Baltimore Ravens vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Thursday Night Football Prediction and Pick (Week 10)

By Dan Vasta in Football
| November 9, 2021 1:58 pm PDT

Lamar Jackson has picked up confidence the past few weeks. Coming off their bye seemed to help the Ravens. They had their MVP signal-caller and pulled off an impressive comeback victory over the Vikings.

We saw the throwing ability of Lamar lead them towards a thrilling overtime victory. Marquise Brown went off in the final quarter-plus, and Justin Tucker hit the game-winner in overtime.

The short turnaround will be a challenge against the Miami Dolphins, who are coming off a victory over the Houston Texans. Jackson grew up in the state of Florida. So, he could dazzle the fans in this primetime matchup.

This nationally televised clash between the Ravens and the Dolphins should be pure entertainment. Here are your latest odds at

Ravens vs. Dolphins Odds

Ravens (-7.5)-110
Dolphins (+7.5)-110
Ravens to Win-370
Dolphins to Win+300
Over 46.5-110
Under 46.5-110

Baltimore is 8-4-2 against the spread in their past 14 road games as the favorite. In those 14, the Ravens have gone 12-2 straight up. Lamar has been impressive against lesser opponents thus far in his career.

For the past nine games, the Dolphins have seen some success as well. Miami has gone 6-3 ATS and 4-5 straight up as home underdogs. If you enjoy trends, then jot this one down. Baltimore has covered the spread in eight straight games against Miami. That dates back to 2008, and the Dolphins are a lowly 1-7 against the Ravens since.

If you are looking for help on props for this game on MVP performers like Lamar Jackson, check out our complete guide to understanding prop bets. It is time to dissect the latest keys to victory for TNF between the Ravens and Dolphins.

Why the Ravens Will Win

Lamar Jackson has returned home where he grew up, and played high school football. The ability to extend plays in the pocket and run for huge gains is always a concern for an opposing defense.

Many thought the Ravens were cooked in the preseason when they lost their top three running backs. After they lost the opener to the Raiders, I questioned the season ahead for them. Jackson quickly turned the page and has turned into a decent pocket passer.

He has a hand cannon for an arm and has made the most out of his top weapons. Tight end Mark Andrews and wide receiver Marquise Brown have been stars. Hollywood was electric in their overtime victory over the Vikings.

Lamar targeted him six times in the fourth quarter and overtime. He caught every pass in his direction and turned it into 97 yards!

There were two 20-plus yard chunk plays that allowed Baltimore to come back in the game and ultimately win. The speed and ability to make defenders miss in open space is why Brown has turned into a Top 10 wideout in the league. The productions back it up as well and look at the staggering numbers and NFL ranks.

  • Targets among NFL Wide Receiver: 69 (T-14th)
  • Receiving Yards: 46 (T-13th)
  • Receiving TD: 6 (T-7th)

If Jackson can continue to find Brown for the occasional home run connection, this offense is unstoppable. There have not been too many other offenses with a better one-two punch in the passing game.

Look for the Ravens defense to put the clamps down on Jacoby Brissett, which will give plenty of opportunities for Jackson and the offense to strike early and often in a solid TNF showing. If you are looking for help on making wagers for the game, check out our complete guide to understanding football betting sites.

Why the Dolphins Will Win

The Dolphins failed to put away the Texans last week. They still found a way to get the job done and ended up earning the victory. Wins are a challenge to pile up in the NFL, so credit is worthy there.

However, they became the first team since 1990 to have five turnovers and win a game in the NFL. Brissett was abysmal at quarterback. He failed to take care of the ball, and Houston could not capitalize on the mistakes.

If Miami expects to win this clash against the Ravens in front of a nationally televised audience, they must win the turnover battle. That means forcing Lamar into a few critical mistakes.

Limiting the run game and owning the line of scrimmage is vital for the Dolphins. If Baltimore falls behind the sticks and has to throw on obvious passing downs, that benefits Miami.

Jackson has been prone to making mistakes and being a suspect quarterback when he cannot escape pressure and run for easy yards.

Getting Myles Gaskin involved in the passing attack was a plus last week, but they could not run for yards against the lowly Houston run defense. If Brissett needs to make challenging throws, the night will be a long one for the Dolphins.

Ravens vs. Dolphins Prediction

TNF is often a crapshoot projecting what will occur. Lamar is returning to his home state, and he will be ready to perform for all his friends that could be in attendance.

Hollywood Brown is likely to make a splash play where he finds paydirt. The Miami secondary has been awful in coverage, and they were fortunate that Tyrod Taylor struggled last week. Jackson is playing at a higher level, and they are capable of 30-plus points in this one.

The Raven defense is far from elite, but Miami will find life challenging to keep up with the electric Lamar-led offense. Look for the Ravens to strike early and often and to eventually pull away in the second half.

Ravens vs. Dolphins Pick

  • Ravens (-7.5)

There is value with the Dolphins getting points at home, but this one could get ugly for the Dolphins. I don’t see their offense keeping up with the pieces Jackson has around him. Other role players have been improving, and Brown has been playing at a Pro Bowl level.

The outcome could dance around the number for most of the game, but Baltimore will put the spread on ice once the fourth quarter rolls along.

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  1. Brenda Luther November 10, 2021 at 1:18 pm

    GO Steelers. I hope you have a better season then last year .Your record is 5 -3Chris Boswell got ripped during his fake pass with the Browns when he ended up getting a concussion.

    1 REPLIES Show
    • Dan Vasta November 10, 2021 at 5:58 pm

      Steelers are looking great these days, keep finding ways to win. Great fans & the rest of the season should be thrilling.



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