Predictions for All Bouts at UFC 258

| February 8, 2021 9:55 am PDT

It’s back to the UFC APEX in Las Vegas for UFC 258 this Saturday, February 13.

I’ll be providing my prediction for Kamaru Usman vs. Gilbert Burns in the main event of the evening and will also be aiming to accurately predict the results of other fights on the card.

If you’re gambling on Usman vs. Burns for real money this weekend — or any of the bouts on the event for that matter — these predictions are designed to help you to place the right bets on the fights.

If you’re looking to make money gambling on UFC 258, rather than just have fun, you can find our dedicated UFC 258 betting guide below. This guide has everything you need to know about the top bets, sleepers, and best sites and apps to bet on UFC 258.

UFC 258 Betting Guide - How and Where to Bet

There are plenty of betting odds for UFC 258 ahead of the action on Saturday, February 13 in Las Vegas. Everyone wants to make money betting on Kamaru Usman vs. Gilbert Burns in the main event, but I’ve identified other top UFC 258 bets and sleepers you...

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Should you prefer to get straight into my predictions and picks for UFC 258, keep reading!

Usman to Beat Burns by Decision

Kamaru Usman is no joke and is likely to dominate most pundits and experts’ picks for UFC 258.

The top UFC betting sites have the champ as the favorite for the fight. I must agree that he deserves to be the main man with the oddsmakers, as he enters the cage with a clearer path to victory than his opponent.

I made earlier predictions for Usman vs. Burns in my betting preview for the fight, which you can find above. I talk a little about how I anticipate Burns’ key strengths being negated by Usman’s superior wrestling, cardio, and dominant style that are likely to guide him to victory.

Kamaru Usman   Gilbert Burns
33 Age 34
6’0 Height 5’10
76” Reach 71”
17-1-0 Pro Record 19-3-0

If you’re placing bets on UFC 258, backing Usman to win by decision appears to be the sensible option in this fight.

Here’s a little key information for Usman vs. Burns to help you with your bets for the UFC 258 main event.

  • Nine of Usman’s last fights have been won by way of decision
  • Four of Burns’ last fights have ended with decision wins
  • Usman has not been beaten since losing by submission to Jose Caceres in May 2013
  • Burns’ last loss came by KO to Dan Hooker in July 2018

Grasso to Beat Barber by Decision

A women’s flyweight scrap between rising star Maycee Barber and the solid Alexa Grasso takes the co-main spot at UFC 258 this Saturday.

It’s a bit of an odd choice for a co-main event, but I’ll be making my prediction and pick for Barber vs. Grasso nonetheless. It could be a very interesting bout.

Barber was beaten up by Roxanne Modafferi in January 2020, losing the first fight of her pro career. Some referred to that fight as the derailing of a hype train, while others defended Barber’s excuse of an injury preventing her from taking the win.

I recognize Barber as one for the future in the UFC’s women’s flyweight division.

At the same time, she has not beaten an opponent of note just yet. Therefore, I’m a little reluctant to blindly buy into the hype around her until I see a marked improvement in her all-around style.

On the subject of improvements, Grasso has shown an even more developed striking game of late. She’s strong and durable and will make it difficult for Barber to grind her down.

Therefore, my prediction for Barber vs. Grasso at UFC 258 is Grasso by decision.

Gastelum to Beat Heinisch

Kelvin Gastelum is looking to end a run of three consecutive losses when he takes on Ian Heinisch at UFC 258 this Saturday.

Gastelum, who lost to Israel Adesanya in an interim middleweight title fight in April 2019, has also suffered losses to Darren Till (split decision) and Jack Hermansson (submission) since then.

Heinisch is 3-2 from his last five, with back to back losses to Derek Brunson and Omari Akhmedov, followed up with a KO win over Chris Weidman in June 2020. Heinisch will be hoping to showcase some new tricks since hooking up with Tiger Muay Thai last year but faces a dangerous striker in Gastelum.

With the better resume and the better caliber of opponents, my UFC 258 prediction for Gastelum vs. Heinisch is a decision win for Kelvin.

Munhoz to Beat Rivera by Decision

When I set out to make predictions for all fights at UFC 258, I knew that this one would be arguably the most difficult to call.

Pedro Munhoz and Jimmie Rivera are tough to separate.

Both men share similar attributes and have also both worked themselves into favorable positions in the UFC bantamweight rankings, only to lose ground when it mattered. This fight could determine who fights for the title a little further down the line, so both will be seeing it as a vital win.

Rivera doesn’t have the type of power to keep Munhoz on the back foot but is an excellent volume puncher. Munhoz, on the other hand, has the power to stop Rivera, even though Rivera is pretty durable.

I think power will matter in this fight. I’d have to imagine that most sensible folks making their UFC 258 picks will lean towards either his power or Rivera’s volume.

A tough fight to pick, sure, but I’m predicting a win for Munhoz on the cards.

Marquez to Beat Pitolo by KO/TKO

Maki Pitolo vs. Julian Marquez should be an interesting scrap.

This is the fight on the main card that I think is the more likely to end by stoppage. And I’ll be backing Marquez to get it done convincingly.

Pitolo has a decent chin and will have better cardio in this fight, while Marquez has not fought since July 2018. These two things would often raise red flags, but not in this case.

I believe that Marquez, who is one of the betting favorites for UFC 258, has the power to get the job done inside the distance.

Miller to Beat Green by Submission

One of the last of a dying breed, Jim Miller, will take to the cage against Bobby Green on Saturday with a litany of records under his belt.

As soon as the fight starts, Miller will have broken the record for the most bouts in UFC history with 36, but can he improve on his other incredible achievements? I think he can.

The veteran holds the record for the most wins in UFC lightweight history (19) as well as the most submission wins in the division (9). He can most certainly take Green down and force the tap, especially as Green isn’t exactly the most powerful puncher on the planet.

I am predicting another upset on the night, with Miller picking up another submission win.

More Predictions for UFC 258

Here are my predictions for the rest of the prelims at UFC 258.

The biggest fight on the Usman vs. Burns card to look forward to is certainly Vieira vs. Hernandez, with grappling wiz, Vieira set for another storming win.

Check these out.

  • Viera to Beat Hernandez by Submission
  • Muhammad to Beat Lima by Decision
  • Viana to Beat by Submission
  • Kelleher to Beat Simon by Submission
  • Rowe to Beat Greene by KO/TKO
  • Maverick to Beat Robertson by Decision

Wrap Up of My UFC 258 Predictions

And that’s that.

My UFC 258 predictions are done and dusted, so it’s just a case of tuning in for Saturday’s fights to see how well they do. I’d love to see them all come in, so fingers crossed.

If you’re placing wagers on the fights, make sure to give our UFC 258 betting guide a read. It’s jammed full of the top bets, sleepers, and gambling advice for Usman vs. Burns and the other fights on the card. You will find the guide on our UFC blog, but you can also access the content at the top of this page.

You may or may not know that we have some more big fights coming up this month in MMA and boxing. I’ll leave you with a bit more on those below.

Good luck with your bets!

Adam Haynes
Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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