Top Picks for Premier League Games on Saturday, October 2nd

| October 1, 2021 11:51 am PDT

The Premier League returns with Round 7 this weekend. There are six games on the program this Saturday, meaning that fun is guaranteed for soccer bettors.

What’s not fun is losing, which is why I’ll now try to help you with your Premier League betting choices. I’ll do that by presenting you with my top picks for Saturday. Let’s start with the game taking place at the league’s largest stadium.

Manchester United to Beat Everton

On Wednesday, Manchester United grabbed a late win against Villarreal. It was 1-1 until the fifth minute of the stoppage time when the Red Devils scored the winner. Who was the player to do it?

Cristiano Ronaldo, who else!

Even though Man United played in the Champions League a few days ago, this team’s fitness problems aren’t as big as Everton’s. The Toffees haven’t played since the last weekend, but they do have many injuries.

In fact, several of their key men are out, including:

  • Richarlison – Everton’s most valuable player (estimated price tag of about $64 million)
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin – Everton’s second-most valuable player, who’s scored three goals in three Premier League games this season
  • Seamus Coleman – Irish right-back who’s the current Everton captain
  • André Gomes – Ex-Barcelona midfielder, who’s been one of Everton’s key men in the center of the pitch

On top of that, the Toffees will also miss Fabian Delph and Jean-Philippe Gbamin, two midfielders who have played one Premier League game each this season.

Still, even if all of those guys were in the squad, Everton’s chances would not look good against Manchester United. One reason for this is that they have a horrible record against the Red Devils in recent times.

In fact, Everton won only one of their previous 16 games with Man United. Their record is even worse when it comes to the games played at Old Trafford – Everton won only once since 1992.

Furthermore, the current Everton manager Rafa Benitez doesn’t have fond memories of the games against the Red Devils.

Actually, Manchester United is third in the list of teams with the most wins against Benitez-led sides (Liverpool, Newcastle, etc.).

Chelsea to Beat Southampton

Same as Manchester United, Chelsea too played a Champions League last Wednesday. However, unlike the Red Devils who played at home, the London Blues had to make a trip to Italy to take on Juventus.

They didn’t do well in Turin – Juventus beat them 1-0.

Their not-so-great performance in that game can be explained by the fact that their best midfielder was out.

Just one day before the match, N’Golo Kante tested positive for COVID-19. Unfortunately, this disease doesn’t go away in a day, which means Chelsea will miss him again on Saturday.

On the bright side, the Blues are coming back home. The game with Southampton is played on their turf, at Stamford Bridge, where Chelsea has a 2-1 record this season. Their only defeat happened last weekend when Manchester City beat them 1-0.

Thomas Tuchel’s boys have a chance to get back on the right track in Round 7 of the Premier League when they square off with Southampton.

Although the Saints just aren’t as good as Chelsea, caution is advised. The thing is that the team from South Coast has a pretty decent record against the Blues. Actually, in the past three Premier League meetings between these two, Southampton won once, while the other two ended in a draw.

Furthermore, Southampton has been very tough to beat this season. We saw the Saints playing a draw against Manchester United, Manchester City, and West Ham. Can they snatch a point (or points) against Chelsea as well?

I don’t think so. It’s just that in 2021-22, Chelsea looks like one of the best teams on the planet.

Burnley and Norwich to Draw

One thing these two teams have in common is that they’ve both been horrible since the start of the 2021-22 Premier League season.

Ahead of Round 7, Norwich is at the very bottom of the table with zero points. Burnley is just above, with only two points more.

These two are deservedly so low in the standings as their performances have been dreadful thus far. To understand what I’m talking about, check out the table below where I’ve put these teams’ stats from the past six Premier League rounds.

Team Burnley Norwich
Goals Scored 5 2
Goals Conceded 11 16
Total Goal Attempts 73 (~12 per game on average) 61 (~10 per game on average)
Total Shots on Goal 18 (3 per game on average) 15 (2.5 per game on average)
Ball Possession (average) 38.5% 46.33%

That’s pretty much where their similarities end. When it comes to playing soccer, these teams adhere to very different philosophies. 

Burnley is a team that focuses on defending; Norwich players like attacking. Obviously, neither team has been successful so far in the 2021-22 season.

However, it was a whole different story last season. For instance, Burnley conceded only 55 goals in 38 games in the Premier League. I say ‘only’ because five other teams conceded more.

Last season, Norwich played in the Championship and was the second-highest scoring team in the league with 75 goals in 46 games.

The big question is which playing style will prevail in Saturday’s game?

I think neither. Instead, I think we’ll see a draw in this game, which would suit both of them.

Other Picks for Saturday’s Premier League Action

  • Leeds to Beat Watford
  • Wolves to Beat Newcastle
  • Brighton and Arsenal to Draw

Leeds has much better players than Watford, but that’s not their only advantage. They also got a much better manager.

Marcelo Bielsa is the man in question, who’s one of the top soccer coaches not only in the Premier League but the entire world.  That said, I expect him to figure out a way to get all three points against Watford.

It’s a similar case when Wolves vs. Newcastle is concerned. Wolves’ players are better, although their manager Bruno Lage still needs to prove his worth. His current Premier League record is 2-0-4, so there’s definitely room for improvement.

On the bright side, Wolverhampton is taking on Newcastle, a team led by veteran manager Steve Bruce, whose record is 133-132-209.

When it comes to the clash between Brighton and Arsenal, it’s probably the most difficult game to predict of all the games in Round 7.

Brighton’s players aren’t elite, but they’ve been playing elite-level soccer so far. It’s just the opposite when Arsenal’s players are concerned, which is why I think we’ll see a draw.

Best Premier League Picks for Saturday, October 2

Manchester United to Beat Everton1.45
Chelsea to Beat Southampton1.33
Burnley and Norwich to Draw3.60

Manchester United and Chelsea definitely look like safe bets, although the odds admittedly aren’t that great. Of course, you can make them more attractive by putting these two bets into a parlay.

If you feel more adventurous, why not add Burnley vs. Norwich draw to the mix? This way, you’d get the odds of almost 7.00.

Zarko Naric
Zarko Naric

Zarko Naric – the World's Greatest Sportswriter, according to his grandma.

Zarko started writing for in 2019, covering sports like soccer, tennis, and basketball,  as well as some more niche sports like cycling, for example.

In addition to writing news, picks, and blog pieces focused on sports, Zarko’s also been covering politics, TV/music contests, and so on.

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