Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Indians – MLB, June 11, 2021

| June 11, 2021 5:17 am PDT

The Cleveland Indians host the Seattle Mariners in a fun AL showdown on Friday. Aaron Civale toes the rubber for the Tribe, who are still within striking distance for the top spot in the AL Central.

Seattle, meanwhile, isn’t as bad as everyone thought they’d be at this point. The Mariners have kept the boat steady during a 5-5 run and are still sniffing around .500.

Which team can you trust, and which bet stands out? Let’s find out in Friday’s Mariners vs. Indians prediction and betting pick.

Mariners vs. Indians Odds for June 11

Mariners to Win+137
Indians to Win-148
Over 8.5-120
Under 8.5+100

The odds favor Cleveland to get a nice home win here. That’s fair, as they have the better pitcher on the mound, and they’re a respectable 18-15 at home.

Seattle has a decent offense, but they’re the inferior team in this matchup. The oddsmakers going with the Indians makes total sense, but the value is fine with Cleveland, and the incentive to bet on the Mariners is also there.

The game total looks about right. Seattle and Cleveland are average teams when it comes to power and run production, and the pitching is decent on Cleveland’s side. Of course, Progressive Field is known more as a hitter’s park and ranks 14th in-home run rating on the year.

Overall, Cleveland initially stands out as the logical pick, and the Over may be the play. Of course, it’s always worth taking a closer look at the matchup to gauge which bet is best for bettors.

Mariners vs. Indians Game Preview

The Mariners are up against it a bit in this one. The park is an upgrade, and Cleveland’s offense can go through some serious lulls, but they’re still just 14-19 on the road, and they have to face a solid arm in Aaron Civale.

Civale has been pretty good for Cleveland this year, as he enters with a stellar 8-2 record and a respectable 3.49 ERA. He’s had a bit of a home run problem (13 HR allowed) but has otherwise been his best at home.

I don’t think the Mariners get a ton of help from Justin Dunn here. He’s talented, and on the year, he’s 5-3 with a 3.69 ERA. He’s also done a fine job keeping the ball in the park.

That may be where the intrigue ends, though. He could have a tougher time doing that in this ballpark, too, and he can get into trouble with walks. Like, a lot of trouble.

Cleveland isn’t known for their patience at the plate, but it could still be a problem. Dunn also gives up a good amount of high contact and fly balls, so this could be a bad combination in this spot.

Mariners vs. Indians Pick for June 11

This is surprisingly a tougher game to call than I thought. Neither of these pitchers are elite, and both have had some issues with free passes this year.

Dunn has been worse in that regard, however. He issued an insane eight free passes in his 2021 debut, and he’s walked at least two batters in eight of nine starts. Add in the fly balls and hard contact in this park, and I simply don’t trust him.

Sadly, I really don’t trust Civale a whole lot more.

He’s coughed up way too many long balls, and he isn’t nearly as good as his Cleveland brethren like Shane Bieber. Instead of picking a side here, I am banking on all of the walks, hard contact, and this ballpark promoting a decent amount of scoring.

Pick
  • Over 8.5
    -120
Noah Davis
Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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