Poland vs. Sweden – FIFA World Cup Playoff Prediction for Tuesday, March 29, 2022

| March 28, 2022 6:00 am PDT

On Tuesday, March 29, Poland hosts Sweden. Aside from the obvious battle between Robert Lewandowski and Zlatan Ibrahimovic, there is the small matter of a World Cup spot up for grabs.

The Poles received a bye into the playoff final after their scheduled clash against Russia was canceled for obvious reasons. On the flip side, the Swedes claimed an extra-time win over the Czech Republic last week.

This Poland vs. Sweden betting preview contains odds, analysis, my prediction, and a free pick for Tuesday’s showdown. Let’s start with the odds and work our way through the rest.

Poland vs. Sweden Betting Odds

Poland to Win2.45
The Draw3.00
Sweden to Win3.10

Poland (2.45) heads into this clash as the bookmakers’ favorite, having earned the home-field advantage. As you can see, though, the odds for this clash are relatively close.

Although Poland is the favorite, Sweden (3.10) is expected to mount a serious challenge for the Qatar 2022 berth. The modest price for the draw (3.00) indicates that we could see extra-time on Tuesday.

The odds above are courtesy of 10Bet. If you’re planning to wager on this game, be sure to head over to 10Bet’s sportsbook to lay down your bets.

Poland vs. Sweden Head-to-Head

  • Sweden Wins: 15
  • Poland Wins: 8
  • Draws: 4

As you can see, Sweden has enjoyed playing against Poland over the years. The Blue & Yellows have lost just eight of their 27 meetings with the White & Reds, picking up 15 wins along the way.

The two sides last faced each other at last summer’s European Championship. Despite a brace from Robert Lewandowski, Sweden claimed a 3-2 victory – thanks to Viktor Claesson’s stoppage-time strike.

It is worth noting that Sweden has won each of the past six meetings between the teams and has not tasted defeat against Poland since all the way back in 1991. Can the Eagles finally end their eight-game winless run against the Swedes?

Poland Team News and Analysis

Due to the cancellation of their clash against Russia, Poland has not played a competitive match since November. Unfortunately, they were beaten 2-1 by Hungary in Warsaw on that occasion.

Last week, the White & Reds played a friendly against Scotland in Glasgow. They appeared to be heading for a 1-0 loss before Krzysztof Piatek converted a last-gasp penalty to snatch a draw for his country.

Thanks to the draw against Scotland, Czeslaw Michniewicz’s men have lost just one of their past eight games across all competitions – picking up five wins and two draws along the way.

Poland finished second in Group I – six points behind England and two points ahead of Albania – after recording six wins, two draws, and two losses. That gives you an indication of Poland’s ability as a team.

From goalkeeper Wojciech Szczesny (Juventus) to right-back Matty Cash (Aston Villa), and from midfielder Jakub Moder (Brighton) to forward Adam Buksa (New England Revolution), Poland boasts top-class players in every department.

Still, their overreliance on Robert Lewandowski (Bayern Munich) is a cause for concern. If Lewandowski – who has scored 74 goals in 128 international appearances – is not firing on all cylinders, Poland could struggle on Tuesday.

Sweden Team News and Analysis

Although the Czech Republic forced extra-time, there is no denying that Sweden deserved to win last week’s playoff. Not only did the hosts enjoy 58% possession, but they also racked up ten shots.

Substitute Robin Quaison proved to be the hero. After replacing Viktor Claesson midway through the second half, the former Mainz forward sent Sweden into the playoff final with a goal in the second half of extra-time.

That win ended a run of two straight losses for the Blue & Yellows. Following defeats to Georgia and Spain at the end of 2021, they finished second in Group B – four points behind Spain and five points ahead of Greece.

Since the start of last year,
Janne Andersson’s boys have won 12 of their 17 matches across all competitions. They have also kept nine clean sheets for good measure.

Better still, Sweden will welcome back Zlatan Ibrahimovic (AC Milan) from suspension on Tuesday. Having missed the previous game, the legendary striker will be eager to add to his tally of 62 goals in 120 appearances for his country.

Alongside Ibrahimovic, Emil Forsberg (RB Leipzig), Anthony Elanga (Manchester United), Alexander Isak (Real Sociedad), and Dejan Kulusevski (Tottenham) make Sweden a serious threat in attack.

Prediction for Poland vs. Sweden

Although the Poles have the home-field advantage on Tuesday, they have not played a competitive match since November. By contrast, Sweden heads into this clash on the back of a testing victory over the Czech Republic. That should give the Blue & Yellows an edge.

On top of that, Sweden’s recent record in this fixture is excellent. Not only have the Swedes won each of their last six meetings with Poland, but they have also lost just one of the previous eight.

Having taken everything into consideration, I can see Sweden edging this one. Poland’s overreliance on Lewandowski could prove to be a big problem against Andersson’s well-drilled outfit.

Poland vs. Sweden Playoff Pick

  • Sweden to Win

I’m backing the Swedes to punch their ticket to Qatar 2022 on Tuesday. Andersson’s boys will still be buzzing after beating the Czech Republic last week, so I expect them to carry that momentum into Tuesday’s clash.

Don’t forget that Portugal and North Macedonia go head-to-head in the other World Cup playoff. If you enjoyed this betting preview, be sure to check out my prediction and pick for that match.

Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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