to win. If you feel a more conservative approach is necessary, +450 for a top 5 finish is still great value.

Brad Keselowski (+4000)

Once again, the odds here are staggering for a driver of Keselowski’s pedigree.

Keselowski has an average finish of 12.91 from 11 starts at the Brickyard, winning one and earning three top-5s. 

The 2012 Cup Series champion has just the one win so far this season, which came at Talladega in April. Second at Vegas in March was his best return with that win removed, although he has picked up a bunch of top-3s, with New Hampshire in July being the last time he made the podium.

Although he’s not a murderer on road courses, Keselowski has fared pretty well at Indianapolis over the years. He is certainly among the big value bets for Indianapolis this Sunday.

Keselowski is a fantastic pick for a top-3 at +1400. Even though this race is expected to be another shootout between Kyle Larson and Chase Elliott, there will be a battle up front that could potentially open the door for a driver such as him to spoil the party.

Aric Almirola (+8000)

Almirola has an average finish of 13.33 from three career starts at Indianapolis.

At these odds, the 37-year-old is up there with the top long shot bets for the 2021 Verizon 200 at the Brickyard.

Winner of the Foxwoods Casino Resort 301 a few weeks ago, Almirola shocked the betting public by coming out of nowhere to clinch the win. Can he do the same this time around?

Almirola’s overall form is far from excellent, but he can potentially find his way into the top-5. I’m not mega keen on his chances of winning at Indianapolis, but I do think +1800 for a top-5 might be worth a couple of dollars.

With so much on the line, especially with the Round of 16 approaching, we might see some mistakes that create gaps for the midfield to fill. If that is the case, it’s worth considering Almirola.

Wrap Up

If you like the look of any of my top sleeper picks for the 2021 Verizon 200 above, you might want to consider getting your money down.

You can find a full range of NASCAR odds and betting markets over on the top online sportsbooks. Feel free to browse them all ahead of the race this Sunday, August 15.

Looking for more motorsports and NASCAR picks? Or perhaps some Daily Fantasy Sports content for the Cup Series? You can find it all, including some top-class NASCAR DFS advice from resident expert Noah Davis, in our recommended motorsport bets section.

Adam Haynes
Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

More Posts by Adam Contact Adam

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