Premier League Betting Tips for Round 23 Games on Sunday, January 23, 2022

| January 21, 2022 11:22 am PDT

Round 23 of the 2021-22 Premier League ends on Sunday, January 23. There are four games on the program that day, namely:

  • Arsenal vs. Burnley
  • Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool
  • Leicester City vs. Brighton
  • Chelsea vs. Tottenham

I will now preview all four of Sunday’s Gameweek 23 matchups, sharing my betting tips along the way. So, let’s start!

Arsenal and Burnley to Draw

Oddsmakers see Arsenal as the favorite, but I think the Gunners are going to struggle. The reason is that they have some serious problems in the midfield.

Mohamed Elneny is with his national team at the Africa Cup of Nations, while Granit Xhaka and Thomas Partey are both suspended. It’s a funny story really when it comes to Partey.

Arsenal was lacking midfielders ahead of their League Cup clash with Liverpool, for which their manager Mikel Arteta decided to ask Partey to return from the AFCON where he was a part of the Ghana national team.

He did come back to England, but then picked up two yellow cards against Liverpool, which means that we won’t see him on the pitch on Sunday.

Apart from having problems in the midfield, Arsenal also has problems in other areas. Forward Nicolas Pepe is in Africa with Ivory Coast, the same as Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang. Over in the defense area, Arsenal is without Calum Chambers and Cedric Soares.

Meanwhile, Burnley manager Sean Dyche has recently revealed some good news about his men’s fitness. Charlie Taylor is “touch and go” while Erik Pieters and Johann Berg Gudmundsson have returned to practice after COVID.

The Clarets do have some injury concerns, especially in the final third. This Saturday, they’ll probably be without Ashley Barnes and Matej Vydra.

Still, even if those attackers were 100% fit, Burnely probably wouldn’t expect much from them. The reason is that the offense has been this team’s Achilles’ heel in the 2021-22 season – Burnley has scored just 16 goals in 17 games, which is the second-worst record in the Prem.

For all these reasons, I think a draw is the most likely outcome of this game. Still, that’s not my top betting picks for Arsenal vs. Burnley. I’ll reveal my top pick later on…

Liverpool to Beat Crystal Palace

No Mohamed Salah, no Sadio Mane, no problems. Even with their two key men away at the AFCON, Liverpool’s still been doing very well. Actually, the Reds are without a single defeat in 2022, coming to South London after back-to-back wins.

First, we saw them beating Brentford 3-0 at home in the Premier League. Then, they defeated Arsenal 2-0 on the road in the League Cup.

Diogo Jota was the man who scored both goals against the Gunners, showing the world that he deserves a place in the Liverpool front three. Currently, the Portuguese forward has 14 goals to his name in all competitions, which makes him Liverpool’s second-best scorer behind Salah (23 goals).

He’s the man to watch out for in the game against Crystal Palace, a team that also has player issues as a result of the AFCON.

The Eagles’ arguably best player, forward Wilfred Zaha, is in Africa with the Ivory Coast national team. One of their key midfielders, Cheikhou Kouyate is also away at the AFCON where he’s representing Senegal.

Still, even with these guys on the Crystal Palace roster, I’d still think of Liverpool as the favorite. After all, the Reds have a fantastic record against this team, winning each of the previous 10 Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool matchups.

Brighton to Beat Leicester City

Yup, you’ve read it correctly, I think Brighton will win the former Premier League champions. The reason why I think this is that the Eagles have been the biggest surprise of the season. This team is sitting in the #9 place with 29 points and is without a defeat in the Prem for five rounds.

In those five rounds, we saw them playing 1-1 with Chelsea on two occasions. Saying that they held Chelsea to a draw wouldn’t be entirely correct. In fact, one may argue that it was Chelsea that avoided losing in those games.

Still, it’s not Brighton’s impressive run that’s made me think this team’s going to win on Sunday. It’s actually the fact that Leicester City has some serious problems with absentees. You’ll see what I mean by taking a look at the list of the players likely to miss the game:

  • Jamie Vardy (out until late February with a thigh injury)
  • Wesley Fofana (out until the next season with a broken leg)
  • Ryan Bertrand (probably out until February with a knee injury)
  • Jonny Evans (out for a few more weeks with a thigh issue)
  • Ricardo Pereira (still struggling with a shin injury that happened on Boxing Day)
  • Kelechi Iheanacho (away at AFCON with Nigeria)
  • Wilfred Ndidi (away at AFCON with Nigeria)
  • Nampalys Mendy (away at AFCON with Senegal)

One good news for the Foxes is that center-back Daniel Amartey is back after his national team (Ghana) failed to progress past the group stage at the AFCON. Still, that probably isn’t going to do much for Leicester, apart from preventing a humiliating defeat.

Chelsea and Tottenham to Draw

The biggest clash of Round 23 is a London Derby, fought between Chelsea and Tottenham. The fixture has been dominated by Chelsea over the last couple of years and oddsmakers think the Blues will continue their dominance.

However, I’m not so sure about it. Sure, Chelsea needs a win in order to keep up with Manchester City in the title race. Still, getting all three points on Sunday looks like too much of an ask for Thomas Tuchel’s boys. Their confidence probably isn’t sky-high at the moment after a loss to Man City and a draw with Brighton.

Speaking of confidence, if there’s a bunch of players who are feeling good about themselves, it’s Tottenham. The Spurs are coming to Stamford Bridge after a 3-2 win over Leicester City on the road.

Beating Leicester seems like a good enough reason to feel great. However, the way the Spurs did it is what makes them feel awesome. What they did was come back from 2-1 down and win the game with two goals in the stoppage time.

The hero of the game was Steven Bergwijn who scored the equalizer in the fifth minute of the stoppage time, followed by the winning goal two minutes later. Tottenham captain Harry Kane also did well in that game, scoring once and making one assist.  

With these guys on fire, Tottenham has every right to hope for points on Sunday. Still, hoping for the whole three points does seem overly ambitious, but getting an away draw would mean a job well done.

Best Premier League Round 23 Bets for Sunday

Arsenal vs. Burnley Under 2.5 Goals 2.05
Liverpool to Beat Crystal Palace 1.52
Double Chance Brighton/Tie Against Leicester City 1.54
Chelsea and Tottenham to Draw 3.80

There you have it, my top picks for EPL Round 23 games. They all seem pretty sure to win in my opinion and the odds are pretty decent. Speaking of the odds, the ones you see in the list above are from 10Bet sportsbook, one of my favorite sites for Premier League betting.

Zarko Naric

Zarko Naric – the World's Greatest Sportswriter, according to his grandma.

Zarko started writing for in 2019, covering sports like soccer, tennis, and basketball,  as well as some more niche sports like cycling, for example.

In addition to writing news, picks, and blog pieces focused on sports, Zarko’s also been covering politics, TV/music contests, and so on.

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