Predictions and Picks for the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship

| May 3, 2022 6:12 am PDT

Last week, it was tough to predict the Mexico Open because it was the first time the PGA Tour played at Vidanta Vallarta. It was a weak field, so I should’ve known Jon Rahm would have a great performance.

The PGA Tour has its usual Wells Fargo Championship, but it won’t be the traditional course. Quail Hollow Club will host the Presidents Cup in September, so TPC Potomac will host this year’s Wells Fargo Championship.

That could lead to interesting results. Take a look at my top picks for the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship.

Value Picks for the Wells Fargo Championship 

Gary Woodland scored a top 25 last week, but he was never in contention. Perhaps the Wells Fargo Championship moving to TPC Potomac will bring a surprise contender.

Keith Mitchell (+5000)

Keith Mitchell has been one of the most underrated players on the PGA Tour. Mitchell has finished 13th or better in six of his last eight starts. He hasn’t finished better than seventh, but it’s hard to argue with his consistency.

The Wells Fargo Championship could bring him his first PGA Tour victory since the 2019 Honda Classic.

Mitchell only has one start at TPC Potomac, missing the cut in the 2018 Quicken Loans National. However, we’ve seen him have success in this tournament. Check out his last two results.

  • 2019: -7 (8th)
  • 2021: -8 (3rd)

A three-over 74 in the second round set him back. He did a nice job remaining in the top 10, but it could’ve been better. Mitchell one-upped himself with his 2021 performance.

Unfortunately, it was another tough second round that put him behind. He shot one-over, while winner Rory McIlroy shot five-under. Mitchell also shot one-over in the final round. He finished two shots behind McIlroy.

Mitchell has been on a roll, but we’d like to see him take the next step. I believe he presents excellent value for the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship.

Brian Harman (+6000) 

Brian Harman has had an interesting season. He has made nine starts in the 2022 calendar year. Harman has finished 48th or worse in five starts, but he also has a pair of top-five finishes. It’s tough to know when he’ll turn it on, but the Wells Fargo Championship could bring good fortunes.

This tournament moving to a new destination could work in his favor. Harman hasn’t finished better than 18th at Quail Hollow in this tournament, but he was the star in the 2017 Wells Fargo Championship.

  • First Round: 71 (-1)
  • Second Round: 69 (-3)
  • Third Round: 70 (-2)
  • Fourth Round: 68 (-4)

The 2017 Wells Fargo Championship was at Eagle Point Golf Club. Harman didn’t do anything flashy, but four consistent rounds of golf led to Harman’s second career PGA Tour victory.

It was a different course, but the same tournament will bring back positive memories for Harman. He has never played at TPC Potomac, but that didn’t stop him from winning at Eagle Point.

Harman can turn it on at any time. It wouldn’t surprise me if he scored his third top-five finish of the season. Hopefully, he’ll pull off the victory.

Best Wells Fargo Championship Betting Picks 

Tony Finau made a final-round charge, coming up one shot short at the Mexico Open. Let’s see if either of my top picks can do one better in the Wells Fargo Championship.

Rory McIlroy (+900)

Last week, I made the mistake of not picking the favorite in a weak field. I won’t make that mistake again.

Rory McIlroy will make his first start since finishing second at Augusta National. McIlroy has only played in seven PGA Tour events this season, but he has four finishes or 13th or better. The Wells Fargo Championship represents an excellent opportunity to score his second victory of 2022.

McIlroy has never played at TPC Potomac, but he has been the golfer to beat in this tournament.

  • 2010: -15 (1st)
  • 2012: -14 (2nd)
  • 2013: -4 (10th)
  • 2014: -8 (8th)
  • 2015: -21 (1st)
  • 2016: -7 (4th)
  • 2019: -7 (8th)
  • 2021: -10 (1st)

He earned his first career PGA Tour victory in the 2010 Wells Fargo Championship. That was major foreshadowing, as McIlroy has dominated this tournament. He has three wins, including last year’s tournament.

McIlroy doesn’t present much value this week, but there isn’t a golfer in the field with more success in this tournament. It’ll be tough to pick against him. Perhaps these golf betting tips will assist you with your decision.

Matt Fitzpatrick (+2000)

Typically, I look at the past results of a golfer in the tournament/course to make my prediction. This isn’t an extremely competitive field, so we have to switch things up with my top picks.

Matt Fitzpatrick has never played at TPC Potomac or the Wells Fargo Championship. That might worry bettors, but I made sure to select a golfer that has had success in 2022. He has missed the cut in two of his last eight starts but check out his other results.

  • Hero World Challenge: -10 (12th)
  • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: -14 (6th)
  • WM Phoenix Open: -12 (10th)
  • Arnold Palmer Invitational: -1 (9th)
  • Valspar Championship: -14 (5th)
  • Masters Tournament: +2 (14th)

Fitzpatrick has seven victories on the European Tour, but he’s still looking for his first PGA Tour victory. His recent success shows that a win is on the horizon.

He has come close a few times, but he hasn’t been able to close the deal. The best golf betting sites have him as one of the favorites, so there’s a lot of confidence in the 27-year-old.

Fitzpatrick should be in contention to score his first career victory at TPC Potomac.

2022 Wells Fargo Championship DFS Picks and Lineup

Aaron Wise and Adam Long had solid finishes in my DFS lineup for the Mexico Open. Let’s see who makes my DFS lineup for the Wells Fargo Championship.

Top Picks for the Wells Fargo Championship

  • Corey Conners ($10,100)
  • Patrick Reed ($9,000)
  • Paul Casey ($8,800)

Corey Conners has only made three starts in the Wells Fargo Championship, but he hasn’t had much success. Like Matt Fitzpatrick, this selection has more to do with his success this season.

Conners has finished 12th or better in four of his last six starts. That stretch includes a sixth-place finish at Augusta National. It’ll be interesting to see how he performs in his first start at TPC Potomac.

Patrick Reed has had little success this season, but we’re going back to Wells Fargo Championship success with this pick.

  • 2018: -6 (8th)
  • 2021: -5 (6th)

Reed has been in contention to win, but he comes up a little short. He has one start at TPC Potomac, finishing 17th in the 2017 Quicken Loans National. That should help him for this tournament.

Paul Casey withdrew from the Masters, but he’s ready to play in his first full tournament since THE PLAYERS Championship. Casey picked a good tournament to return as he has played great in the Wells Fargo Championship.

He finished top-five in the tournament in 2018 and 2019. DFS players would love to see another strong finish. I believe we’ll see him in contention for a top 10 at TPC Potomac.

2022 Wells Fargo Championship Full DFS Lineup

  • Corey Conners ($10,100)
  • Patrick Reed ($9,000)
  • Paul Casey ($8,800)
  • Joel Dahmen ($7,700)
  • Rickie Fowler ($7,400)
  • Luke List ($7,100)

Joel Dahmen is coming off a 12th-place finish in the RBC Heritage. That was his third-best finish of the season, but the Wells Fargo Championship could lead to another top 10 finish.

Dahmen led the 2019 Wells Fargo Championship after two rounds but finished second. He finished 23rd in his lone start at TPC Potomac. A top 15 finish would be great for DFS players.

Rickie Fowler has been a non-factor this season. While he has been great in the Wells Fargo Championship, I’m focusing on his numbers at TPC Potomac.

  • 2017: -5 (3rd)
  • 2018: -8 (12th)

Fowler has had a rough season, but that experience should come in handy. He should be in contention for at least a top 20 finish. Maybe he’ll surprise us with a victory.

Luke List has been a complete non-factor since winning the Farmers Insurance Open. However, he should bounce back into contention in the Wells Fargo Championship. List has a pair of top 10 finishes in this tournament, including a sixth-place finish last year.

Considering his recent skid, I’d be okay with a top 25 finish.

Predicting Who Wins the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship

  • Rory McIlroy

This year’s tournament isn’t as weak as last week, but it still lacks stars. Rory McIlroy is the biggest star in the field, and he has had success in the Wells Fargo Championship.

It’ll be a new course for this year’s event, but I have confidence in McIlroy. After all, his 2011 U.S. Open victory came in Maryland.

BetOnline gives us the odds for the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship.

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Nicholas Sterling
Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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