Seahawks vs. Vikings Player Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3 (2021)

| September 24, 2021 1:03 pm PDT

The week 3 matchup between the Seahawks and the Vikings is a toss-up. At least that’s how the sportsbooks are approaching this contest.

After dropping their first two games, Minnesota is desperate to hang one in the win column. Seattle is coming off a stinging loss at the hands of Tennessee. All signs are pointing to lots of fireworks at U.S. Bank Stadium on Sunday.

With that in mind, here’s some insight into my top Seahawks vs. Vikings player props

Kirk Cousins Over 24.5 Completions (+100)

Let’s start this off with a vig-free bet. Dalvin Cook says he’s going to play despite nursing a sprained ankle. That’s great news for Minnesota, but it’s hard to imagine Mike Zimmer institutes a run-heavy approach given his star RB’s situation.

Plus, would Minnesota want to run the ball against a defense that ranked 31st against the pass in 2020?

The Seahawks’ secondary doesn’t look much better in 2021. They just let Ryan Tannehill rack up 27 completions and 347 passing yards.

Kirk has 58 completions (29 per game) through two weeks and is doing a tremendous job spreading the ball around. Three guys have at least 11 receptions apiece; five pass-catchers have amassed at least 8 targets. If this game turns into a shootout as many anticipate, Captain Kirk should get to 25 completions with a good chunk of time to spare.

Chris Carson Under 16.5 Carries (+100)

Staying on theme with “plus-money” Seahawks vs. Vikings player prop bets, snagging Chris Carson rushing it fewer than 17 times is worth a look. Rashaad Penny is unlikely to suit up, but he didn’t suit up last week, and Carson still only played 63% of the snaps. Travis Homer and Alex Collins were both mixed in; that’s likely to be the case again in week 3.

Chris Carson has played in 15 games since the start of 2020. He received more than 16 carries in one of those games.

In fact, Carson’s lone game in which he saw more than 16 carries was way back in week 2 of last year, a 17-carry game versus New England. Force-feeding Chris the ball simply isn’t part of the Seahawks game plan.

Russell Wilson Over 282.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Piggybacking on the bet above, I’m expecting a pass-heavy approach from Shane Waldron in week 3. Seattle’s OC happens to be the former passing game coordinator for Sean McVay and the Rams. A big reason he was hired in Seattle was to enhance the Seahawks air assault.

There might not be a better opportunity to test that theory than Sunday in Minnesota.

Last time out, Kyler Murray was airing it out against the Vikes defense and wound up shredding them for 400 yards through the air. I see Russell Wilson adopting a similar approach.

Minnesota’s secondary won’t be fixed in time for Sunday, not to mention Tyler Locket has been balling out of control.

Adam Thielen Over 5.5 Receptions (+110)

Justin Jefferson is a stud, and K.J. Osborn has emerged. Then again, Adam Thielen leads the trio in receptions (15), receiving TDs (3), and snap % (96.5%).

Breaking Down Playing Time Among the Vikings WR Trio
WR Week 1 Snaps Week 2 Snaps
Adam Thielen 78 61
Justin Jefferson 76 53
K.J. Osborn 67 36

Still, Cousins’ favorite and most reliable target, Adam, has an uncanny way of creating separation. Kirk knows where Thielen will be at all times and continues to find ways to deliver him the football. To help support this notion, know that Adam saw 23 red-zone targets in 2020. Only Davante Adams, Darren Waller, and Calvin Ridley saw more.

Thielen snagged nine balls in week 1 and six balls in week 2, and as I’ve alluded, the Seahawks’ secondary stinks. Passing on this player prop at +110 is not advised.

My Top Seahawks vs. Vikings Player Prop For Week 3

  • Justin Jefferson Over 73.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

I’ll keep this one brief, so there’s no overthinking it. Justin Jefferson has averaged 85.3 receiving yards per game since he entered the league. That’s an 18-game sample size. In the 16 games, he’s been a starter, Jefferson averages an impressive 91.63 receiving yards per game.

That’s against all opponents.

In week 3, the former LSU standout will be licking his chops against a depleted Seahawks secondary that just got incinerated by Julio Jones.

Bank on Justin toppling 73.5 receiving yards on Sunday. If you’re looking to bet on who wins this game or if the total goes over or under, here’s some food for thought.

Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for GamblingSites.com on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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