Preakness Stakes Day at Pimlico Race Course – Saturday, October 3, 2020

| October 3, 2020 12:05 am PDT

The day of the running of the 145th Preakness Stakes at Pimlico is finally here.

Usually, the second jewel in the US Triple Crown of Thoroughbred Racing, this year, the Preakness is the final race. With the surprise defeat of Tiz the Law at the Kentucky Derby last month, there won’t be a 2020 Triple Crown winner, but that doesn’t mean the excitement level is any less among the millions of expected viewers for the 145th running of the Preakness.

But there’s more to the day than the Preakness. There are eleven more stakes races-many of them graded-and the last of which is for Arabian horses rather than thoroughbreds: The Grade I UAE President’s Cup Stakes. Altogether, the 12 stakes races represent a combined purse of $2.7 million.

I’m thinking of running myself.

Seriously speaking, you have a dozen opportunities to bet on a winner (many of them underdogs), and another 12 chances to place some lucrative show bets on longshots I’ve researched in each race.

But look at me, chattering away when you want to get started. Read on for my picks, predictions, and tips for all twelve of the stakes races, the culmination of Pimlico’s two-week Preakness Meet.

By the way: The first post time is 11 am ET.

Race 1 – Selima Stakes

This is the Selima Stakes, a race for two-year-old fillies running a distance of 1-1/16 miles on turf for a purse of $150,000.

I’m backing the second-favored (3/1) Invincible Gal, with John R. Velazquez in the irons. This filly finished in the money for both of her career starts and won one.

For a longer-odds value bet, try a show ticket on the 10/1 Zeyaraat, with Paco Lopez aboard. This filly moneyed both of her career starts.

  • Win: Invincible Gal 3/1
  • Show: Zeyaraat 10/1

Race 2 – Gallorette Stakes (Grade III)

This is the Grade III Gallorette Stakes, a race for fillies and mares three years old and upward running a distance of 1-1/16 miles on turf for a purse of $150,000.

I like the second-favored (7/2) entry in this race, as well-She’sonthewarpath, ridden by Gabriel Saez. This four-year-old filly moneyed 10 of her 14 career starts, winning six of them. Also, her most recent win was in July in the Indiana General Assembly Distaff Stakes. The morning-line favorite, on the other hand, hasn’t won a race since July 2019.

At 15/1, I think Jabuticaba, with Forest Boyce aboard, is worth a show ticket. This four-year-old filly moneyed eight of her 15 career starts, winning six of them.

  • Win: She’sonthewarpath 7/2
  • Show: Jabuticaba 15/1

Race 3 – Skipat Stakes

This is the Skipat Stakes Presented by RUNHAPPY, a race for fillies and mares three years old and upward running a distance of six furlongs for a purse of $100,000.

I’m sticking with the 5/2 morning line favorite for this race-Chalon, with Trever McCarthy aboard. This six-year-old mare moneyed 18 of her 22 career starts, winning nine of them. Incidentally, she ducked out of a stakes race I had her picked for on Thursday, so I guess this is her way of apologizing. Go fast and win.

Even with the high caliber of talent in these stakes races, there’s room in this one for a value bet, and at 12/1, I think S W Briar Rose, with Katie Davis in the irons, is worth a show ticket. This six-year-old mare finished in the money 16 of her 21 career starts, winning eight of them.

  • Win: Chalon 5/2
  • Show: S W Briar Rose 12/1

Race 4 – Hilltop Stakes

This is the Hilltop Stakes, a race for three-year-old fillies running a distance of one mile on turf for a purse of $100,000.

This race is almost a toss-up between the two top contenders, but I’m going to stick with the 9/2 morning line favorite here-Vigilantes Way, with Forest Boyce in the irons. This filly moneyed four of her five career starts and won three of them.

At 20/1, I think Lucky Jingle, with Trevor McCarthy aboard, warrants a show wager. This filly finished in the money four of her six starts, winning two of them.

  • Win: Vigilantes Way 9/2
  • Show: Lucky Jingle 20/1

Race 5 – Miss Preakness Stakes (Grade III)

This is the Miss Preakness Stakes, a race for three-year-old fillies running a distance of six furlongs for a purse of $150,000.

I’m going to agree with the morning line on this one, and back the 7/5 favorite, Mundaye Call, with Florent Geroux aboard. This filly moneyed four of her six career starts, winning three of them.

The morning line has Princess Cadey, with Weston Hamilton in the irons, at 15/1, which makes her a good candidate for a show wager. This filly finished in the money 12 of her 17 career starts, winning three of them.

  • Win: Mundaye Call 7/5
  • Show: Princess Cadey 15/1

Race 6 – Dinner Party Stakes (Grade II)

This is the Dinner Party Stakes, a race for three-year-olds running a distance of 1-1/16 miles on turf for a purse of $250,000.

Florent Geroux is also riding the heavy (1/1) favorite in this race-Factor This-as well. This five-year-old finished in the money for 19 of his 31 career starts, winning 11 of them.

Simply because of the talent in the irons in this stakes race, I almost hesitate to post this, but I like the 30/1 longshot O Dionysus, with Luis Garcia aboard. This six-year-old gelding moneyed 16 of his 28 career starts, winning seven of them. If I were a betting man (spoiler: I am), I’d bet O Dionysus to show.

  • Win: Factor This 1/1
  • Show: O Dionysus 30/1

Race 7 – Frank J. De Francis Memorial Dash Stakes (Grade III)

This is the Frank J. De Francis Memorial Dash Stakes, a race for three-year-olds and upward running a distance of six furlongs for a purse of $200,000.

I’m backing the 5/2 morning line favorite in this race-Landeskog, ridden by Florent Geroux, who seems to be aboard every morning-line favorite today. This four-year-old gelding finished in the money five of his six career starts, winning three of them.

If you’re looking for a value show bet (and who isn’t?), put a couple of bucks down on the 15/1 Midtowncharlybrown, with Trevor McCarthy in the irons. This six-year-old moneyed 14 of his 24 starts, winning 11 of them. You might even consider an across-the-board here, but I’m only recommending a show ticket.

  • Win: Landeskog 5/2
  • Show: Midtowncharlybrown 15/1

Race 8 – Laurel Futurity

This is the Laurel Futurity, a stakes race for two-year-olds running a distance of 1-1/16 miles on turf for a purse of $150,000. Usually held at Laurel Park, the race returns to Pimlico-its original host back in 1921-for the 2020 run.

I’m going with the second-favored (4/1) entry here-Hidden Enemy, piloted by Joe Bravo. This colt moneyed one of his two career starts and shows better speed performance in the longer distances than the morning line favorite.

I like the 12/1 Light Us Up, ridden by Sheldon Russell, for my value show bet. This colt won his single career start and has shown solid performance in the mile. With Russell aboard, he should be able to extend that ambition another half-furlong.

  • Win: Hidden Enemy 4/1
  • Show: Light Us Up 12/1

Race 9 – James W. Murphy Stakes

This is the James W. Murphy Stakes, a race for three-year-olds running a distance of 1-1/16 miles on turf for a purse of $100,000.

While I’ll admit that the 9/2 morning line favorite has had some impressive speed indexes, I’m going with one of the 8/1 underdogs in this race-Buy Land and Sea, ridden by Trevor McCarthy, one of the best and winningest jockeys at Pimlico today. This colt moneyed all five of his career starts and won three of them.

And I’m backing the 30/1 Paradise Pride, with Jorge Ruiz aboard, for my value show bet. This gelding finished in the money eight of his 12 starts, winning three of them. More importantly, all three of those wins were in 2020. It could happen.  

  • Win: Buy Land and Sea 8/1
  • Show: Paradise Pride 30/1

Race 10 – George E. Mitchell Black-Eyed Susan Stakes

This is the George E. Mitchell Black-Eyed Susan Stakes, a race for three-year-old fillies running a distance of 1-1/8 miles for a purse of $250,000.

I’m sticking with the 7/5 morning line favorite here-Bonny South, with Florent Geroux in the irons. This filly moneyed four of her six career starts, winning three of them. Interestingly, the fourth-favored (8/1) Hopeful Growth has an identical record, but her speed indexes don’t come up to those of Bonny South.

My longshot pick for a bargain show ticket is the 20/1 Sharp Starr, with Alex Cintron aboard. This filly finished in the money five of her six starts, winning one of them.

  • Win: Bonny South 7/5
  • Show: Sharp Starr 20/1

Race 11 – Preakness Stakes (Grade I)

This is the Preakness Stakes, a race for three-year-olds running a distance of 1-3/16 miles for a purse of $1,000,000.

As much as I like an underdog, I am trusting the morning line here and buying a win ticket for the 9/5 favorite, Authentic, who bested Belmont Stakes winner Tiz the Law at the Kentucky Derby last month, ending that thoroughbred’s Triple Crown aspirations. Ridden in this race by John R. Velazquez, Authentic has moneyed all six of his career starts, winning five of them.

One of the great things about a race like the Preakness is the plethora of longshots that in any other race, would be among the morning line favorites. Personally, I like the 20/1 longshot Pneumatic, with Joe Bravo in the irons, for a money finish here. This colt finished in the money four of his five career starts, winning three of them, most notably the Pegasus Stakes at Monmouth Park in August.

Incidentally, if you’d like more information about the competitors in this horse race, you can find it in my 2020 Preakness Stakes Preview.

  • Win: Authentic 9/5
  • Show: Pneumatic 20/1

Race 12 – UAE President Cup Stakes (Grade I)

This is the UAE President Cup Stakes, a race for four-year-old Arabians running a distance of 1-1/16 miles for a purse of $100,000.

This is the second time the prestigious Arabian stakes have been held at Pimlico; the first was held there in 2012. Established in 1994, the race features U.S. horses in what has become the premier international racing event for the Arabian breed.

I’m sticking with the 3/1 morning line favorite, Quicksand AA, with Keiber J. Coa aboard. This seven-year-old moneyed 28 of his 30 career starts, winning 14 of them. And while Coa may not be a world-class thoroughbred jockey, his Win/WPS stats with Arabians can’t be ignored: Wins: 20%, WPS: 62%. He is also one of the most experienced Arabian jockeys in this race.

And for my value show bet, I’m going with the 30/1 longshot Colors in Motion, with owner/trainer Kirsten Swan in the irons. This six-year-old gelding finished in the money 16 of his 24 starts, winning five of them. By the way: Swan is the most experienced Arabian jockey in this race.

  • Win: Quicksand AA 3/1
  • Show: Colors In Motion 30/1
J.W. Paine
J.W. Paine

J.W. Paine is one of the most experienced writers at GamblingSites.com. He's written for television and the printed media, and is a published novelist (as Tom Elliott).

Paine loves writing about Las Vegas nearly as much he loves living here. An experienced gambler, he's especially familiar with thoroughbred horseracing, poker, blackjack, and slots.

More Posts by J.W. Contact J.W.

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