Santa Anita Park Picks – Saturday, March 6, 2021

| March 5, 2021 2:54 pm PDT

Santa Anita Park headlines five stakes races on its 11-race card for Saturday, including the San Felipe Stakes — one of the stakes races in the Championship Series of the 2021 Road to the Kentucky Derby that awards KD qualification points (50-20-10-5) to the top four thoroughbreds in that race.

While I review all five of the stakes races here, don’t forget that you can find Santa Anita’s full 11-race card for Saturday — including horses, jockeys, trainers, morning line odds, and wagering options — at one of our top horse racing betting sites.

Read on for my Santa Anita Park picks and betting tips for Saturday, March 6, 2021.

Picks for Santa Anita Park Race 1 – China Doll Stakes

This is the China Doll Stakes, a Listed stakes race for three-year-old fillies running a distance of one mile on turf for a purse of $100,000.

I agree with the morning line here, so my win bet is on the 3/1 favorite, Going Global, ridden by Flavien Prat. This filly moneyed two of her five career starts, both of those wins — her first in a handicap race in her native Ireland in November, her second win was the Sweet Life Stakes (Grade III) at Santa Anita in February.

And at 12/1, I like Sweetest Angel, with Juan J. Hernandez in the irons, for a value show ticket. This filly moneyed five of her eight career starts, winning one.

  •  Win: Going Global 3/1
  •  Show: Sweetest Angel 12/1

Pick for Santa Anita Park Race 6 – San Felipe Stakes

This is the San Felipe Stakes, a Grade II stakes race for three-year-olds running a distance of 1-1/16 miles for a purse of $300,000. The San Felipe Stakes is part of the Championship Series of the 2021 Road to the Kentucky Derby and awards points toward KD qualification to its top four finishers (50-20-10-5).

I have to agree with the morning line in this race as well, so my money is on the 4/5 favorite — Life Is Good, with Mike E. Smith aboard. This colt won both of his career starts, including his maiden at Del Mar last November and the Sham Stakes (Grade III) at Santa Anita in January.

There are a couple of longshots in this race, but neither of them looks likely to finish anywhere near the money, so let’s save ours.

  •  Win: Life Is Good 4/5

Picks for Santa Anita Park Race 8 – San Carlos Stakes

This is the San Carlos Stakes, a Grade II stakes race for four-year-olds and upward running a distance of seven furlongs for a purse of $200,000.

My money is on the second-favored (3/1) entry in this race — Brickyard Ride, with Alexis Centeno in the irons, despite the fact that Centeno is still in the formative years of her career and this is a Grade II stakes race. I base my pick on the colt himself. Brickyard Ride moneyed eight of his 12 career starts, winning six.

His most recent win was the Don Valpredo California Cup Sprint Stakes (Black Type) at Santa Anita in January. His speed figures have been consistently in the triple digits.

While there are a couple of 20/1 longshots in this run, the longest I would go on a value show wager is the 10/1 entry Exaulted, ridden by Mike E. Smith. This colt moneyed all four of his career starts, winning one.

  •  Win: Brickyard Ride 3/1
  •  Show: Exaulted 10/1

Picks for Santa Anita Park Race 9 – Frank E. Kilroe Stakes

This is the Frank E. Kilroe Mile Stakes, a Grade I stakes race for four-year-olds and upward running a distance of one mile on turf for a purse of $400,000.

My money is on the 7/2 morning line favorite — Ride a Comet, with Drayden Van Dyke aboard. This six-year-old moneyed nine of his 13 career starts, winning eight. He won his last four races, which included three stakes runs, the most recent being the Tropical Turf Stakes (Grade III) at Gulfstream Park in January.

The longest I’d go for a value show ticket in this race is 12/1, and that puts my show bet on Count Again, ridden by Juan J. Hernandez. This six-year-old gelding moneyed seven of his nine career starts, winning four.

  •  Win: Ride a Comet 7/2
  •  Show: Count Again 12/1

Picks for Santa Anita Park Race 10 – Santa Anita Handicap

This is the Santa Anita Handicap, a Grade I stakes race for four-year-olds and upward running a distance of 1-1/4 miles for a purse of $400,000.

What can I say? I’d be crazy not to back the 8/5 favorite for this race — Maxfield, with Florent Geroux in the irons. This four-year-old colt has won all of his five career starts, which, besides his maiden, include the Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity (Grade 1) in 2019, the Matt Winn Stakes (Grade III) and the Tenacious Stakes (Listed) in 2020, and the Mineshaft Stakes in February 2021.

As much as I want to tout King Guillermo for a show ticket here, I have to go with the other 12/1 entry — Tizamagician, ridden by Drayden Van Dyke. This four-year-old colt moneyed nine of his 14 career starts, winning three.

  •  Win: Maxfield 8/5
  •  Show: Tizamagician 12/1

More Racing Predictions for Saturday

I also reviewed big-dollar stakes races at the other two tracks I reviewed for Saturday:

J.W. Paine

J.W. Paine is one of the most experienced writers at GamblingSites.com. He's written for television and the printed media, and is a published novelist (as Tom Elliott).

Paine loves writing about Las Vegas nearly as much he loves living here. An experienced gambler, he's especially familiar with poker, blackjack, and slots.

More Posts by J.W. Contact J.W.

LEAVE YOUR COMMENT

*