Predictions and Betting Tips for Rigondeaux vs. Casimero – August 14, 2021

| August 12, 2021 7:56 am PDT

Cuban legend Guillermo Rigondeaux takes on John Riel Casimero this Saturday at the Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, California.

If you’re keen on betting on the fight, this preview contains a prediction for Rigondeaux vs. Casimero, as well as odds and tips for the bout.

Rigondeaux puts his WBA (Regular) bantamweight title on the line, with Casimero taking the WBO version into the ring. This one should make for an awesome spectacle, even with the 40-year-old betting favorite perhaps a little past his best.

Let’s take a look at the Rigondeaux vs. Casimero odds before I break this one down for you.

Breaking Down the Odds for Rigondeaux vs. Casimero

John Riel Casimero to Win-188
Guillermo Rigondeaux to Win+140

Casimero’s odds to win this weekend are -188 with the best apps for betting on boxing online

The powerful Filipino is too much for the aging Cuban, who hasn’t featured since beating Liborio Solis to win the vacant WBA bantamweight title in February 2020. He became the oldest fighter in history to win a title at bantamweight that night.

With that said, Rigondeaux’s odds to beat Casimero hardly make this mission impossible. His plus-money odds are the best we have seen for him since his +400 price against Vasyl Lomachenko in 2017. In that bout against the Ukrainian legend, “The Jackal” suffered the first defeat of his professional career.

Time is clearly not on Rigondeaux’s side here, but if he can find his rhythm, he’ll be a tough man to beat.

Predictions for Rigondeaux vs. Casimero

  • Predicted Winner: Casimero 
  • Predicted Method of Victory: KO/TKO

Although Rigondeaux is the rangier man at 5’7″ with a 67.5″ reach, Casimero’s style could catch the slippery Cuban out.

The Filipino champion fights from an orthodox stance at 5’4″ and with a 64″ reach. And while the Cuban’s excellent defensive prowess will make it hard to find his range early on, Casimero’s adaptability should see him claw things back after the first few rounds.

It’s hard to make a prediction for Rigondeaux vs. Casimero that does not factor his age into account. Especially as The Jackal relies a lot on his head movement and reflexes to avoid punishment. But now, 40, there are indications that they are on the wane.

Casimero has both the style and the power to expose Rigondeaux’s athletic decline on the night.

My Rigondeaux vs. Casimero prediction is a KO/TKO win for “Quadro Alas.” Here’s a little tactical overview to support my thoughts.

Rigondeaux vs. Casimero Analysis

Guillermo Rigondeaux is one of the best pure boxers we have seen in recent years.

A three-time champion in two weight classes, he is also one of the very best Olympic boxers in history. But the man has been around for over two decades, and there is a point when mileage starts to affect the performance of the car.

Guillermo Rigondeaux Tale of the Tape John Riel Casimero
20-1-0-1 (NC) Professional Record 30-4
13 KO/TKO 21
5’7 Height 5’4
67.5″ Reach 64″
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
Cuba Nationality Philippines

But looking past his age, I can’t make a betting pick for Rigondeaux vs. Casimero without factoring in some of the key tactical details.

With his fading skills, Rigondeaux’s style will not be as effective as it would have been even a few years ago. What’s more, he runs the risk of suffering the first real knockout of his career in the paid ranks.

Casimero has been bouncing his opponents around right, left, and center over the past few years. He’s on a six-fight win streak, with all of his victories coming by way of stoppage. This fight does present a stiffer test than all of those opponents, but it should be one he can pass.

Rigondeaux’s proclivity to lure his opponents into well-timed counters could work against him here, as the Filipino is no fool.

On the contrary, his defense is solid, punctuated by very quick footspeed and a great ability to read set-ups and traps. This is almost sure to guarantee that there will be times when the Cuban is caught with his fingers in his own mousetrap.

Ultimately, I see Casimero using Rigondeaux’s slower head movement and reflexes to trap him. His power, work to the body, and energy should be the decisive factors in this fight.

Recommended Bets for Rigondeaux vs. Solis

Casimero to Win-188
Casimero to Win by KO/TKO+120

In line with my predictions for Rigondeaux vs. Casimero, I’m taking the Filipino to win.

If the bout were fought a few years ago, Rigondeaux would more than likely outclass him. But Casimero has come on very well as of late and should make this one a very tough night for Rigondeaux.

I’m expecting the Sydney 2000 and Athens 2004 gold medalist to buckle under the heavy hands and littering attacks of his opponent. Therefore, Casimero to win by KO/TKO at +120 is a great bet.

As sad as it is, all great fighters have their expiration date. Rigondeaux’s might very well be August 14, 2021.

If he does lose, I would not be surprised in the slightest if this is the last we see of The Jackal in the squared circle.

Adam Haynes
Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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