Predictions and Best Bets for AFL Round 4 (April 7-10, 2022)

| April 4, 2022 3:53 am PDT

Only three teams – Brisbane, Melbourne, and Carlton – head into Round 4 with a 100% record. At the opposite end of the AFL ladder, Essendon, West Coast, and Port Adelaide have yet to pick up a single point this season.

The action resumes this Thursday, April 7, with the Power hosting the Demons. On Friday, Geelong and Brisbane go head-to-head at GMHBA Stadium before the Western Bulldogs clash with Richmond at the MCG.

Read on to discover my Round 4 AFL predictions. I have also trawled the top AFL betting sites to gather the best bets for Round 4. Having landed three of my four picks last weekend, I’m confident that we can make a tasty profit this week.

Melbourne to Beat Port Adelaide

The Demons resumed their premiership defense with an easy 29-point win over Essendon in Round 3. Having kicked off the campaign with three straight wins, Melbourne is one of only three teams with a 100% record ahead of Round 4.

By contrast, Port Adelaide is one of three teams without a single point this season. Following defeats to Brisbane, Hawthorn, and Adelaide, the Power looks set to suffer a fourth consecutive loss at the hands of the high-flying Dees.

Brisbane to Beat Geelong

Thanks to a mammoth 108-point thrashing of North Melbourne last weekend, the Lions find themselves atop the AFL ladder. Brisbane racked up 156 points against the Kangaroos, with Lincoln McCarthy (5.1), Zac Bailey (4.1), and Joe Daniher (3.1) doing the bulk of the damage.

Meanwhile, the Cats picked up their second win of the season last time out – despite the best efforts of Collingwood. Although Geelong has made a solid start to the new campaign, I’m confident that Brisbane will their winning streak on Friday.

Sydney to Beat North Melbourne

Following big wins against GWS and Geelong, Sydney fell to the Bulldogs in Round 3. Still, the Swans will be fancy their chances of returning to winning ways when they come up against struggling North Melbourne on Saturday.

As I already mentioned, the Kangaroos suffered a humiliating thrashing to Brisbane last weekend. Consequently, they have the worst percentage in the competition. Sorry, North fans, but you are destined for another arduous season.

Collingwood to Beat West Coast

It wouldn’t be unfair to say that West Coast has made a dreadful start to 2022. The Eagles recorded an embarrassing 55-point defeat in last weekend’s Western Derby, meaning they head into Round 4 on the back of three straight losses.

By contrast,
Collingwood kicked off the campaign with back-to-back wins before pushing Geelong all the way in a narrow defeat last time out. For that reason, I expect the resurgent Magpies to see off lowly West Coast.

Western Bulldogs to Beat Richmond

Last weekend, Coady Weightman booted three goals as the Western Bulldogs notched their first win of the season. Luke Beveridge’s boys managed to keep a strong Sydney side extremely quiet at Marvel Stadium, conceding just 60 points on their way to victory.

Elsewhere, the Tigers registered their second defeat in three matches with a 33-point loss against St Kilda. Richmond is struggling to cope without Dustin Martin in the team, so I can see the Bulldogs securing back-to-back wins this weekend.

Fremantle to Beat GWS Giants

Fremantle will be brimming with belief after hammering West Coast in Round 3. Having won two of their three matches, the Dockers find themselves fifth in the AFL standings. Better still, they boast the third-best defensive record in the comp.

On the flip side, Greater Western Sydney has the sixth-worst defensive record. The Giants conceded 100+ points in defeats to Sydney and Richmond before edging out Gold Coast last weekend. That’s why I’m backing Freo to dispatch GWS on Saturday.

Essendon to Beat Adelaide

It is no secret that Essendon has made a below-par to the season. Not only have the Bombers lost each of their opening three matches, but they have also conceded the most points. As a result, they sit rock bottom of the AFL ladder.

In my eyes, though, Sunday’s clash against Adelaide provides the Bombers with the ideal opportunity to record their first win of 2022. Given that eight-place Essendon finished 16 points ahead of fifteenth-place Adelaide last year, the Bombers should kick-start their campaign this weekend.

Hawthorn to Beat St Kilda

The Hawks made light work of North Melbourne before crushing Port Adelaide by 64 points in Round 2. Although they suffered their first defeat of the season last weekend, they still have the best defensive record in the competition.

Like Hawthorn, the Saints have won two of their three matches this year. However, the Hawks have outperformed St Kilda in almost every department. This is destined to be a tight encounter, but I’m confident that high-flying Hawthorn will come out on top.

Carlton to Beat Gold Coast

Alongside Brisbane and Melbourne, Carlton boasts a 100% record in 2022. Thanks to the exploits of stars such as Charlie Curnow, Harry McKay, and Patrick Cripps, the Blues have already dispatched Richmond, Western Bulldogs, and Hawthorn this season.

Meanwhile, the Suns kicked things off with a victory over West Coast before recording back-to-back losses against Melbourne and GWS. Having managed to notch just 57 points last weekend, Gold Coast looks set to suffer another defeat against in-form Carlton.

Top AFL Picks for Round 4

The odds for my Round 4 AFL picks are courtesy of Betway. Feel free to visit Betway to take advantage of their generous AFL odds.

  • Port Adelaide vs. Melbourne – Melbourne to Win (1.42)
  • Sydney vs. North Melbourne – Sydney –42.5 Handicap (1.90)
  • Fremantle vs. GWS Giants – Fremantle to Win (1.90)

While Port Adelaide heads into Round 4 on a three-match losing streak, Melbourne boasts a 100% record. That’s why I’m backing the defending premiers to pick up their fourth win of the season against off-form Port.

Sydney is priced at just 1.07 to beat North Melbourne (8.00). Given that North conceded a colossal 156 points against Brisbane last weekend, I expect the Swans to thrash the Kangaroos. The Swans bagged 100+ points in each of the first two matches, so I recommend using the –42.5 handicap.

Fremantle and GWS are both priced at 1.90 to win on Saturday. Still, I expect Freo to claim the victory. Not only have the Dockers won two of their three matches this season, but they also have the second-best defensive record in the comp. Want more picks? Check out our free sports betting picks page below.

Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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