PSG vs. Bayern Munich – Champions League, April 13, 2021

| April 12, 2021 1:11 pm PDT

Following a five-goal thriller in Germany, Paris Saint-Germain holds a 3-2 advantage over Bayern Munich. The two sides prepare to clash for the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final on Tuesday, April 13.

The reigning European champions will need to score at least two goals to advance to the last four, but they are likely to find life difficult without their talisman, Robert Lewandowski.

Keep reading to see my PSG vs. Bayern Munich prediction. At the end of this betting preview, I assess the odds and share my pick.

PSG Team News and Analysis

Despite seeing just 36% possession in the first leg, PSG was able to claim a memorable win last week. A brace from Kylian Mbappe and a goal from Marquinhos saw the Parisians beat the defending champs in their own backyard.

Remarkably, Bayern racked up 31 shots, while Mauricio Pochettino’s men registered just five attempts on target. It goes without saying that PSG was extremely clinical when it mattered.

The Parisians followed up the first-leg win with another high-scoring victory on Saturday, seeing off Strasbourg 4-1. Once again, Mbappe got on the scoresheet, with Pablo Sarabia, Moise Keane, and Leandro Paredes also getting in on the act.

It is beginning to feel as though Mbappe is destined to have a big say in the outcome of PSG’s 2020/21 Champions League campaign.

The forward has bagged 33 goals and ten assists in 39 games this season, with eight goals coming in his last four UCL appearances.

Having lost to Bayern in last year’s final, I’m sure the Parisians would love nothing more than to progress at the expense of the German giant.

Assessing Bayern’s Form

In terms of the statistics, it’s fair to say that Bayern totally dominated the first leg. But the Bavarians’ wastefulness in front of goal ultimately prevented them from getting anything from the match.

Yes, goals from Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting and Thomas Muller made the scoreline look a little less humiliating. However, PSG managed to net three away goals – leaving Hansi Flick’s men with a mountain to climb.

That mountain will need to be climbed without their leading marksman, too, as Lewandowski is currently sidelined through injury. The Bavarians clearly missed him last week, and they will surely miss him again on Tuesday.

To make matters worse, Bayern was held to a shock 1-1 draw by Union Berlin at the weekend. Having registered 14 shots, Flick’s men only managed to notch two attempts on target, with 18-year-old Jamal Musiala netting his side’s only goal.

The reigning European champions now have a point to prove.

PSG vs. Bayern Munich Odds

PSG to Win3.00
The Draw4.05
Bayern Munich to Win2.15

You can’t argue with the best online sportsbooks here. After all, Bayern (2.15) was the strongest team on the continent last season and is undoubtedly the deserved favorite heading into the second leg.

Having said that, PSG (3.00) has the upper hand. With Mbappe firing on all cylinders, the French powerhouse will only cause Bayern more problems in the second leg.

PSG vs. Bayern Munich Prediction and Pick

Pick
  • PSG to Win
    3.00

We all know that Bayern’s squad is packed with world-class players, but when Lewandowski isn’t in Flick’s starting XI, the team invariably struggles for goals. With that in mind, I can see the Bavarians losing this one.

Following UCL’s heartbreak last season, PSG feels like a different animal this time around. Pochettino’s men have already proved they can beat Bayern – and I expect them to do the double over the Germans on Tuesday.

Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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