Predictions and Best Bets for All Bouts at UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland

| April 5, 2021 1:59 pm PDT

I’ve got my predictions for UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland down in ink, and I’m sure you’ll find some of them a little surprising.

The action goes down at the UFC APEX in Vegas on April 10 and will be headlined by a middleweight clash between Marvin Vettori and Kevin Holland. I’ll be making my prediction for Vettori vs. Holland and the other fights on the night. 

There are awesome scraps to look forward to, with Mackenzie Dern, Mike Perry, Jack Shore, and Jim Miller looking for wins. That means plenty of betting opportunities, regardless of whether you are into the following predictions for all bouts at UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland or not.

Stay tuned, as I will also provide my best bets for UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland. Here I include the pick of the top sleepers for Vettori vs. Holland and the rest of the fights on the card as well.

Let’s do this.

Vettori to Beat Holland by Decision

Marvin Vettori vs. Kevin Holland is the evening’s main event at what was initially set to be UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Vettori.

Holland steps up at very short notice, with just over a week to prepare for one of the trickiest puzzles in the middleweight division. It’s unlikely that “Big Mouth” will be able to hang with Vettori, based on his struggles against Derek Brunson in their fight on March 20.

If you’re betting on Vettori to beat Holland, I’d say you’re on the ball. I don’t see this fight offering much to the American other than a paycheck, some extra kudos, and a chance to get his name out there again.

My prediction for Vettori vs. Holland is a decision win for “The Italian Dream,” and I’m sticking with that.

Allen to Beat Yusuff by Decision

Arnold Allen takes on Sodiq Yusuff in the co-main event.

This is a stroke of genius by the UFC matchmakers, who have pitted two very similar dogs together. Both Allen and Yusuff are on decent ground and working hard to push themselves into the upper reaches of the 145-pound division.

Just eight months separate the 27-year-olds, with the Englishman, Allen, coming in at just one inch shorter than his Nigerian opponent in both height and reach.

Sodiq has the power to trouble Allen, but I’m backing the Brit to play to his strengths on the evening. If he can stay out of range and point score from the outside, he will force mistakes from Yusuff that he can capitalize on in the latter stages of the bout.

I’ll take Allen to beat Yusuff by unanimous decision.

Daukaus to Beat Khizriev by KO/TKO

Aliaskhab Khizriev vs. Kyle Daukaus is a fight I’m really looking forward to watching.

Khizriev, known as “The Black Wolf,” is another Dagestani looking to shoot holes in the UFC roster. The Russian is unbeaten, with a 13-0 record, but faces a stiff test in his American opponent.

Daukaus is 10-1, with the only loss of his career coming against Brendan Allen in his UFC debut in June 2020. Standing at 6’3″ and with a 76″ reach, he has a significant advantage in height over his 5’9″ opponent and a two-inch advantage in reach.

Now, given Khizriev’s wrestling chops, it’s not hard to argue a case for why the taller man could have his lanky frame used against him. But I smell an upset in this fight and believe Daukaus will clip the Russian on the way in and knock him out.

Dern to Beat Ansaroff by Submission

Mackenzie Dern takes on Nina Ansaroff in an interesting women’s strawweight contest. 

Ansaroff, the wife of the legendary Amanda Nunes, is fighting for the first time since giving birth to the couple’s daughter in September 2020. Dern gave birth to her own child in 2020 but has fought twice since then, winning both fights.

Although I rate Ansaroff as a decent fighter, I don’t think she has the power or technical nous to keep Dern from taking the fight by the horns.

As with most educated predictions for Dern vs. Ansaroff, I’m going with a submission win for Dern.

Perry to Beat Rodriguez by KO/TKO

Of all the UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland predictions that I will make today, I’m guessing this will be the most controversial.

That’s right; I’m predicting a win for Mike Perry over Daniel Rodriguez on Saturday, April 10. With his back to the wall and a new child to take care of, Perry has to win this fight. And with Rodriguez seemingly underestimating the Detroit native, I think this fight could produce one of the stories of the year.

All it takes is one clean shot for Perry to stop Rodriguez. And I think he can get it.

If he comes into this fight out of shape or without the necessary fire, he will get kicked around like a football. But I’ll stick my bold UFC prediction that Perry wins by KO/TKO.

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland Prelims Picks

This card has some awesome fights on the prelims. 

The one I’m looking forward to most is Jack Shore vs. Hunter Azure in the bantamweight division. I have been a fan of Shore’s for a long time, even naming him as one of my UFC fighters to watch in 2021. 

Well, you’ll get your chance to see what the young Welshman is capable of on the night. I’m backing him to win by submission, as per my prediction for Shore vs. Azure. 

Here are the rest of my predictions and betting picks for the prelims of Vettori vs. Holland.

  • Alvey to Beat Marquez by Decision
  • Miller to Beat Solecki by Submission
  • Gamrot to Beat Holtzman by Decision
  • Dumont Viana to Beat Blanchfield by Decision
  • Bahamondes to Beat Makdessi by KO/TKO
  • De Castro to Beat Danho by KO/TKO
  • Shore to Beat Azure by Submission
  • Saldana to Beat Griffin by Decision
  • Jung to Beat Knight by KO/TKO
  • Kasanganay TO Beat Palatnikov by KO/TKO

Best Bets for the Vettori vs. Holland Card

Vettori to Win -350
Dumont to Win -275
Shore to Win -138

Vettori’s grappling-heavy style should work wonders against Kevin Holland in the main event.

The Italian looks the better prospect in this fight, and therefore comes in as the top of the bets to place on Vettori vs. Holland on April 10. 

Norma Dumont and Jack Shore are the other two solid wagers to get on. Shore looks primed to land another spectacular submission win, but his odds to beat Hunter Azure are good enough for me.

Top Sleeper Picks for the Vettori vs. Holland Card

Miller to Win +162
Perry to Win +150
Alvey to Win +137

You will find the three best sleepers for UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland, above.

I like Jim Miller to pull off a surprise win against Joe Solecki. Unfortunately, the odds for Miller to win by submission are not available on the top UFC sportsbooks, but make sure to check them out closer to the fight.

Miller is a dangerous, dangerous submission artist who could coax the BJJ-savvy Solecki to let his ego take over. If that happens, he could find himself in the veteran’s claws.

Elsewhere, it’s a matter of do or die for Mike Perry against Daniel Rodriguez. Lose, and the new father could be out the door of the promotion. 

Old “Smilin’” Sam Alvey will also be keen to protect his future when he takes on Julian Marquez on the prelims.

Ready to Bet on UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland?

That’s my predictions for all bouts at UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland in the books. 

I’d sum things up by saying that there are a couple of givens as well as a fair few surprises for the action on April 10.

If you’re looking to gamble on Vettori vs. Holland or the rest of the fights, you can do so by heading over to our recommended betting sites for UFC fights and placing your bets. I’d advise checking out the odds sooner rather than later and, of course, looking for the best value across the top sites.

With that, I’m done for now. Enjoy the fights, and make sure to get your plans together for the next round of UFC betting picks for fights in April!

Adam Haynes
Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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