Predictions and Best Bets for All Bouts at UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny

| January 12, 2021 1:10 pm PDT

Have you got your UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny predictions in yet?

Perhaps you’re still looking for the best for Fight Island’s second event of 2021? You might even be looking for some Chiesa vs. Magny sleepers to make some money from?

Whatever it is to do with this card, I’m sure you’ll find the following information very valuable indeed. Not only have I predicted the winner of all bouts at UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny, but have also left you with six of the best bets and sleepers to place on the bouts.

Bon appétit!

Chiesa to Beat Magny by Submission

The main event of the evening is a welterweight battle between Michael Chiesa and Neil Magny.

Magny fought three times in 2020, finishing his work for the year with a commanding win over the badly faded former 170-pound champ, Robbie Lawler. The “Haitian Sensation” is on a three-fight streak and is looking to push himself into the title picture with a win over Chiesa.

I like Magny. He’s a very solid, well-rounded dude, but he does have the tendency to switch off at times. This will be something that Chiesa will be looking to exploit in this five-round scrap.

Most of Chiesa’s wins as a pro have come by way of submission, while most of Magny’s losses have been by submission.

I see Magny tapping to the “Maverick” in the third round of the fight.

On a side note, I wonder what Chiesa will have to say if he bumps into Conor McGregor at Fight Island. You know, after that “dolly attack” led to Chiesa suing him?

Lazzez to Beat Alves by KO/TKO

Tunisia’s Mounir Lazzez is looking to make it two UFC wins from two following an encouraging debut win over Abdul Razak Alhassan in July.

He faces a stern test in the welterweight division against Warlley Alves, who was the first pro fighter to beat Colby Covington. The Brazilian is 3-2 from his last five and is coming off a submission loss to Randy Brown in November 2019.

Lazzez has the momentum in this fight. He will the sharper of the two, most definitely, and will take the fight to Alves in the center of the cage. I fancy “The Sniper” to demonstrate why he is being tipped for a successful run at 170 and can see him earning an early stoppage over Alves on January 20.

Moreira to Beat Villaneuva by Submission

This is going to be one of them fights that fans will have a lot to say about. For all the wrong reasons.

There is an argument to make that neither Moreira nor Villanueva is up to the standards we have come to expect from the UFC. Both men lack the talent to compete at the highest level, and this could a very boring fight for as long as it lasts.

With that said, I’m edging towards Moreira sneaking a submission win over his opponent on the night.

Just don’t expect that win to lead to a light heavyweight title shot any time soon.

Araujo to Beat Modafferi by Decision

UFC women’s flyweight veteran Roxanne Modafferi enjoyed a solid 2020.

She finished up the year with an encouraging win over Andrea Lee in September, having derailed the hype train of young Maycee Barber in January.

Barber’s reaction to that loss was pretty sore, to say the least, and it only added a little more satisfaction for fans of “The Happy Warrior.” Barber stole the mic before Modafferi could speak, leaving some pundits speechless. She tore her ACL in the fight, and both she and her father lashed out with pretty much every excuse in the book in the weeks and months after.

Modafferi was classy in response, however. What a lady!

It wasn’t all rosy for Modafferi, however, who had a loss to Lauren Murphy sandwiched in between those wins.

Araujo is 3-1 in the UFC, with her only loss coming to Jessica Eye in December 2019. She is coming off a win over Montana De La Rosa and will be confident of making it two from two against Modafferi.

Tough, always game, and with an excellent takedown defense, Araujo is the type of fighter that the MMA veteran will struggle with.

Murphy to Beat de Andrade by KO/TKO

England’s Lerone Murphy is intent on showing the world why he deserves his place in the UFC.

Murphy battered Ricardo Ramos in just one round last time out, having drawn in his UFC debut with Zubaira Tukhugov.

Murphy certainly has the power to worry Douglas Silva de Andrade on the night, and I expect him to push forward and look for his opportunities from the get-go.

I’ll take Murphy by first-round KO.

Pirrello to Beat Simon by KO/TKO

Gaetano Pirello should have too much pop for Ricky Simon.

The Italian-born Belgian makes his promotional debut against the tough but inconsistent Simon, who was the last UFC fighter to beat Ray Borg before he was cut from the promotion.

Simon posted losses to both Urijah Faber and Rob Font before that win.

Providing Pirrello doesn’t get blinded by the bright lights at Fight Island, he should end the fight by stoppage at some point in the second stanza.

Mudaerji to Beat Adashev by KO/TKO

Su Mudaerji stands at 5’8″ and with a reach of 72″. His opponent, Zarrukh Adashev, stands at 5’5″ and with a reach of just 65″.

China’s Su also has the advantage of more experience on his side. He is 13-4 in pro-MMA compared to Adashev at 3-2 and will undoubtedly use every tool he has to frustrate the Uzbek on the night.

I see an early and violent stoppage in this one, with Su landing a sphere of a cross right down the middle to end it.

Lungiambula to beat Perez by KO/TKO

Markus Perez was starched by South Africa’s Dricus du Plessis in the first round of their fight in October.

Now, he faces the task of keeping Congolese star Dalcha Lungiambula quiet for three rounds. Something that I am not envious of let’s put it that way.

Lungiambula has proven stoppage power and is capable of stopping Perez early. And I predict that is exactly what happens.

I’ll take Lungiambula by way of first-round TKO.

More UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny Predictions

Rivera to Beat Figueiredo by Decision is a good shout.

Figueiredo’s odds, which you can find via our best UFC betting sites, favor the Brazilian. That’s despite his last win coming all the way back in April 2018. He hasn’t fought since drawing in a Jungle Fight contest back in 2019.

Could it be that the 31-year-old debutant’s odds are helped by the fact that he is associated with UFC flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo? I think so.

I’ll explain why this could be one of the most profitable sleepers of the night a little later.

Jones to Beat Davis by KO/TKO is another good shout.

International fans might not know a lot about Wales’ Mason Jones, but I am certainly impressed by the former Cage Warriors champion.

Unbeaten in his career so far, Jones made my list of UFC fighters to watch in 2021. He is a very talented dude.

While he is making a slight step up in class against Mike Davis, I’m backing the Blaenavon boy to get the job done by KO/TKO.

Schnell to Beat Nam by Decision is my prediction for this fight.

The Louisianan was KO’d by Alexandre Pantoja in December 2019 but was on a four-fight streak before then.

As long as he can stay out of the way of the UFC veteran’s power, Schnell should be able to drag Nam to the scorecards.

Fiorot to Beat Leonardo by Decision is a fair shout.

Leonardo makes her UFC debut, having impressed on Dana White’s Contender Series. She faces “The Beast,” Manon Fiorot, who will also be making her debut.

Fiorot has only lost one professional fight in her career. That came against the stablemate of the former king of the UFC lightweight division, Conor McGregor. In her debut, I should mention.

Fiorot looks very dangerous on the feet, and I think she could earn a stoppage in her first fight in the UFC’s women’s flyweight division.

Has she earned a place in my best UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny bets? Let’s find out.

Best Bets for UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny

Now that you have my predictions for the Chiesa vs. Magny card, I’m going to turn my attention to the top picks and best sleepers for the fights.

If you’re looking to make money betting on UFC fights on January 20, keep reading.

Top Picks

Chiesa to Beat Magny (+110) in the main event? At odds of +110? Yes, please.

I’m predicting a submission win for Chiesa, similar to how Rafael dos Anjos got the job done against Magny in September 2017.

The only difference is that I believe the fight will end in the third round.

Araujo to Beat Modafferi (-350) is a solid bet.

Not only does Araujo have the tools to deal with Modafferi’s grappling, but she can cause her significant problems on the feet.

I’m not tempted to back Araujo to get the stoppage for the simple fact that Modafferi has been knocked out just once in 42 fights.

Su Mudaerji to Beat Adashev (-350) is a no-brainer.

He has advantages in height, reach, and experience and knows perfectly well how to utilize all of them.

I expect the Chinese star to win by KO/TKO, but if you’re looking for a safe bet, take him on the moneyline.

Top Sleepers

Jones to Beat Davis (+150) is a great bet.

The unbeaten Welshman is ready to kick up a storm in the UFC, and I’m not the handicappers over at Betway are giving him the respect he deserves against Davis.

If you’re feeling brave, you can get odds of +500 on a KO/TKO for Jones, which is fantastic value for a guy that has ended three of his last five fights by way of first-round stoppage.

Pirrello to Beat Simon by KO/TKO/DQ (+550) is more than nice!

The Italian-Belgian has won four of his last five fights by KO/TKO and is an early starter.

Urijah Faber knocked Simon out in the first round of their fight back in July 2019, and I can see a similar end to this one.

Finally, Matt Schnell to Win by Decision (+240) is worth a few spare coins.

Schnell should have enough to outfox the Hawaiian veteran and take him to the scorecards for a decision win.

Odds of +240 seem very generous for what I would have expected for this bet.

Final Words

That’s it for my Chiesa vs. Magny predictions, best bets, and sleepers.

There is some great betting value on offer for the fights at UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny, and I’m hoping that you get a nice helping of the sweet stuff come January 20.

The next event on the horizon is set to be huge, so don’t miss out on our McGregor vs. Poirier 2 coverage via the channels below.

Still scratching your chin, thinking about where to bet on the fight of the year? Maybe this piece that details how and where to bet on UFC 257 will help.

With that, I’m done for now!

Until next time…

Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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