Round 5 AFL Predictions, Picks, and Tips – April 14-18, 2022

| April 11, 2022 3:46 am PDT

Round 5 of the 2022 AFL season kicks off this Thursday, April 14. Brisbane and Collingwood get the action underway at the Gabba, with Hawthorn and Geelong wrapping things up on Monday, April 18.

Boasting a 100% record, the Demons have picked up where they left off last season. At the opposite end of the AFL ladder, Port Adelaide – the only team without a win in 2022 – sits rocks bottom.

Keep reading to discover my AFL predictions for Round 5. Thanks to the best Aussie rules betting sites, you will also find my Round 5 AFL picks at the end of this post. What more could you ask for?

Brisbane to Beat Collingwood

Although the Lions suffered their first loss of the season last weekend, they remain in second place on the AFL ladder – thanks to their mammoth 148.2 percentage. Having won three of their first four games, they will be confident of returning to winning ways on Thursday.

Collingwood kicked off the campaign with back-to-back wins but head into Round 5 on the back of two straight losses. Following defeats to Geelong and West Coast, the Magpies look set to suffer a third successive loss against Brisbane.

Western Bulldogs to Beat North Melbourne

It is no secret that the Western Bulldogs have made a below-par start to the season. Indeed, the 2021 grand finalists have lost three of their four games this year. Fortunately for them, lowly North Melbourne is up next.

After winning just four of their 22 games last season, the Kangaroos find themselves in a familiar position. North sits second from bottom in the standings after picking up one victory in four outings, so I expect the Dogs to secure maximum points on Friday.

Sydney to Beat West Coast

Last weekend, the Eagles finally picked up their first win of the season. Following defeats to Gold Coast, North Melbourne, and Fremantle, they edged out Collingwood by 13 points. Still, West Coast sits eight points behind Sydney.

The Swans beat North in Round 4, meaning they have won three of their four games in 2022. Thanks to the goals of Isaac Heeney and the hard work of Callum Mills, Sydney is well placed to dispatch West Coast without any major problems.

St Kilda to Beat Gold Coast

The Saints racked up their third successive victory in Round 4, crushing Hawthorn by 69 points. Max King, Tim Membrey, Jade Gresham, and Bradley Hill each kicked four goals. No player has booted more goals than King this year.

It wouldn’t be unfair to say that Gold Coast has been one of the most inconsistent teams in the competition this year. Having registered two wins and two losses so far, I can see the Suns falling to in-form St Kilda.

Richmond to Beat Adelaide

Richmond secured an impressive 38-point win against the Bulldogs last time out. Tom Lynch (4.0), Shai Bolton (2.3), and Jack Riewoldt (2.2) inflicted the bulk of the damage as the Tigers secured their second victory in three outings.

Meanwhile, the Crows suffered a four-point loss to Essendon at the weekend – despite racking up 99 points of their own. Adelaide comes into Round 5 on a run of three defeats in four games, so I’m confident that Richmond will triumph on Saturday.

Melbourne to Beat GWS Giants

As we head into Round 5, the Demons are the only team without a loss to their name this season. Thanks to four straight wins over the Bulldogs, Gold Coast, Essendon, and Port Adelaide, the reigning minor premiers/premiers are on course to defend their crowns.

On the flip side,
the Giants have lost three of their four games in 2022. Given that only three sides have conceded more points than Greater Western Sydney this season, Melbourne shouldn’t struggle to notch a fifth successive win this weekend.

Carlton to Beat Port Adelaide

What has happened to Port Adelaide? The 2020 minor premiers finished just two points behind Melbourne in 2021 before reaching the preliminary finals. All of a sudden, they find themselves rock bottom of the ladder after suffering four straight losses.

At the opposite end of the AFL ladder, seventh-place Carlton leads the Power by 12 points. With 2021 Brownlow Medalist Ollie Wines sidelined due to a health scare, off-form Port Adelaide should be no match for high-flying Carlton.

Fremantle to Beat Essendon

Fremantle is sitting pretty in third place after picking up three wins across the opening four rounds. Following a victory over Adelaide, the Dockers lost to St Kilda before bouncing back with wins against West Coast and GWS.

By contrast, Essendon is third from bottom on the ladder after suffering three defeats in four outings. Although the Bombers claimed their first win of the season last weekend, they look set to return to losing ways when Freo comes to town.

Geelong to Beat Hawthorn

Tom Hawkins (5.3) was the star of the show as Geelong beat Brisbane by ten points last time out. Hawkins finds himself atop the Coleman Medal leaderboard after helping the Cats to win three of their first four clashes this year.

As for the Hawks, they won their opening two games before recording back-to-back defeats. Having conceded 142 points against St Kilda in Round 4, they will almost certainly concede a whole lot more when Hawkins and co. visit the MCG.

My AFL Picks for Round 5

Here are my recommended Round 5 AFL picks. If you like the look of these prices, why not head over to Betway to place your AFL bets? After all, Betway’s sportsbook always boasts excellent AFL odds.

Brisbane vs. Collingwood – Brisbane to Win (-28.5 Handicap)1.90
Melbourne vs. GWS Giants – Melbourne to Win By 25+ Points1.61
Essendon vs. Fremantle – Fremantle to Win1.95

Brisbane is priced at 1.20 to beat Collingwood (4.50). Since the Lions have already claimed three high-scoring victories this year, I can see them beating off-form Collingwood by at least 29 points on Thursday.

Meanwhile, Melbourne is priced at just 1.18 to beat GWS (4.75). If you want to enhance the odds, I recommend backing Melbourne to win by 25+ points. The Demons limited Port to 36 points last weekend, while the Giants suffered their third loss in four outings.

Although Essendon (1.83) is the bookmakers’ favorite to beat Fremantle (1.95), I’m backing the Dockers to secure their fourth victory in five games against the Bombers, who have lost three of their four outings this season.

Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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